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Forums - Sales - When will the Switch outsell the PS4?

Wyrdness on 09 March 2021

Next year.



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Kakadu18 on 04 February 2022

October is the most likely I think, maybe November.



Kristof81 on 04 February 2022

We have 13.5M -ish difference. Just at looking at Switch's last year numbers, that's mid-October. However, this includes Switch OLED launch and I very much doubt that we'll see no drop in YoY sales, plus PS4 will add some units in that time (around 500k).

IMO, somewhere between Black Friday and New Year, so Nov-Dec 22 from the poll.

Last edited by Kristof81 - on 04 February 2022

Chrizum on 04 February 2022

Never, sales will fall of a cliff after reaching 116.82M.



Wyrdness on 04 February 2022

Nintendo's current forecast will have the NS at around 107m by the end of March, under current momentum it'll catch PS4 by the end of September and pass it in October.



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Wman1996 on 04 February 2022

Around November, but it very well could happen in late September or October.



Lifetime Sales Predictions 

Switch: 161 million (was 73 million, then 96 million, then 113 million, then 125 million, then 144 million, then 151 million, then 156 million)

PS5: 122 million (was 105 million, then 115 million) Xbox Series X/S: 38 million (was 60 million, then 67 million, then 57 million. then 48 million. then 40 million)

Switch 2: 120 million (was 116 million)

PS4: 120 mil (was 100 then 130 million, then 122 million) Xbox One: 51 mil (was 50 then 55 mil)

3DS: 75.5 mil (was 73, then 77 million)

"Let go your earthly tether, enter the void, empty and become wind." - Guru Laghima

Chicho on 05 February 2022

In cases like this i rather see a new thread with a link referencing the old one  instead of resetting the poll. Poll resetting is not a good practice and should be avoided in my opinion. 



refutableport on 05 February 2022

We have to be careful about being too optimistic. The system is already slowing down in Japan and Nintendo can only release so many more revisions. If Sony had the luxury of doing the same with a fanbase as receptive, they would be ahead of the PS2.



Kakadu18 on 05 February 2022
Chicho said:

In cases like this i rather see a new thread with a link referencing the old one  instead of resetting the poll. Poll resetting is not a good practice and should be avoided in my opinion. 

I think it's not that bad if a screen shot of the old poll results is posted for example.



Chicho on 05 February 2022
yo33331 said:
Kakadu18 said:

I think it's not that bad if a screen shot of the old poll results is posted for example.

It's good idea. Next time, since now the previous poll results are gone.

This proves my point.