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Forums - Sales Discussion - In progress NPD predicting tool

What's making PS4 trend so far below it's avg for the month?



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Megiddo said:
Why would the week starting with July 1st count for June NPD?

Because of January being a 5 week month once every 5 years which causes all the other months to go back one week.

June is June 3-July 7

July is July 8-Aug 4

Aug is Aug 5-Sept 1

Sept is Sept 2-Oct 6

Oct is Oct 7-Nov 3

Nov is Nov 4-Dec 1

Dec is Dec 2-Jan 5



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

06/24/18 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 8 (-1) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 20 (-2) - 299.00$
3 (+1) - XBox One S 500 Gb White - 55 (+10) - 199.99$ (-80.00)
4 (-1) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 57 (-1) - 449.99$ (-35.00$)

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 0 points (-) ; XBO : 46 + 44 = 90 points (+9) ; NS : 175 + 115 = 290 points (-15)


- Best Buy :

1 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 2 (+1) - 299.00$
2 (-1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Days of Play - 3 (-1) - 299.99$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 4 (+1) - 299.99$
4 (-) - XBox One S 500 Gb White - 6 (-) - 199.00$ (-80.00)
5 (-) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 10 (+1) - 449.99$ (-50.00)
6 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 11 (+4) - 299.00$
7 (-1) - XBox One S 1Tb Starter Bundle - 14 (-) - 249.99$ (-50.00)
8 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Playerunknown's Battlegrounds - 16 (+5) - 249.99$ (-50.00)

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 200 + 195 = 395 points (-) ; XBO : 185 + 165 + 145 + 135 = 630 points (+30) ; NS : 205 + 160 = 365 points (+25)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Days of Play - 21 (+1) - 299.99$
2 (-1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1 Tb - 35 (+5) - 399.00$
3 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 69 (-2) - 299.00$
4 (+2) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb - 121 (-10) - 299.99$
5 (-) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 146 (-51) - 449.99$ (-50.00)

Out of Top 100 :

3 (-) - XBox One S 500 Gb White - 49 (+1) - 199.00$ (-80.00)
7 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 133 (+1) - 299.00$
8 (-) - XBox One S 1 Tb Shadow of War - 138 (+1) - 249.99$ (-50.00)

PS4 : 160 + 125 + 40 = 325 points (+5) ; XBO : 28 points (-162) ; NS : 82 points (-36)

Overall (Today) :

1 - PS4 : 404.0 points (+5.0) ; Month Average : 494.6 points/day ; 1.0
2 - NS : 387.0 points (-43.0) ; Month Average : 371.7 points/day ; 0.75 (+0.01)
3 - XBO : 226.0 points (-148.8) ; Month Average : 279.9 points/day ; 0.57 (-)



XBO 1S 500Gb White 199$ strangely went out of gamestop list, maybe out of stock...can't find it even further down...



06/25/18 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 5 (+3) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 17 (+3) - 299.00$
3 (+1) - XBox One S 500 Gb White - 52 (+3) - 199.99$ (-80.00)
4 (-1) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 58 (-1) - 449.99$ (-35.00$)

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 0 points (-) ; XBO : 49 + 43 = 92 points (+2) ; NS : 190 + 130 = 320 points (+30)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 2 (-) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Days of Play - 3 (-) - 299.99$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 4 (-) - 299.99$
4 (-) - XBox One S 500 Gb White - 6 (-) - 199.00$ (-80.00)
5 (-) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 10 (-) - 449.99$ (-50.00)
6 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 11 (-) - 299.00$
7 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Starter Bundle - 14 (-) - 249.99$ (-50.00)
8 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Playerunknown's Battlegrounds - 16 (-) - 249.99$ (-50.00)

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 200 + 195 = 395 points (-) ; XBO : 185 + 165 + 145 + 135 = 630 points (-) ; NS : 205 + 160 = 365 points (-)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Days of Play - 23 (-2) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1 Tb - 34 (+1) - 399.00$
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 75 (-6) - 299.00$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb - 140 (-19) - 299.99$
5 (R) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 164 (R) - 299.00$
6 (-1) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 177 (-31) - 499.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 155 + 130 + 31 = 316 points (-9) ; XBO : 12 points (-16) ; NS : 76 + 19 = 95 points (+13)

Overall (Today) :

1 - PS4 : 395.0 points (-9.0) ; Month Average : 490.1 points/day ; 1.0
2 - NS : 424.0 points (+37.0) ; Month Average : 374.1 points/day ; 0.76 (+0.01)
3 - XBO : 211.6 points (-14.4) ; Month Average : 276.8 points/day ; 0.56 (-0.01)



Symbios63 said:
06/25/18 :

Overall (Today) :

1 - PS4 : 395.0 points (-9.0) ; Month Average : 490.1 points/day ; 1.0
2 - NS : 424.0 points (+37.0) ; Month Average : 374.1 points/day ; 0.76 (+0.01)
3 - XBO : 211.6 points (-14.4) ; Month Average : 276.8 points/day ; 0.56 (-0.01)

Thank you for the Graphs Symbios.
Things look really close last few days between the PS4 & NSW, even if this month belongs to the PS4, I think Sony will have to do something if they want to keep winning the rest of the months in the year.



