By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close

Forums - Sales Discussion - In progress NPD predicting tool

jason1637 said: 
NPD tracking for October ended yesterday.
Mbolibombo said:

Correct.

 

OP: For future reference

Period -> release of data

Oct (10/7-11/2) data - Nov 20th Nov (11/3-12/1) data - Dec 18th Dec (12/2-1/5) data - Jan 22nd Jan (1/6-2/2) data - Feb 19th

Hold on, what are you guys talking about? NPD tracking always starts on a Sunday and ends on a Saturday.

In fact, Mbolibombo, each of the end-of-month dates you listed except in October are a Saturday. What sense does it make for October to start on 10/7, a Sunday, and then end on 11/2, a Friday?



Around the Network

Ps4 in third even with cod and rdr2? Saturation point reached?



StarDoor said:
jason1637 said: 
NPD tracking for October ended yesterday.
Mbolibombo said:

Correct.

 

OP: For future reference

Period -> release of data

Oct (10/7-11/2) data - Nov 20th Nov (11/3-12/1) data - Dec 18th Dec (12/2-1/5) data - Jan 22nd Jan (1/6-2/2) data - Feb 19th

Hold on, what are you guys talking about? NPD tracking always starts on a Sunday and ends on a Saturday.

In fact, Mbolibombo, each of the end-of-month dates you listed except in October are a Saturday. What sense does it make for October to start on 10/7, a Sunday, and then end on 11/2, a Friday?

 

I got my information from the Mat NPD guy on twitter.

Lol, my bad guys. Can't even say I didn't know.... I will correct the data today.

And thanks for the future periods, I will try not to forget them...



October Summaries :

1) With Preorders from last months included (119.7 points/day for PS4 ; 67.0 points/day for XBO ; 196.1 points/day for NS)

Amazon : 1) NS : 223.7 points/day ; 2) PS4 : 35.6 points/day ; 3) XBO : 9.5 points/day
Best Buy : 1) PS4 : 261.1 points/day ; 2) NS : 252.9 points/day ; 3) XBO : 193.9 points/day
Gamestop : 1) NS : 433.9 points/day ; 2) XBO : 376.6 points/day ; 3) PS4 : 364.9 points/day


Overall : 1) NS : 859.6 points/day (1.00) ; 2) XBO : 657.0 points/day (0.74) ; 3) PS4 : 565.3 points/day (0.66)



2) Without preorders :

Overall : 1) NS : 663.5 points/day (1.00) ; 2) XBO : 570.0 points/day (0.86) ; 3) PS4 : 445.6 points/day (0.67)

I did remove the points from the November XBO Fallout 76 bundle which will be counted as preorders for November (it does not change things much).



Around the Network

November Preorders :

PS4 : Nothing
XBO : 465.4 (Battlefield 5) + 619 (Fallout 76) = 1084.4 points ; 37.4 points/day
NS : 11950.4 (Pokemon) points ; 412.1 points/day

I am skeptical about the amount of point due to Pokemon Bundle but we will see.... Holiday season makes things difficult indeed.

 

Edit : And first november update was edited :)

Last edited by Symbios63 - on 04 November 2018

11/04/18 :


- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 21 (+1) - 299.00$
2 (+1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Red Dead Redemption 2 Bundle - 41 (-1) - TP
3 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 50 (-1) - 299.00$
4 (-2) - Nintendo Switch Super Smash Bros. Ultimate Bundle - 53 (-23) - TP

Out of Top 100 :

