Game hasn’t fell under 40k retail and Nintendo shipping out Some bundles NSW with AC. Retail is over 300k so far this quarter with 8weeks left. Digitally still doing good, 8mil might be possible by end of sept. 8.5mil is the floor this year, 9mil seems very likely :)

Forgot to update this, already about 70% there. 3.82mil to go

;)

The 10M Dream still lives?

Prediction: Q1 + Q2 + Q3 = 8M

Actual: 3.8M + 3.3M + 1.03M = 8.13M

So 1.87M is missing for Q4 in order for New Horizon to reach 10M this year, so far on Famitsu we have 0.25M

The holidays are the key, Animal Crossing: New Leaf obviously launched right before the holidays, so it can point us towards New Horizon's potential. If at Week 50 New Horizon is above >125K physical I think it will do it. 

• Week 50, 2012: Animal Crossing: New Leaf - 115.556(-3%)
• Week 51, 2012: Animal Crossing: New Leaf - 213.329(+85%)
• Week 52, 2012: Animal Crossing: New Leaf - 400.320(+88%)
• Week 53, 2012: Animal Crossing: New Leaf - 163,948(-59%)
• Week 1, 2013: Animal Crossing: New Leaf - 135.971(-17%)

TOTAL: 1.029.124

It really depends on Nintendo and whether they push it via a Bundle this holiday :)

But honestly those 2012 Numbers are what I'm expecting to see from New Horizon this December. It's the biggest game in Japan ever - so it would be fitting if it also has the biggest December Animal Crossing has ever had. 

9.19mil and counting

I wouldn't be surprised if this is attainable.

At the very least, ACNH should be the best selling game of all time in Japan by the end of the year. Wild!

Animal Crossing is just not selling like any game that has come before.  Usually when a game breaks a lifetime sales record, it doesn't do it in so short of a time.  Who knows how high this thing can go?  

I'd say "good luck" on your 12m prediction, but you may not need it.