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Forums - Sales Discussion - In progress NPD predicting tool

Bofferbrauer2 on 02 July 2018
JRPGfan said:
Bofferbrauer2 said:
Wow PS4 daylies only slightly over non-promoted XBO now? I didn't expect it to drop even lower than it already was.

XBO is higher than at the beginning of the month, looks like their E3 helped it's sales a bit

In the daily its still a good bit ahead.

PS4 daily = 302
XB1 daily = 228

thats still a pretty big differnce (302 > 228).

"XBO is higher than at the beginning of the month, looks like their E3 helped it's sales a bit"
Yes instead of being 185 ish, its now around 228.

During that week upto e3, xbox had alot of offers for the xbox right? that could explain why.

Still think the month of June ends with NPD showing PS4 > NSW > XB1.

Looks closer than that on the graph. And that's still down from 600 early this month, so only half that anymore

XBO went up from 150, not 185, to 228, so basically that's a 50% increase for them. Doesn't look like that much on the graph, I know, but it's a big boost even though the promotions are over for about 2 weeks now

I agree, PS4 will most probably win against the Switch, but if we add all of Nintendo against Sony, it should be an easy victory for Nintendo as the gap is getting too small for the PS4 to fend off 3DS/NES mini/SNES mini sales



The Nintendo eShop rating Thread: http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=237454 List as Google Doc:  https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1aW2hXQT1TheElVS7z-F3pP-7nbqdrDqWNTxl6JoJWBY/edit?usp=sharing

The Steam/GOG key gifting thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/242024/the-steamgog-key-gifting-thread/1/ 

Free Pc Games thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/248138/free-pc-games/1/

Around the Network
chakkra on 02 July 2018

It looks like PS4 and Switch are gonna be virtually tied this month.



gemini_d@rk on 02 July 2018

Sony end ps4 production?



Bofferbrauer2 on 02 July 2018
gemini_d@rk said:
Sony end ps4 production?

Nope, just doesn't have many enticing releases right now, contrary to the Switch



The Nintendo eShop rating Thread: http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=237454 List as Google Doc:  https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1aW2hXQT1TheElVS7z-F3pP-7nbqdrDqWNTxl6JoJWBY/edit?usp=sharing

The Steam/GOG key gifting thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/242024/the-steamgog-key-gifting-thread/1/ 

Free Pc Games thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/248138/free-pc-games/1/

Symbios63 on 03 July 2018

07/03/18 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 5 (+2) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 19 (+2) - 299.00$
3 (-) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 44 (-3) - 448.95$
4 (-) - XBox One S 500 Gb White - 58 (+13) - 234.88$
5 (R) - XBox One S 1Tb Starter Bundle - 79 (R) - 299.99$
6 (R) - Playstation 4 Pro 1 Tb - 95 (R) - TP

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 6 points (+6) ; XBO : 64 + 43 + 22 = 129 points (+29) ; NS : 190 + 120 = 310 points (+20)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 2 (+5) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 3 (+5) - 299.99$
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 10 (+5) - 299.00$
4 (+1) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 16 (+6) - 499.99$
5 (-1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1 Tb - 18 (+2) - 399.00$
6 (+1) - XBox One S 500 Gb White - 20 (+8) - 279.00$
7 (-1) - XBox One S 1Tb Starter Bundle - 22 (+5) - 299.99$
8 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Playerunknown's Battlegrounds - 27 (+10) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 200 + 125 = 325 points (+35) ; XBO : 135 + 115 + 108 + 98 = 456 points (+76) ; NS : 205 + 165 = 370 points (+50)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1 Tb - 40 (-5) - 399.00$
2 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb - 78 (-) - 299.99$
3 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 83 (-25) - 299.00$
4 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 125 (-34) - 299.00$

Out of Top 100 :

4 (-) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 80 (-7) - 499.99$
6 (-5) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Days of Play - 111 (-85) - 299.99$

PS4 : 115 + 74 = 189 points (-55) ; XBO : 0 points (-72) ; NS :68 + 38 = 106 points (-48)

Overall (Today) :

1 - PS4 : 258.8 points (-43.2) ; Month Average : 461.3 points/day ; 1.0
2 - NS : 428.0 points (-22.0) ; Month Average : 399.3 points/day ; 0.87 (+0.02)
3 - XBO : 194.4 points (-33.6) ; Month Average : 257.9 points/day ; 0.56 (-)



Around the Network
Pionner on 03 July 2018

How often do you update again? Cause BB is showing PS4 ahead.

These last weeks of NDP tracking Switch has been putting up good sales. Wonder if it's enough to exceed to PS4's lead for the month.



Formerly ilovegirls69  :(

Bofferbrauer2 on 03 July 2018
Pionner said:
How often do you update again? Cause BB is showing PS4 ahead.

These last weeks of NDP tracking Switch has been putting up good sales. Wonder if it's enough to exceed to PS4's lead for the month.

Generally he does once a day. Probably did it just before the data changed, then.

