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Forums - Nintendo - Pachter: Switch on track to sell only 8 million systems this Fiscal Year

Bofferbrauer2 said:
Miyamotoo said:
If Patcher is trolling or what, Switch will sell around that number only in Q3 of this year.

From what I can tell, it seems Pachter lives under the opinion that power sells almost to the exclusion of everything else. Remember how he kept pushing for a powerful Wii HD? Thinking the PSP and PSV would sink Nintendos Handheld market?

In other words, the Switch is simply too weak for his taste and possibly is under the impression that this also counts for everybody else. For instance, in the video, he can't understand that someone would prefer the Switch over a PS4 unless exclusively for Nintendo games, but even then just as a secondary console.

Yeah, he believes that console need to be strong and to have strong 3rd party Western support in order to sell, but difrence is that Switch was launched 1.5 years ago and its continue to selling very good and during Holiday season sales can only much stronger, he basically ignoring all facts, like he expect that all the sudden Switch sales will "fall of a cliff". :D



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Take Pachters terrible prediction and then the terrible 25m prediction, average them and we get about 17m! There we go, that should be about right!



8m more from now until end of december?



Korvo_Attano said:
How many times does he have to be proven wrong before people stop listening to him? Is he expecting the Switch to sell the same on the last quarter with Black Friday and Christmas involved as with the previous 3?

I think he trolls on purpose.

Half of his statements are "normal" (these are normally on point) and the other half are just to create buzz, about how crazy pachter is.
Eitherway he generates buzz, and gets attention.



killeryoshis said:
Patcher is always wrong. Just take the opposite of what he says and you get the right answer! Wait. What's the opposite of 8 million?

-8m

People are going to refund their shit.



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I'm sure he's just saying this nonsense to make the news. 

I don't understand how his analyst firm keeps him on the payroll. 



"Every day I look in the mirror and ask myself: "If today were the last day of my life, would I want to do what I am about to do today?". If the answer is no for too many days in a row, I know I need to change something"

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So 20 mil FYI confirmed?



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Lol, and I just read someone is now predicting 25 million. Pokemon and SSB gonna be huge.



Oneeee-Chan!!! said:
Why he having big influence in game media ?

Because he is no analyst talking only to paying customers behind closed doors, but because he looks out for publicity.



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Megiddo said:

Title needs to be updated as he only mentions that the Switch is tracking towards only shipping 8 mil this fiscal year, which is basically just saying that the first quarter was awful, which it was. Nintendo needs stronger quarters than that if it hopes to come even close to shipping 20 million this fiscal year.

Yeah, he says they are tracking for 8M. But he follows up with 'They'll miss by a mile'. So, does he genuinely think that nothing changes the other quarters? I mean, he is in the industry long enough to know, this quarter is usually pretty low, and Q3 will be much higher. So even only considering basically constant performance the usual doubling in Q3 would mean Switch is on track for 10 million. So I really don't understand why he followed up with, that Nintendo will miss by a mile. He must know pretty well, that it will go up - by how much iis up in the air.



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