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Forums - Sales Discussion - VGChartz Gap Charts December 2020 Discussion Thread

@trunkswd When are you going to post the 3DS vs NSW Japan graph?



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trunkswd said:

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Switch vs Wii Sales Comparison - Switch Takes the Lead in December 2020

This monthly series compares the aligned worldwide sales of the Nintendo Switch and the Nintendo Wii.

Switch Vs. Wii Global:

Gap change in latest month: 5,425,402 - Switch

Gap change over last 12 months: 7,824,826 - Switch

Total Lead: 4,512,172 - Switch

Switch Total Sales: 76,989,289

Wii Total Sales: 72,477,117

December 2020 is the 46th month that the Nintendo Switch has been available for. During the latest month, the Switch closed the gap by 5.43 million units and gained the lead when you align the launches of the two consoles. In the last 12 months, the Switch has outsold the Wii by 7.82 million units. The Wii is currently ahead of the Switch by 4.51 million units.

The Wii launched in November 2006, while the Nintendo Switch launched in March 2017. Therefore, the holiday periods for the two consoles do not lineup, which is why there are big increases and decreases.

The 46th month for the Nintendo Switch is December 2020 and for the Wii it is August 2010. The Switch has sold 76.99 million units, while the Wii sold 72.48 million units during the same timeframe. The Wii sold current Switch sales in month 50.

The Wii sold 101.63 million units worldwide during its lifetime. The Switch needs to sell another 24.64 million units to outsell the Wii.

Boom.

Now to see if it can stay ahead once it aligns with Wii's 2010 holiday season. Switch will easily win in the long run thanks to longer legs and a stronger presence in Japan and ROTW. In fact, if the Switch has another very strong year, it could pass Wii's lifetime sales by 2022.



Bet with Liquidlaser: I say PS5 and Xbox Series will sell more than 56 million combined by the end of 2023.

PDiddy said:

@trunkswd When are you going to post the 3DS vs NSW Japan graph?

I'm not sure. There are a lot of the monthly sales articles, plus the weekly ones, so it might be a while. 



VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo - I stream on Twitch and have my own YoutubeFollow me on Twitter @TrunksWD.

Writer of the Gap Charts | Weekly Hardware Breakdown Top 10 | Weekly Sales Analysis | Marketshare Features, as well as daily news on the Video Game Industry.

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PS4 and Xbox One vs PS3 and Xbox 360 Sales Comparison - December 2020

This monthly series compares the combined aligned sales of the PlayStation 4 and Xbox One with the combined aligned sales of the PlayStation 3 and Xbox 360.

Gap change in latest month: 3,060,402 - PS3 & X360

Gap change over last 12 months: 7,039,089 - PS3 & X360

Total Lead: 7,302,382 - PS4 & XOne

Total Combined PlayStation 3 and Xbox 360 Sales: 156,964,136

Total Combined PlayStation 4 and Xbox One Sales: 164,266,518

In December 2020, the gap grew in favor of the combined sales of the PlayStation 3 and Xbox 360 when compared to the aligned launch of the PlayStation 4 and Xbox One in the last month by 3.06 million units. In the last 12 months, the PlayStation 3 and Xbox 360 have caught up by 7.04 million units. The PlayStation 4 and Xbox One lead by a combined 7.30 million units.

The 86th month for the PlayStation 4 and Xbox One is December 2020, while for the Xbox 360 it is December 2012 and for the PlayStation 3 it is December 2013. This does mean the holiday periods for all four consoles are lined up.

The PlayStation 3 and Xbox 360 in their first 86 months sold a combined 156.96 million units, while the PlayStation 4 and Xbox One have sold a combined 164.27 million units. It took until month 97 for the PS3 and Xbox 360 to sell as many units as the current PS4 and Xbox One sales.

The PlayStation 3 and Xbox 360 sold a combined 173.22 million units lifetime. The PlayStation 4 and Xbox One are currently 8.95 million units away from surpassing the PS3 and X360.



VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo - I stream on Twitch and have my own YoutubeFollow me on Twitter @TrunksWD.

Writer of the Gap Charts | Weekly Hardware Breakdown Top 10 | Weekly Sales Analysis | Marketshare Features, as well as daily news on the Video Game Industry.

trunkswd said:

Share the article here.

PS4 and Xbox One vs PS3 and Xbox 360 Sales Comparison - December 2020

This monthly series compares the combined aligned sales of the PlayStation 4 and Xbox One with the combined aligned sales of the PlayStation 3 and Xbox 360.

