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Forums - Sales Discussion - In progress NPD predicting tool

06/30/18 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 7 (-1) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 21 (-3) - 299.00$
3 (-) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 42 (-1) - 448.95$ (-36.05$)
4 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 95 (+2) - TP

Out of Top 100 :

4 (R) - XBox One S 1Tb Starter Bundle - 89 (R) - 299.30$

PS4 : 6 points (+2) ; XBO : 68 points (-14) ; NS : 180 + 110 = 290 points (-20)


- Best Buy :

1 (+2) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 6 (-2) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 7 (-5) - 299.99$
3 (+2) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 15 (-1) - 299.00$
4 (+2) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 22 (-4) - 499.99$
5 (-1) - XBox One S 500 Gb White - 27 (-19) - 199.00$ (-80.00)
6 (+3) - Playstation 4 Pro 1 Tb - 30 (+12) - 399.00$
7 (+1) - XBox One S 1Tb Starter Bundle - 37 (-) - 299.99$
8 (-1) - XBox One S 1Tb Playerunknown's Battlegrounds - 38 (-4) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

1 (+2) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Days of Play - 1 (+3) - 299.99$

PS4 : 180 + 92 = 272 points (-211) ; XBO : 108 + 98 + 78 + 76 = 360 points (-102) ; NS : 185 + 140 = 325 points (-15)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Days of Play - 26 (-6) - 299.99$
2 (+1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1 Tb - 38 (+8) - 399.00$
3 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 41 (+3) - 299.00$
4 (+1) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 73 (+52) - 499.99$
5 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 98 (-11) - 299.00$
6 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb - 138 (+2) - 299.99$
7 (R) - XBox One S 500 Gb White - 185 (R) - 199.00$ (-80.00)

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 150 + 120 + 32 = 302 points (-) ; XBO : 78 + 8 = 86 points (+48) ; NS : 110 + 54 = 164 points (-8)

Overall (Today) :

1 - PS4 : 361.2 points (-40.8) ; Month Average : 478.5 points/day ; 1.0
2 - NS : 461.0 points (-27.0) ; Month Average : 394.2 points/day ; 0.82 (+0.01)
3 - XBO : 212.4 points (+16.4) ; Month Average : 262.9 points/day ; 0.55 (-)



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Switch is actually outselling the PS4 atm in the US (the last week or so).... and I dont think PS4 even has any big title games to really help it next month?
Next month belongs to the Switch unless Sony comes in with a price cut or something.



JRPGfan said:

Switch is actually outselling the PS4 atm in the US (the last week or so).... and I dont think PS4 even has any big title games to really help it next month?
Next month belongs to the Switch unless Sony comes in with a price cut or something.

Yeah, PS4 really dipped low this month. Last month it was almost always above 500 points, this month apart from the beginning it was under that mark all the time, and even dropping below 400 now. Meanwhile the Switch really started climbing after this E3, from around 400 last month to 450-500 points now. It's average is almost back to pre-E3 level while the PS4 is almost 100 points by now.

Another interesting point which I already eluded to in another thread is the ratio between XBO X and S models. I wanted to wait until Bestbuy updated to make sure it's correct, so here you are: The X seems to sell significantly better than the S now, S dropped out of the Top 100 on Amazon while just clinging in there at Gamestop. At Bestbuy there are 3 S Models ranking, but all of them behind the X model - and that's despite one of the S models is still 80$ off.

At this point I guess the ratio X to S is about 60% to 40%, if not even higher in favor of the X. This could also be the reason why Microsoft drops the price of the S so often: It just doesn't seem to sell anymore otherwise.



07/01/18 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 7 (-) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 22 (-1) - 299.00$
3 (-) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 41 (+2) - 448.95$ (-36.05$)

Out of Top 100 :

