I feel like I've been waiting for this very report for years now. It's so satisfying to finally see it. There is so much great stuff to look at. Here are some things that jumped out at me.
1) Nintendo is on track to have their best fiscal year ever. The best one so far has been the one ending March 31, 2009. Here is a comparison:
Nintendo Operating Profit (in billions of yen)
Dec 31 report | end of FY | |
2009 | 501.3 | 555.2 |
2021 | 521.1 | ? |
Currently they are tracking about 20B yen above their best fiscal year (very roughly $200M USD). It is very likely we are going to see this is Nintendo's best fiscal year ever when we get to their March 31 report.
2) Nintendo sell-through numbers are wtf? People have already mentioned the hardware totals, but I also want to point out Ring Fit Adventure. Shipped for this FY is 5.95m while sell through is listed at 3.3m. Does anyone really believe that there are 2.6 million units of Ring Fit Adventure just sitting on the shelves at the end of the holidays? My hope is that their reports are merely lagging and they will get more accurate numbers for the March 31 report.
3) Nintendo evergreens are amazing! These software numbers really blew me away. Mario Kart, a 6-year old game, outsold anything released so far this fiscal year (so did Animal Crossing, of course). Nintendo sales are massively up YoY due to a combination of Animal Crossing, COVID, and word of mouth. But most importantly their first party software just keeps selling. These evergreens never seem to lose momentum. Instead they just keep selling like there is no tomorrow.
There are so many evergreens that I feel there needs to be tiers. Here is how I see their big sellers that released in a previous FY. (What they sold so far are in parentheses: This FY/lifetime)
S Rank (will finish the FY with 6m+ shipped)
Animal Crossing (19.4m/31.2m) - Mario Kart was the best selling non pack-in on the Wii and Wii U, but this is on track to pass Mario Kart 8.
Mario Kart 8 Deluxe (8.6m/33.4m)
Ring Fit Adventure (6m/8.7m) - Where the hell did this beast come from?
A Rank (will finish the FY with 3-6m shipped)
Zelda: Breath of the Wild (4m/21.5m) - VGChartz has Skyward Sword listed at 3.96m lifetime. Think about that.
Super Smash Bros Ultimate (4m/22.9m)
Super Mario Party (3.7m/13.8m) - Damn! This is selling like Zelda and Smash Bros.
NSMB U D (3.2m/9.8m) - This is having far better legs than I thought.
Pokemon Sword/Shield (3m/20.4m)
Super Mario Odyssey (2.8m/20.2m)
Luigi's Mansion 3 (2.8m/9.1m) - Luigi has the same legs as Mario.
B Rank (other games that have already sold 1m+ this year)
Splatoon 2 (1.8m/11.9m)
Super Mario Maker 2 (1.4m/6.9m)
Pokemon Let's Go (1m/13m) - Who knew this game was still selling this well?
That is 13 games that are still going strong. I believe all 13 are going to surpass 10m lifetime. Most of them are shooting for 20m+. It's crazy and amazing.
curl-6 bet me that PS5 + X|S sales would reach 56m before year end 2023 and he was right.
My Bet With curl-6
My Threads:
Master Thread, Game of the Year/Decade
Switch Will Be #1 All Time
Zelda Will Outsell Mario (Achieved)
How Much Will MH Rise sell?
My Bet With Metallox