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Forums - Sales Discussion - When will the switch outsell the ps4?

 

When will the switch outsell the ps4?

Second half of 2022 33 11.54%
 
First half of 2023 24 8.39%
 
Second half of 2023 35 12.24%
 
First half of 2024 15 5.24%
 
Second half of 2024 16 5.59%
 
First half of 2025 7 2.45%
 
Second half of 2025 5 1.75%
 
Later than above 2 0.70%
 
Never 149 52.10%
 
Total:286
Bofferbrauer2 on 03 March 2021
curl-6 said:

Anyone know what the original percentage for "Never" was?
It's at 52.48% now, but I'm sure it used to be much higher and is dropping as more and more people realize it's happening.

I tracked them over ~3-months periods since January last year:

Bofferbrauer2 said:

Next check of the evolution of the people who think never:

January 66.66% Change:
March 64.88% -1.78
June 65.12% +0.24
September 63.68% -1.44
November 62.22% -1.46

So yeah the trend is clear here, more and more people believe that the Switch can do it.

Pretty sure that if this would have been made today, the vast majority would say that the Switch would outsell the PS4.

This reminds me, time to update the table again:

January 66.66% Change:
March 64.88% -1.78
June 65.12% +0.24
September 63.68% -1.44
November 62.22% -1.46
March 52.30% -9.92

Huge jump now, looks like those who think Switch won't make it are a very clear minority now.

Last edited by Bofferbrauer2 - on 03 March 2021

The Nintendo eShop rating Thread: http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=237454 List as Google Doc:  https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1aW2hXQT1TheElVS7z-F3pP-7nbqdrDqWNTxl6JoJWBY/edit?usp=sharing

The Steam/GOG key gifting thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/242024/the-steamgog-key-gifting-thread/1/ 

Free Pc Games thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/248138/free-pc-games/1/

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The_Liquid_Laser on 03 March 2021
Metallox said:

A lot of people were in the understanding that the PS4 was going to have a PS2 longevity, I assume.

While I always thought Switch would outsell the PS4, I also thought the PS4 would sell closer to 130m.  I find their lack of price cuts...disturbing.



curl-6 bet me that PS5 + X|S sales would reach 56m before year end 2023 and he was right.
My Bet With curl-6

My Threads:
Master Thread, Game of the Year/Decade
Switch Will Be #1 All Time
Zelda Will Outsell Mario (Achieved)
How Much Will MH Rise sell?
My Bet With Metallox

Jranation on 03 March 2021

I too wasnt expecting the PS4 to stop suddenly after the PS5 released. This just makes it sooo much easier for the Switch. Seems like many of Switch polls where majority were wrong for good reasons.



Pocky Lover Boy! 

wohufana on 03 March 2021
Jranation said:

I too wasnt expecting the PS4 to stop suddenly after the PS5 released. This just makes it sooo much easier for the Switch. Seems like many of Switch polls where majority were wrong for good reasons.

No, the PS4 has not stopped yet. It is called "Fall off a Cliff"