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Forums - Sales Discussion - In progress NPD predicting tool

06/23/18 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 7 (+2) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 18 (-) - 299.00$
3 (-) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 56 (+1) - 449.99$ (-35.00$)
4 (-) - XBox One S 500 Gb White - 65 (+31) - 199.99$ (-80.00)

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 0 points (-) ; XBO : 45 + 36 = 81 points (+32) ; NS : 180 + 125 = 305 points (+10)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Days of Play - 2 (-1) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 3 (-1) - 299.00$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 5 (-) - 299.99$
4 (-) - XBox One S 500 Gb White - 6 (+1) - 199.00$ (-80.00)
5 (-) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 11 (-1) - 449.99$ (-50.00)
6 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Starter Bundle - 14 (-) - 249.99$ (-50.00)
7 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 15 (+1) - 299.00$
8 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Playerunknown's Battlegrounds - 21 (+3) - 249.99$ (-50.00)

Out of Top 100 :

9 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1 Tb - 47 (-1) - 399.00$

PS4 : 205 + 190 = 395 points (-63) ; XBO : 185 + 160 + 145 + 110 = 600 points (+6) ; NS : 200 + 140 = 340 points (-)

- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Days of Play - 22 (+1) - 299.99$
2 (-1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1 Tb - 40 (+1) - 399.00$
3 (-) - XBox One S 500 Gb White - 49 (+1) - 199.00$ (-80.00)
4 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 67 (+1) - 299.00$
5 (-) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 95 (+1) - 449.99$ (-50.00)
6 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb - 111 (+1) - 299.99$
7 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 133 (+1) - 299.00$
8 (-) - XBox One S 1 Tb Shadow of War - 138 (+1) - 249.99$ (-50.00)

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 160 + 115 + 45 = 320 points (+10) ; XBO : 102 + 56 + 32 = 190 points (+1) ; NS : 84 + 34 = 118 points (-)

Overall (Today) :

1 - PS4 : 399.0 points (-2.6) ; Month Average : 499.2 points/day ; 1.0
2 - NS : 430.0 points (+8.0) ; Month Average : 370.9 points/day ; 0.74 (+0.01)
3 - XBO : 374.8 points (+27.8) ; Month Average : 282.6 points/day ; 0.57 (+0.02)




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Wait, why are PS4s not sold on Amazon anymore?



It's so close between all three of them right now.



If this keeps up it could be a pretty competitive month from all 3.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

VGPolyglot said:
Wait, why are PS4s not sold on Amazon anymore?

Best guess, conflict between Amazon and Sony similar to what went down between Amazon and Nintendo.  Basically, Amazon pressuring for a bigger deal.  Not that it really matters as the tracking here shows, PlayStation will get its sales.  The PS4 isn't the Wii U.  So Amazon is wasting their time.



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Nuvendil said:
Sony will win June. June has been anomalously strong for PS4 for years now due to their Days of Play and other similar E3 season sales and deals. The Switch will have a perfectly healthy, even strong June but PS4 will almost certainly come out ahead.

Yeah, the advantage the PS4 build up early this month is too big to be taken over by Switch or Xbox.

However, the PS4 is nosediving the last couple days, and it doesn't look like it's gonna jump up again soon. If PS4 doesn't recover much, Summer might be a good time for Switch



Wonder what type of effect the Fortnite bundle will have on PS4 sales.



Bofferbrauer2 said:
Nuvendil said:
Sony will win June. June has been anomalously strong for PS4 for years now due to their Days of Play and other similar E3 season sales and deals. The Switch will have a perfectly healthy, even strong June but PS4 will almost certainly come out ahead.

Yeah, the advantage the PS4 build up early this month is too big to be taken over by Switch or Xbox.

However, the PS4 is nosediving the last couple days, and it doesn't look like it's gonna jump up again soon. If PS4 doesn't recover much, Summer might be a good time for Switch

One thing to take note of is that they first week of July is in the June tracking period so there is still two full weeks left so it could be a close month if this keeps up.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

zorg1000 said:
Bofferbrauer2 said:

Yeah, the advantage the PS4 build up early this month is too big to be taken over by Switch or Xbox.

However, the PS4 is nosediving the last couple days, and it doesn't look like it's gonna jump up again soon. If PS4 doesn't recover much, Summer might be a good time for Switch

One thing to take note of is that they first week of July is in the June tracking period so there is still two full weeks left so it could be a close month if this keeps up.

NPD months are so weird



Why would the week starting with July 1st count for June NPD?