5 (-) - Nintendo Switch Fortnite Double Helix Bundle - 95 (-44) - TP

PS4 : 70 point (-2) ; XBO : 0 point (-) ; NS : 110 + 52 + 48 = 210 points (-50)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 1 (-) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 3 (-) - 299.99$
3 (+3) - Nintendo Switch Super Smash Bros. Ultimate Bundle - 4 (+6) - 359.99$
4 (-1) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 5 (-1) - 299.99$
5 (-) - Nintendo Switch Fortnite Double Helix Bundle - 8 (-) - 299.99$
6 (-2) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 10 (-3) - 499.99$
7 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Red Dead Redemption 2 Bundle - 15 (-) - 399.99$
8 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 19 (-2) - 299.99$
9 (+2) - XBox One S 1Tb Starter Bundle - 22 (+52) - 299.99$
10 (-1) - XBox One X 1Tb Shadow of the Tomb Raider - 57 (+3) - 499.99$
11 (-1) - XBox One S NBA 2K19 - 63 (+3) - 299.99$
12 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb - 82 (-1) - 499.99$
13 (R) - XBox One X 1Tb Battlefield 5 - 89 (R) - 499.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 210 + 165 + 140 = 515 points (-15) ; XBO : 190 + 108 + 44 + 38 + 19 + 12 = 411 points (+93) ; NS : 200 + 195 + 175 + 120 = 690 points (+20)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Super Smash Bros. Ultimate Bundle - 6 (+2)
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Diablo III EC - 16 (-1)
3 (+2) - XBox One S 1Tb NBA 2K19 + RDR2 (D) - 31 (+4)
4 (-1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Red Dead Redemption 2 Bundle - 36 (-10)
5 (+1) - XBox One S 1Tb NBA 2K19 + RDR2 (P) - 42 (+8)
6 (-2) - XBox One X 1Tb Robot White Fallout 76 + RDR2 (P) - 49 (-22)
7 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Fortnite Double Helix Bundle - 53 (+29)
8 (+3) - XBox One S 1Tb Sea of Thieves + RDR2 (D) - 102 (-1)
9 (+5) - XBox One X 1Tb + RDR2 (P) - 104 (+26)
10 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb - 106 (-7)
11 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 113 (-6)
12 (-3) - XBox One X 1Tb Robot White Fallout 76 + RDR2 (D) - 128 (-37)
13 (+2) - XBox One X 1Tb NBA 2K19 + RDR2 - 137 (+14)
14 (+2) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 168 (-8)
15 (+2) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 174 (-12)

Out of Top 100 :

7 (-4) - Nintendo Switch Pokémon let's Go Pikachu! Bundle - 68 (-59) - November 16th
13 (-3) - XBox One S 1Tb Sea of Thieves + RDR2 (P) - 129 (-57)

PS4 : 125 + 48 + 15 = 188 points (-34) ; XBO : 135 + 110 + 102 + 50 + 49 + 37 + 32 = 515 points (-64) ; NS : 200 + 175 + 98 + 44 + 17 = 534 points (+26)

Overall (with preorders from last months) :

1 - NS : 1252.1 points (-10.0) ; Month Average : 1257.1 points/day ; 1.0
2 - XBO : 825.0 points (-59.0) ; Month Average : 854.5 points/day ; 0.68 (-0.02)
3 - PS4 : 347.0 points (-38.6) ; Month Average : 366.3 points/day ; 0.29 (-0.02)



StarDoor said:
jason1637 said: 
NPD tracking for October ended yesterday.
Mbolibombo said:

Correct.

 

OP: For future reference

Period -> release of data

Oct (10/7-11/2) data - Nov 20th Nov (11/3-12/1) data - Dec 18th Dec (12/2-1/5) data - Jan 22nd Jan (1/6-2/2) data - Feb 19th

Hold on, what are you guys talking about? NPD tracking always starts on a Sunday and ends on a Saturday.

In fact, Mbolibombo, each of the end-of-month dates you listed except in October are a Saturday. What sense does it make for October to start on 10/7, a Sunday, and then end on 11/2, a Friday?

Well, beats me. That's what NPD-Mat has stickied to his twitter. Maybe he got his numbers wrong.



So it seems the Switch has considerable momentum going into the holidays......it would need it if Nintendo are going to hit that 20m target. They definitely can't be ashamed of current performance though. Also seems Saturation has finally caught up with the PS4 (pending any Black Friday inspired revivals). Damned good performance for the PS4 though, particularly since it wiped the floor with the XBone. Interesting times indeed, is the reign of the Switch about to begin ?



duduspace1 said:
So it seems the Switch has considerable momentum going into the holidays......it would need it if Nintendo are going to hit that 20m target. They definitely can't be ashamed of current performance though. Also seems Saturation has finally caught up with the PS4 (pending any Black Friday inspired revivals). Damned good performance for the PS4 though, particularly since it wiped the floor with the XBone. Interesting times indeed, is the reign of the Switch about to begin ?

Wouldn't go as far as saturation, PS4 goes up and down, some months it does what people consider poor but then next month it just comes straight back. Have to remember September was a great month for it.. actually massive month... so yeah without big deals it looks like it came in third for October, but in reality it would have been 2nd had MS not done a massive discount... so you can't just look at data and go PS4 third... its bigger than that.



Making an indie game : Dead of Day!