It will probably not be enough to win the month as Switch is running out of time, but the drop of the PS4 is really spectacular. I mean, who would have expected this even just one week ago? That the Switch would end this month pretty strong was mostly given, considering how many higher profile releases it got there, but the PS4 sales tanking so hard at the end it gets close to baseline XBO sales...



The Nintendo eShop rating Thread: http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=237454 List as Google Doc:  https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1aW2hXQT1TheElVS7z-F3pP-7nbqdrDqWNTxl6JoJWBY/edit?usp=sharing

The Steam/GOG key gifting thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/242024/the-steamgog-key-gifting-thread/1/ 

Free Pc Games thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/248138/free-pc-games/1/

Symbios63 on 03 July 2018
Pionner said:
How often do you update again? Cause BB is showing PS4 ahead.

These last weeks of NDP tracking Switch has been putting up good sales. Wonder if it's enough to exceed to PS4's lead for the month.

I do update once a day.

Gamestop usually updates once a day as well (around noon for me) whereas BB is a bit random (I guess in this case, the BB update was right after mine).

PS4 should still take the month but Switch should be pretty close and has good chance to take back the lead in July. Well, at least this is how I would read the data we have here. 

 

 



Pionner on 03 July 2018
Bofferbrauer2 said:
Pionner said:
How often do you update again? Cause BB is showing PS4 ahead.

These last weeks of NDP tracking Switch has been putting up good sales. Wonder if it's enough to exceed to PS4's lead for the month.

Generally he does once a day. Probably did it just before the data changed, then.

It will probably not be enough to win the month as Switch is running out of time, but the drop of the PS4 is really spectacular. I mean, who would have expected this even just one week ago? That the Switch would end this month pretty strong was mostly given, considering how many higher profile releases it got there, but the PS4 sales tanking so hard at the end it gets close to baseline XBO sales...

I think Fortnite is helping Switch sales. The most popular online game being portable has to be bringing in new people. Crash Badicoot also. Basically games sell hardware.

PS4 has a normal decline i would say. The Days of Play sale ending would naturally slow sales down the following weeks. But not so much to cause a big change as it's still way above XB1.

Symbios63 said:
Pionner said:
How often do you update again? Cause BB is showing PS4 ahead.

These last weeks of NDP tracking Switch has been putting up good sales. Wonder if it's enough to exceed to PS4's lead for the month.

I do update once a day.

Gamestop usually updates once a day as well (around noon for me) whereas BB is a bit random (I guess in this case, the BB update was right after mine).

PS4 should still take the month but Switch should be pretty close and has good chance to take back the lead in July. Well, at least this is how I would read the data we have here. 

 

 

I've seen Bestbuy update twice in one day before. It can sometimes be random.  

What do you do in that case? If for example tomorrows update has Switch back in front then you'd miss PS4 points from today.

Good thing it's more consistent than random though.



Formerly ilovegirls69  :(

Symbios63 on 04 July 2018

07/04/18 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 7 (-2) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 23 (-4) - 299.00$
3 (-) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 48 (-4) - 448.95$
4 (-) - XBox One S 500 Gb White - 63 (-5) - 234.88$
5 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Starter Bundle - 84 (-5) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

6 (R) - Playstation 4 Pro 1 Tb - 95 (R) - TP

PS4 : 0 points (-6) ; XBO : 56 + 38 + 17 = 111 points (-18) ; NS : 180 + 106 = 286 points (-24)


- Best Buy :

1 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 1 (+2) - 299.99$
2 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 4 (-2) - 299.00$
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 10 (-) - 299.00$
4 (+1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1 Tb - 14 (+6) - 399.00$
5 (-1) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 20 (-4) - 499.99$
6 (+1) - XBox One S 1Tb Starter Bundle - 25 (-3) - 299.99$
7 (+1) - XBox One S 1Tb Playerunknown's Battlegrounds - 39 (-12) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

6 (+1) - XBox One S 500 Gb White - 20 (+8) - 279.00$

PS4 : 210 + 145 = 355 points (+30) ; XBO : 115 + 102 + 74 = 291 points (-165) ; NS : 195 + 165 = 360 points (-10)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1 Tb - 42 (-2) - 399.00$
2 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb - 79 (-1) - 299.99$
3 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 90 (-7) - 299.00$
4 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 131 (-6) - 299.00$

Out of Top 100 :

4 (-) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 80 (-7) - 499.99$
6 (-5) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Days of Play - 111 (-85) - 299.99$

PS4 : 110 + 72 = 182 points (-7) ; XBO : 0 points (-) ; NS :62 + 35 = 97 points (-9)

Overall (Today) :

1 - PS4 : 253.0 points (-5.8) ; Month Average : 454.6 points/day ; 1.0
2 - NS : 397.8 points (-30.2) ; Month Average : 399.2 points/day ; 0.88 (+0.01)
3 - XBO : 147 points (-47.4) ; Month Average : 254.3 points/day ; 0.56 (-)