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Forums - Sales Discussion - According to Mat Piscatella "Next Gen consoles sales will not have a major effect on Switch sales"

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What do you think

Agree with him 46 76.67%
 
I am not agree 14 23.33%
 
Total:60
derpysquirtle64 said:
He is obviously right. Not only that in the past history Sony and MS consoles barely had any effect on Nintendo console sales, both of their next gen offerings launch too late in the year to have any effect on Switch sales performance.

The first part couldn't be more wrong, the second is true.

curl-6 said:

In other news, the release of the latest model Lamborghini won't have a major effect on the sales of bicycles.

Very poor comparison.



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Alright, 3 of you have some explaining to do.



Massimus - "Trump already has democrat support."

Nu-13 said:

You mean two expensive consoles of a different generation with few non cross gen games will not affect the sales of a very sucessful console during it's peak sales? No shit, Sherlock. By the time they are able to affect the switch, it will be on it's way out anyway.

No , It's not about price or games or popularity of Switch (that could be true but need another different discussion ). What the expert said in his tweet is "  Switch is not a direct competitor to PS5/Xbox " . Instead it's a compliment for both and will not cannibalize each other sales. 



Cucumberry said:
curl-6 said:

In other news, the release of the latest model Lamborghini won't have a major effect on the sales of bicycles.

I was literally just about to dump all of my bicycle stocks, thank you. 

LMAO 



Well, he's half right.  PS5 and Series X are not going to slow down Switch at all.  On the other hand, the former two consoles are going to sell sluggishly for the first few years.  Switch is going to affect PS5 and Series X just like Wii affected the sales of PS3 and XBox360.  The Wii sold great for a few years and the other two were sluggish at first.  It didn't have a big effect on their lifetime sales.  Instead is was mostly a delaying effect on their sales.  Switch will have the same delaying effect on PS5 and Series X.



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Depends on the definition of "major". I could see the next gen systems cutting a couple million units off Switch. The next gen systems will get more media coverage, and they'll be more often requested on Xmas lists, etc. But, I don't know that we'll even be able to tell, as Switch sales will be more affected by other factors than by the launch of PS and XB.



The_Liquid_Laser said:

Well, he's half right.  PS5 and Series X are not going to slow down Switch at all.  On the other hand, the former two consoles are going to sell sluggishly for the first few years.  Switch is going to affect PS5 and Series X just like Wii affected the sales of PS3 and XBox360.  The Wii sold great for a few years and the other two were sluggish at first.  It didn't have a big effect on their lifetime sales.  Instead is was mostly a delaying effect on their sales.  Switch will have the same delaying effect on PS5 and Series X.

LOL, how can he has two separate statement, there is no half right and half wrong. When you are  agree with him  it means all of his statement are correct, because it's not based on opinion, it's based on research and study. Your statement is cherry picking ,  and altering the research cause based on scientific method that Mat Piscatella did. You agree with his result but not agree with the cause. And also he never mentioned PS5 sales or xbox sales. He discussing Switch sales. 



Nu-13 said:

You mean two expensive consoles of a different generation with few non cross gen games will not affect the sales of a very sucessful console during it's peak sales? No shit, Sherlock. By the time they are able to affect the switch, it will be on it's way out anyway.

Call me when top 10 selling games of Switch aren't 1st party but 3rd party instead. Majority people bought Switch for 1st party, not 3rd party

 



The_Liquid_Laser said:

Well, he's half right.  PS5 and Series X are not going to slow down Switch at all.  On the other hand, the former two consoles are going to sell sluggishly for the first few years.  Switch is going to affect PS5 and Series X just like Wii affected the sales of PS3 and XBox360.  The Wii sold great for a few years and the other two were sluggish at first.  It didn't have a big effect on their lifetime sales.  Instead is was mostly a delaying effect on their sales.  Switch will have the same delaying effect on PS5 and Series X.

That's not what happened.

With the exception of the launch window, due to shortages, 360 was outpacing its predecessor the entire time.

Xbox vs 360

Launch-1.5m vs 1.2m

Year 1-6.5m vs 6.8m

Year 2-5.7m vs 7.9m

Year 3-6.2m vs 10.9m

Year 4-4.1m vs 10.2m

Basically they tied for the first year (when Wii wasnt out yet) then 360 started outpacing it.

As for PS3, Wii had little to do with its sluggish sales, it was the ridiculously high price, Blu-Ray not being as big of deal as DVD and the loss of a ton of exclusives.

Wii was like Switch, great sales that were independent of the other consoles and complemented rather than competed with them.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

Eh... but the kind of person who may choose to buy a Switch to supplement their PS4 may now also have to consider whether they'd rather upgrade instead. That'd be more felt in 2021 though.