It has had crazy legs so far frankly. If they release another Mario Party on Switch that could slow it down though, and I sort of expect them to do just that. With that in mind I'll say 15-16 mil.
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Super Mario Party shipped 10.94m by June 30th. Lifetime sales expectations? | |||
| Less than 12 million | 54 | 9.84% | |
| 12.0 - 12.9 million | 91 | 16.58% | |
| 13.0 - 13.9 million | 77 | 14.03% | |
| 14.0 - 14.9 million | 76 | 13.84% | |
| 15.0 - 15.9 million | 137 | 24.95% | |
| 16.0 - 16.9 million | 29 | 5.28% | |
| 17.0 - 17.9 million | 23 | 4.19% | |
| 18.0 - 18.9 million | 6 | 1.09% | |
| 19.0 - 20.0 milllion | 11 | 2.00% | |
| More than 20 million | 45 | 8.20% | |
| Total: | 549 | ||


It has had crazy legs so far frankly. If they release another Mario Party on Switch that could slow it down though, and I sort of expect them to do just that. With that in mind I'll say 15-16 mil.
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I would expect it to at least reach 13M easily.
It's upsetting that this is the best selling Mario Party game yet Nintendo never supported this game after the release. This is one of those games that deserves and cries for DLC (new maps, mini games, characters w/ new dice etc.) Smash already has enough DLC, focus elsewhere!
I can't recall all the Mario Party games but I'd say this probably ranks in the middle at best. It's still fun and I still play this often enough with friends but the lack of maps just hurts it for me. Playing the same 4 small bland maps just isn't enough. I personally felt Mario Party 10 is a much better MP game and it's unfortunate Nintendo didn't decide to re-release it on the Switch as it didn't get the sales it deserved on the Wii U.
If the NS has a long run I'd say it can hit 20m.
I put it at 13-14m, mostly because I expect them to release another Mario Party on the Switch. I can see it selling more than that though if we are still a few years out on the next Mario Party.
This is only the second Mario Party I've owned, so I like it about as much as the other one (the first one on the Wii, whatever that was).
curl-6 bet me that PS5 + X|S sales would reach 56m before year end 2023 and he was right.
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I said 15 million. I expect another Mario Party will come out next year or the year after that will kill off sales of this Mario Party, and will probably sell over 10 million as well.
Probably 20.
As it stands, it's probably my 5th favorite or so. All of the ones that I played before 8 I liked better. But this one is the best its been since the end of the Gamecube era, Would be one of the best if they added some more boards.
15-15.9 million. It can still manage at least a few hundred thousand units annually for the next few years. And then probably still sell tens of thousands of units per year in the Switch's final days. I also make my prediction on the assumption that we will get Super Mario Party 2 (I'm thinking in 2021).
Lifetime Sales Predictions
Switch: 161 million (was 73 million, then 96 million, then 113 million, then 125 million, then 144 million, then 151 million, then 156 million)
PS5: 122 million (was 105 million, then 115 million) Xbox Series X/S: 38 million (was 60 million, then 67 million, then 57 million. then 48 million. then 40 million)
Switch 2: 120 million (was 116 million)
PS4: 120 mil (was 100 then 130 million, then 122 million) Xbox One: 51 mil (was 50 then 55 mil)
3DS: 75.5 mil (was 73, then 77 million)
"Let go your earthly tether, enter the void, empty and become wind." - Guru Laghima
This is one of the few games I would pay for the DLC. Come on Nintendo seriously.