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Yeah The Switch has came out strong the other side of E3 it seems. Literally from the day after E3 it started climbing again. Let's see if this momentum can fo tinge now that The Switch should have a steady stream of desirable software.



06/26/18 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 5 (-) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 18 (-1) - 299.00$
3 (+1) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 49 (+9) - 448.95$ (-36.05$)
4 (-1) - XBox One S 500 Gb White - 76 (-24) - 199.99$ (-80.00)
5 (R) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 97 (R) - TP

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 4 points (+4) ; XBO : 54 + 25 = 79 points (-13) ; NS : 190 + 125 = 315 points (-5)


- Best Buy :

1 (+2) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 2 (+2) - 299.99$
2 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 3 (-1) - 299.00$
3 (+1) - XBox One S 500 Gb White - 7 (-1) - 199.00$ (-80.00)
4 (-2) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Days of Play - 9 (-6) - 299.99$
5 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 12 (-1) - 299.00$
6 (-1) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 14 (-4) - 499.99$
7 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Starter Bundle - 20 (-6) - 299.99$
8 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Playerunknown's Battlegrounds - 23 (-7) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 205 + 170 = 375 points (-20) ; XBO : 180 + 145 + 115 + 106 = 546 points (-84) ; NS : 200 + 155 = 355 points (-10)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Days of Play - 17 (+6) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1 Tb - 24 (+10) - 399.00$
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 59 (+16) - 299.00$
4 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 108 (+56) - 299.00$
5 (+1) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 117 (+60) - 499.99$
6 (-2) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb - 119 (+21) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 170 + 155 + 41 = 366 points (+50) ; XBO : 42 points (+30) ; NS : 92 + 47 = 139 points (+44)

Overall (Today) :

1 - PS4 : 444.2 points (+49.2) ; Month Average : 488.1 points/day ; 1.0
2 - NS : 462.0 points (+38.0) ; Month Average : 377.9 points/day ; 0.77 (+0.01)
3 - XBO : 214.4 points (+2.8) ; Month Average : 274.1 points/day ; 0.56 (-)



Switch still in front in the dailies despite the PS4 recovering a good bit, at this rate Switch will come pretty close. I expect some 0.85 ratio to the PS4 for June for the Switch



The switch currently enjoying the Mario Tenni Aces boost. It is the only one currently polling above its monthly average.



06/27/18 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 5 (-) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 17 (+1) - 299.00$
3 (-) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 43 (+6) - 448.95$ (-36.05$)
4 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 61 (+36) - 299.00$

Out of Top 100 :

4 (-1) - XBox One S 500 Gb White - 76 (-24) - 199.99$ (-80.00)

PS4 : 40 points (+36) ; XBO : 66 points (-13) ; NS : 190 + 130 = 320 points (+5)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 2 (-) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 6 (-3) - 299.00$
3 (-) - XBox One S 500 Gb White - 8 (-1) - 199.00$ (-80.00)
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Days of Play - 9 (-) - 299.99$
5 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 14 (-2) - 299.00$
6 (-) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 21 (-7) - 499.99$
7 (+1) - XBox One S 1Tb Playerunknown's Battlegrounds - 28 (-5) - 299.99$
8 (-1) - XBox One S 1Tb Starter Bundle - 38 (-18) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 205 + 170 = 375 points (-) ; XBO : 175 + 110 + 96 + 76 = 457 points (-89) ; NS : 185 + 145 = 330 points (-25)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Days of Play - 18 (-1) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1 Tb - 32 (-8) - 399.00$
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 48 (+11) - 299.00$
4 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 86 (+22) - 299.00$
5 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb - 105 (+14) - 299.99$
6 (-1) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 124 (-7) - 499.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 170 + 135 + 48 = 353 points (-13) ; XBO : 39 points (-3) ; NS : 104 + 66 = 170 points (+31)

Overall (Today) :

1 - PS4 : 460.0 points (+15.8) ; Month Average : 486.9 points/day ; 1.0
2 - NS : 492.0 points (+30.0) ; Month Average : 382.7 points/day ; 0.79 (+0.02)
3 - XBO : 183.2 points (-31.2) ; Month Average : 270.3 points/day ; 0.56 (-)