I think the switch is getting 120-130m, thus the "close". If it manages that with everything stacked against it, it's sucessor has a genuine chance of beating the ps2.
What is this everything stacked against Switch?
And why do you think Switch 2 would be 20-30% higher sale with the novelty gone?
Suceeding the wii u and to this day not having support that should have been there ages ago. You think that doesn't count as having it stacked against the switch? Novelty? I'll pretend I didn't read that.
I gave neither a 100m number or 3 year time spam. You wasted a great opportunity of not putting words in people's mouths.
The switch is the evidence. A successor following it's footsteps and getting better support since launch will obviously have more sales potential. Also,"won't be a new and exciting idea"? Why the hell do you think it would need that? Being a portable and home console was greatly accepted by the market and will remain a huge selling point.
That is pathetic evidence, you can't take a console and say its successor will be an instant hit based on the current console. The 3DS also followed the steps of the DS' and look how that turned out.
Getting really tired of words being put in my mouth. So let me spell it veeeery clearly: The switch is a huge success both by having a greatly accepted concept of portable + home console hybrid and an amazing game lineup. This lineup consists of huge first party sellers with a decent amount of 3rd party games (certainly more than what their previous consoles have. Now pay a lot of attention: I. NEVER. SAID. THE. SWITCH 2. WILL. BE. AN. INSTANT. HIT.
Let's read it again. "A successor following it's footsteps and getting better support since launch will obviously have more sales POTENTIAL" As in, IF (possibility) Nintendo releases a switch 2 that gets similar first party success and better 3rd party support from day one (instead of years later), it certainly can sell more than the switch and maybe even ps2. That is completely logical and there's nothing pathetic about it.
Lastly, you claimed that the 3ds followed the footsteps of the DS. That couldn't be farther from the truth. The 3ds already started badly by costing $249 when the right price for it was $199 (which would already be moderately higher than the ds $149, but acceptable). And as for software, oh boy. The DS was FLOODED with brand new quality titles of all genres while the 3ds was way inferior in that regard.