4 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 95 (+2) - TP

PS4 : 0 points (-6) ; XBO : 70 points (+2) ; NS : 180 + 108 = 288 points (-2)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 7 (-1) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 9 (-2) - 299.99$
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 16 (-1) - 299.00$
4 (+2) - Playstation 4 Pro 1 Tb - 21 (+9) - 399.00$
5 (-1) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 23 (-1) - 499.99$
6 (+1) - XBox One S 1Tb Starter Bundle - 27 (+10) - 299.99$
7 (-2) - XBox One S 500 Gb White - 31 (-4) - 279.00$
8 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Playerunknown's Battlegrounds - 38 (-) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 170 + 110 = 280 points (+8) ; XBO : 106 + 98 + 90 + 76 = 370 points (+10) ; NS : 180 + 135 = 315 points (-10)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Days of Play - 26 (-) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1 Tb - 38 (-) - 399.00$
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 41 (-) - 299.00$
4 (-) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 73 (-) - 499.99$
5 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 98 (-) - 299.00$
6 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb - 138 (-) - 299.99$
7 (-) - XBox One S 500 Gb White - 185 (-) - 199.00$ (-80.00)

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 150 + 120 + 32 = 302 points (-) ; XBO : 78 + 8 = 86 points (-) ; NS : 110 + 54 = 164 points (-)

Overall (Today) :

1 - PS4 : 358.0 points (-3.2) ; Month Average : 474.2 points/day ; 1.0
2 - NS : 457.4 points (-3.6) ; Month Average : 396.4 points/day ; 0.84 (+0.02)
3 - XBO : 216.0 points (+3.6) ; Month Average : 261.2 points/day ; 0.55 (-)



No update at Gamestop or did they just happen to stay at the same positions as last time?



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Bofferbrauer2 said:
No update at Gamestop or did they just happen to stay at the same positions as last time?

Well, I would bet on no update...



Looks like Nintendo can take this month. Switch ain't too far behind the PS4 anymore and with 3DS, NES and SNES classic mini it should suffice to get past Sony now.



07/02/18 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 7 (-) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 21 (+1) - 299.00$
3 (-) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 41 (-) - 448.95$
4 (R) - XBox One S 500 Gb White - 71 (R) - 234.88$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 0 points (-) ; XBO : 70 + 30 = 100 points (+30) ; NS : 180 + 110 = 290 points (+2)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 7 (-) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 8 (+1) - 299.99$
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 15 (+1) - 299.00$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1 Tb - 20 (+1) - 399.00$
5 (-) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 22 (+1) - 499.99$
6 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Starter Bundle - 27 (-) - 299.99$
7 (-) - XBox One S 500 Gb White - 28 (+3) - 279.00$
8 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Playerunknown's Battlegrounds - 37 (+1) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 175 + 115 = 290 points (+10) ; XBO : 108 + 98 + 96 + 78 = 380 points (+10) ; NS : 180 + 140 = 320 points (+5)


- Gamestop :

1 (+1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1 Tb - 35 (+3) - 399.00$
2 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 58 (-17) - 299.00$
3 (+3) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb - 78 (+60) - 299.99$
4 (-) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 80 (-7) - 499.99$
5 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 91 (+7) - 299.00$
6 (-5) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Days of Play - 111 (-85) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

7 (-) - XBox One S 500 Gb White - 185 (-) - 199.00$ (-80.00)

PS4 : 125 + 74 + 45 = 244 points (-58) ; XBO : 72 points (-14) ; NS : 94 + 60 = 154 points (-10)

Overall (Today) :

1 - PS4 : 302.0 points (-56.0) ; Month Average : 468.3 points/day ; 1.0
2 - NS : 450.0 points (-7.4) ; Month Average : 398.3 points/day ; 0.85 (+0.01)
3 - XBO : 228.0 points (+12.0) ; Month Average : 260.1 points/day ; 0.56 (+0.01)



Wow PS4 daylies only slightly over non-promoted XBO now? I didn't expect it to drop even lower than it already was.

XBO is higher than at the beginning of the month, looks like their E3 helped it's sales a bit



Bofferbrauer2 said:
Wow PS4 daylies only slightly over non-promoted XBO now? I didn't expect it to drop even lower than it already was.

XBO is higher than at the beginning of the month, looks like their E3 helped it's sales a bit

In the daily its still a good bit ahead.

PS4 daily = 302
XB1 daily = 228

thats still a pretty big differnce (302 > 228).

"XBO is higher than at the beginning of the month, looks like their E3 helped it's sales a bit"
Yes instead of being 185 ish, its now around 228.

During that week upto e3, xbox had alot of offers for the xbox right? that could explain why.

Still think the month of June ends with NPD showing PS4 > NSW > XB1.