That's correct.

From April 1 2019 to March 31 2020 it sold 830,000 copies in Japan:

https://www.nintendo.co.jp/ir/pdf/2020/200507_3e.pdf#page=19

From April 1 2020 to March 31 2021 it sold 170,000 copies in Japan:

https://www.nintendo.co.jp/ir/pdf/2021/210506_3e.pdf#page=19

From April 1 2021 to March 31 2022 it sold 130,000 copies in Japan:

https://www.nintendo.co.jp/ir/pdf/2022/220510_6e.pdf#page=17

Good find! I'll update the OP.

As of December 2020 Luigi's Mansion 2 was at 1.31mil in Japan according to the CESA Games White Paper.

Who told you that? According to the Installbase link that you posted Luigi's Mansion 3 was at 1.09mil as of December 2021.

I said Luigi's Mansion 2 not 3.

Oh. That makes a lot more sense.

Correct. I'll update the OP.

https://www.perfectly-nintendo.com/cesa-white-book-2021-additional-shipment-data-for-nintendo-games/

It's the every few months update, with data as of September 29th.

The only changes were for Minecraft (whose Xbox One sales were previously underreported) and The Last of Us, which move up from #20 to #19 with its PlayStation 5 incarnation.

Looking at the rest of the year, no Western game looks likely to enter this list. That said, certain games are likely to do reasonably well in Japan. Mario + Rabbids sold over 210k in Japan, so its sequel should also do pretty well. Call of Duty has had a rough few years in Japan, but considering how games as recent as Black Ops 4 got onto this list, Modern Warfare II should still be worth keeping an eye on.

Looking into the more distant future, nothing looks incredibly likely to enter the list. That said, Japan is willing to eat up Nintendo-published games developed by studios like Next Level and Retro, so keep an eye on them. Also remember that if Grand Theft Auto 6 is ever released, that is almost certainly going somewhere on this list.

I'm glad to report that Ghost of Tsushima has sold a million copies in Japan, as reported by PlayStation of Japan on Twitter.

This is notable for several reasons. For one, it's the first game from the 2020's to make the list. For another, this seems to be the biggest Sony-published game in Japan since Minecraft on the Vita in 2015. As far as first party games go, no other Sony game has broken a million sales in Japan since Gran Turismo 4 back on the PS2 in 2004.

I'm going to revisit this thread and update it soon, but am just waiting for a few things to be updated. That said, if you have any suggestions for this thread, let me know!

EDIT: Now updated with data up to April 16. Little changed besides updated figures for Minecraft on the Switch. Note that the various Minecraft skus combined have outsold New Super Mario Bros (DS).

Gratulation for Ghost of Tsushima <3

One of the best Games in the last 20 Years for me. Great to see =) @ Japan