Gap change in latest month: 3,060,402 - PS3 & X360

Gap change over last 12 months: 7,039,089 - PS3 & X360

Total Lead: 7,302,382 - PS4 & XOne

Total Combined PlayStation 3 and Xbox 360 Sales: 156,964,136

Total Combined PlayStation 4 and Xbox One Sales: 164,266,518

In December 2020, the gap grew in favor of the combined sales of the PlayStation 3 and Xbox 360 when compared to the aligned launch of the PlayStation 4 and Xbox One in the last month by 3.06 million units. In the last 12 months, the PlayStation 3 and Xbox 360 have caught up by 7.04 million units. The PlayStation 4 and Xbox One lead by a combined 7.30 million units.

The 86th month for the PlayStation 4 and Xbox One is December 2020, while for the Xbox 360 it is December 2012 and for the PlayStation 3 it is December 2013. This does mean the holiday periods for all four consoles are lined up.

The PlayStation 3 and Xbox 360 in their first 86 months sold a combined 156.96 million units, while the PlayStation 4 and Xbox One have sold a combined 164.27 million units. It took until month 97 for the PS3 and Xbox 360 to sell as many units as the current PS4 and Xbox One sales.

The PlayStation 3 and Xbox 360 sold a combined 173.22 million units lifetime. The PlayStation 4 and Xbox One are currently 8.95 million units away from surpassing the PS3 and X360.

This one is looking to be closer than I anticipated with PS4/Xbone looking to be falling off unexpectedly fast. A few months ago I would've said PS4 alone could make up the difference but now I'm not so sure.



Bet with Liquidlaser: I say PS5 and Xbox Series will sell more than 56 million combined by the end of 2023.

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curl-6 said:

This one is looking to be closer than I anticipated with PS4/Xbone looking to be falling off unexpectedly fast. A few months ago I would've said PS4 alone could make up the difference but now I'm not so sure.

8.95m left to go of which the XB1 won't contribute more than 1m units, leaving it up to the PS4 to sell another ~8m. The optimistic case for the PS4 is ~4m in 2021, ~2m in 2022 and ~1m in 2023, so ~7m in total.

Half a year ago it looked like the 8th gen could edge out the 7th gen ever so barely, but today it's pretty much a done deal that the 7th gen will take the lead eventually.



Legend11 correctly predicted that GTA IV (360+PS3) would outsell SSBB. I was wrong.

A Biased Review Reloaded / Open Your Eyes / Switch Shipments

RolStoppable said:
curl-6 said:

This one is looking to be closer than I anticipated with PS4/Xbone looking to be falling off unexpectedly fast. A few months ago I would've said PS4 alone could make up the difference but now I'm not so sure.

8.95m left to go of which the XB1 won't contribute more than 1m units, leaving it up to the PS4 to sell another ~8m. The optimistic case for the PS4 is ~4m in 2021, ~2m in 2022 and ~1m in 2023, so ~7m in total.

Half a year ago it looked like the 8th gen could edge out the 7th gen ever so barely, but today it's pretty much a done deal that the 7th gen will take the lead eventually.

The optimistic case is 4M in 2021, 2.5M in 2022 and 1M in 2023 and 500k in 2024 (just like 3DS did in 2020)

The more optimistic than this and slightly unlikely, but still not impossible one is with the big drop of sales for PS4 in 2020 that Sony may not anticipated to be so big, in the next few months they cut the price by 50$ and then PS4 makes 5 or 6M at best this year with 4 next and 2-3M more after this, to barely beat the 7th gen. However as I said this is unlikely, but I won't be surprised if they do it, because it's not unlogical thing to do.

As for the XB1 .. yeah, this 2021 year will probably be it's last, and probably after the christmas period, this time next year microsoft will announce the complete discontinuation of the XB1 consoles, with sales just barely making 50M lifetime, which is somewhat of a milestone I would say .. they can even confirm it officialy, because 50M is in no way bad number, it's OKAY number.

Last edited by yo33331 - on 24 January 2021

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Switch vs 3DS Sales Comparison - Switch Passes Lifetime 3DS Sales in December 2020

This monthly series compares the aligned worldwide sales of the Nintendo Switch and the Nintendo 3DS.

