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Forums - Politics - Official 2020 US Presidential Election Thread

Black and Hispanic voters are just as dumb as White voters. It just takes a little more propaganda to get them to vote Republican. Lots of Blacks and Hispanics are hyper-religious. Those hyper-religous POC care more about abortion and Jesus than they do about racism.

I think Biden has lost the election tonight. The polling errors in Florida and Georgia are too much. Biden's internal polls were saying that Michigan and Minnesota were insanely close too with Biden up just +1 point. There was an A+ rated poll in Iowa, on 538, a few days ago that gave Trump a weird +7 advantage. If Trump is really doing that well in Iowa, then he is probably doing just as well in Ohio and/or Pennsylvania. Why? Because these state are similar in demographics. I know Biden is up in Ohio currently, but what matters in the final count, and if Democratic counties underperform there, then Biden loses Ohio.

Biden could pull off a nail biter, victory, but that's meaningless so long as a Republican controlled state passes a last minute bill to give all the electors of their state to Trump. For example: Suppose AZ goes blue, but the AZ Governor and Legislature just vote to give all their electoral votes to Trump. Or suppose Biden pulls off a nail biter victory, but it's so close that it goes to the Supreme Court. Trump wins there too.

And even if Biden were to win by some utter fucking miracle, he definitely isn't getting the Senate. He'll be a lame duck president at best with McConnell filibustering every piece of legislation that goes to the Senate.

Biden getting a horrible nationwide polling error in Trump's favor can easily be explained by Biden not having a ground game. Simple as that.

Bofferbrauer2 said:
Trump winning Florida but losing Texas, who would have expected that?

Nah, I doubt Biden gets Texas. Fivethirtyeight has an election tool that shows how winning in one state can predict a win in another state. Biden will almost certainly lose Texas too. His current Texas numbers aren't enough to overcome the overwhelmingly red vote from rural areas of Texas.



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Cerebralbore101 said:

Black and Hispanic voters are just as dumb as White voters. It just takes a little more propaganda to get them to vote Republican. Lots of Blacks and Hispanics are hyper-religious. Those hyper-religous POC care more about abortion and Jesus than they do about racism.

I think this is the moment the Democrats have to wake up. They can no longer take advantage of the minority vote and not do anything to help the community and expect wide victories with them.



Trump is now about 60K votes ahead in Texas.



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So Hispanics turn out for Trump is pretty high. Guess they're out of the minority list. :)



jason1637 said:
Im gonna laugh my ass off if Trump flips Virginia.

Biden had an 11% polling lead there, if this state flips it would be ridiculous. But still a lot to count, so I expect things to shift. Early Biden leads in Texas and Kansas are now also over.



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shikamaru317 said:
Pennsylvania votes sure are coming in slow. Still at 17% reporting and polls closed over 2 hours ago I believe.

PA isn't getting called tonight. Lot of votes being counted throughout the week in that state.



jason1637 said:
Cerebralbore101 said:

Black and Hispanic voters are just as dumb as White voters. It just takes a little more propaganda to get them to vote Republican. Lots of Blacks and Hispanics are hyper-religious. Those hyper-religous POC care more about abortion and Jesus than they do about racism.

I think this is the moment the Democrats have to wake up. They can no longer take advantage of the minority vote and not do anything to help the community and expect wide victories with them.

Honestly, I think Democrats should abandon abortion and gay rights. It really pains me to say that, but people will continue to vote against those issues, and ignore their own well being. Single-issue black and hispanic religious voters will tank Dems chances everytime. LGBTQ and Abortion rights are toast anyway thanks to the rigging of the Supreme Court.

Also the more they help communities of color the more white people will cry about it. They SHOULD help communities of color, but it might backfire on them.



Cerebralbore101 said:
jason1637 said:

I think this is the moment the Democrats have to wake up. They can no longer take advantage of the minority vote and not do anything to help the community and expect wide victories with them.

Honestly, I think Democrats should abandon abortion and gay rights. It really pains me to say that, but people will continue to vote against those issues, and ignore their own well being. Single-issue black and hispanic religious voters will tank Dems chances everytime. LGBTQ and Abortion rights are toast anyway thanks to the rigging of the Supreme Court.

Also the more they help communities of color the more white people will cry about it. They SHOULD help communities of color, but it might backfire on them.

Lol no they should not. They would lose more voters than gain. They gotta actually live up to their promises they make to minority communities and not just use them every 2/4 years.



Biden is losing in Michigan, Wisconsin, Maine and Ohio now too. Mass polling error in Trump's favor once again. I give up on American politics. I live in a shithole country. Simple as that. Never voting again.

Last edited by Cerebralbore101 - on 03 November 2020

shikamaru317 said:

North Carolina Biden lead is reduced to just 0.4% now after some Trump gains, with 86% reporting. Biden was leading by 100k votes in NC last I checked, now just 20k. 

Now the lead is only 8K.



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