How was the game release schedule for Nintendo in their Q1 and how much of an impact did those games have on the Switch sales? Too lazy to check myself. What I'm going for is trying to get some kind of a notion as to how much of an impact game releases are having at this point in the Switch's lifecycle. I know that some big guns are still on the way, but you guys are experts compared to me.

I think he expected big success for WiiU.

All depends on what a person thinks "miss by a mile" means. It's not a direct quantitative assessment. If Switch misses the goal by 4 million would that be missing by a mile? Some would say yes and some would say no. 

According to VGC, Switch had a lifetime of 16,007,373 at March 31st, and is at 18,542,155 at July 7th. That makes 2,534,782 sold unit until then. Since then we have 6 more weeks. With just below 200K each week, Switch should have at least another million more. So 3.5M is a good conservative guess. Upper end may be near 4M. Somewhere in this window. We have still half of August and full September for Q2.

It's important to remember that Pachter doesn't cover Nintendo professionally; it's not one of the stocks that he analyses for a job. His comments were off-the-cuff on Pachter Factor and he said some stuff about Nintendo being “out to lunch” and “having no strategy”. His original position on the Switch is that it wouldn't sell at the price and he's still saying it needs to cut its price. Now he's saying that PS5 will kill Switch and talking about Switch only as a home console, not as a portable.

He's pretty sharp but he's very close to the interests of the U.S. industry (he consistently backs the big companies against allegations of anti-consumer practices) and he often sounds like he's been drinking their Kool-Aid when he talks about Nintendo.

I'm under the impression, he might be more diligent then working for paying customers, then making wild speculations in an interview or in Youtube videos. The journalists adding the title analyst to his predictions do him wrong, as he makes these as a common forum dweller, not in his function as analyst.

He is talking about Nintendos 20M prediction, so until April 1st 2018 to March 31st 2019.

I think the WiiU had never 8M in one year. Maybe 4M.

He'll never take you up on this bet because he doesn't actually believe what he says. I think there's a word for people who say shit they know to be untrue just to rile up others... it somehow escapes me right now...

Thats plain stupid too imo.
Its looking like Nintendo might have a hard time reaching the 20m they forecasted.
Expecting they beat that by 5m is unrealistic, its more likely nintendo lowers its forecasts (I think).

I think nintendo does ~19m this Fisical Year (about 1m lower than its current forecast).