Switch Vs. 3DS Global:

Gap change in latest month: 3,735,452 - Switch

Gap change over last 12 months: 19,375,246 - Switch

Total Lead: 28,395,562 - Switch

Switch Total Sales: 76,989,289

3DS Total Sales: 48,593,727

December 2020 is the 46th month that the Nintendo Switch has been available for. During the latest month, the gap grew in favor of the Switch by 3.74 million units when compared to the 3DS during the same timeframe and by 19.38 million units in favor of the Switch in the last 12 months. The Switch is currently ahead of the 3DS by 28.40 million units.

The 3DS launched in February 2011 (however, 3DS sales have been aligned to March 2011, since it only launched at the end of February in Japan), while the Nintendo Switch launched worldwide in March 2017. This does mean the holidays for the two platforms do lineup.

The 46th month for the Nintendo Switch is December 2020 and for the Nintendo 3DS it is December 2014. The Switch has sold 76.99 million units, while the 3DS sold 48.59 million units during the same timeframe.

The Nintendo 3DS has sold 75.91 million units to date. The Nintendo Switch has officially outsold the lifetime sales of the Nintendo 3DS and is ahead by 1.08 million units.



VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo - I stream on Twitch and have my own YoutubeFollow me on Twitter @TrunksWD.

Writer of the Gap Charts | Weekly Hardware Breakdown Top 10 | Weekly Sales Analysis | Marketshare Features, as well as daily news on the Video Game Industry.

trunkswd said:

Share the article here.

Switch vs 3DS Sales Comparison - Switch Passes Lifetime 3DS Sales in December 2020

This monthly series compares the aligned worldwide sales of the Nintendo Switch and the Nintendo 3DS.

Switch Vs. 3DS Global:

Gap change in latest month: 3,735,452 - Switch

Gap change over last 12 months: 19,375,246 - Switch

Total Lead: 28,395,562 - Switch

Switch Total Sales: 76,989,289

3DS Total Sales: 48,593,727

December 2020 is the 46th month that the Nintendo Switch has been available for. During the latest month, the gap grew in favor of the Switch by 3.74 million units when compared to the 3DS during the same timeframe and by 19.38 million units in favor of the Switch in the last 12 months. The Switch is currently ahead of the 3DS by 28.40 million units.

The 3DS launched in February 2011 (however, 3DS sales have been aligned to March 2011, since it only launched at the end of February in Japan), while the Nintendo Switch launched worldwide in March 2017. This does mean the holidays for the two platforms do lineup.

The 46th month for the Nintendo Switch is December 2020 and for the Nintendo 3DS it is December 2014. The Switch has sold 76.99 million units, while the 3DS sold 48.59 million units during the same timeframe.

The Nintendo 3DS has sold 75.91 million units to date. The Nintendo Switch has officially outsold the lifetime sales of the Nintendo 3DS and is ahead by 1.08 million units.

Well, there it is.

It's been fun watching this gap close, especially so quickly in recent months. Onto PSP and GBA.



Bet with Liquidlaser: I say PS5 and Xbox Series will sell more than 56 million combined by the end of 2023.

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Switch vs DS Sales Comparison - Switch Catches Up by Over 4M in December 2020

This monthly series compares the aligned worldwide sales of the Nintendo Switch and the Nintendo DS.

Switch Vs. DS Global:

Gap change in latest month: 4,379,270 - Switch

Gap change over last 12 months: 152,728 - DS

Total Lead: 1,175,123 - DS

Switch Total Sales: 76,989,289

DS Total Sales: 78,164,412

December 2020 is the 46th month that the Nintendo Switch has been available for. During the latest month, the gap grew in favor of the Switch by 4.38 million units when compared to the DS during the same timeframe. In the last 12 months, the DS has outsold the Switch by only 152,728 units. The DS is ahead of the Switch by 1.18 million units.

The DS launched in November 2004 in North America, December 2004 in Japan, and March 2005 in Europe, while the Nintendo Switch launched worldwide in March 2017. Therefore, the holiday periods for the two consoles do not lineup, which is why there are big increases and decreases.

The 46th month on sale for the Nintendo Switch is December 2020, while for the DS it is August 2008. The Switch has sold 76.99 million units, while the DS sold 78.16 million units during the same timeframe. The DS reached current Switch sales in month 46.

The Nintendo DS sold 154.02 million units lifetime. The Nintendo Switch is currently 77.03 million units behind the lifetime sales of the DS.

Last edited by trunkswd - on 25 January 2021

VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo - I stream on Twitch and have my own YoutubeFollow me on Twitter @TrunksWD.

Writer of the Gap Charts | Weekly Hardware Breakdown Top 10 | Weekly Sales Analysis | Marketshare Features, as well as daily news on the Video Game Industry.