By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close

Forums - Sales Discussion - Japan sales (Week 8): Media Create/Famitsu/Dengeki - February 19-25, 2018

Another quiet week for Switch software



NintenDomination [May 2015 - July 2017]
 

  - Official  VGChartz Tutorial Thread - 

NintenDomination [2015/05/19 - 2017/07/02]
 

          

 

 

Here lies the hidden threads. 

 | |

Nintendo Metascore | Official NintenDomination | VGC Tutorial Thread

| Best and Worst of Miiverse | Manga Discussion Thead |
[3DS] Winter Playtimes [Wii U]

Around the Network
zorg1000 said:
PAOerfulone said:

Introducing a PAOerful One original (as far as I'm aware)!

The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild Japanese Sales Tracker (Single SKUs):

1. (NES) The Legend of Zelda - 1,690,000
2. (NES) Zelda II: The Adventure of Link - 1,610,000
3. (N64) The Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time - 1,450,000
4. (SNES) The Legend of Zelda: A Link to the Past - 1,115,000 
5. (DS) The Legend of Zelda: Phantom Hourglass - 950,000
6. (GC) The Legend of Zelda: The Wind Waker - 890,000
7. (NS) The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild* - 883,780

*Without Digital

Including Wii U and digital, its probably above LttP sales and could very well become the best selling Zelda in Japan by the end of the year.

 

LipeJJ said:
Acevil said:

The quest for 4th place begins!

It's already there it you include digital and Wii U version. o/

I'm pretty sure it will take the first place eventually.

@LipeJJ & zorg1000, oh I know. I just want to have some fun, and it would be that much more incredible if the Switch version, by itself, was able to do it.

Acevil said:

The quest for 4th place begins!

Indeed!



Pinkie_pie said:
How is switch gonna sell 4.5m this year if it only did 3.3m last year? How much did switch sell in march last year?

About 565k in March 2017. So far it sold 445k without taking march into account, so if it maintains the current 40k baseline, even with Kirby coming out (which should up it), it will be around 600k+ by the end of march.

And it will get better for Switch this year, because it had a lot of 20k~30k weeks during April/May/June cause stock was very limited.



Bet with Teeqoz for 2 weeks of avatar and sig control that Super Mario Odyssey would ship more than 7m on its first 2 months. The game shipped 9.07m, so I won

Pinkie_pie said:
How is switch gonna sell 4.5m this year if it only did 3.3m last year? How much did switch sell in march last year?

March-565k

April-210k (52.5k/week)

May-110k (27.5k/week)

June-155k (31k/week)

July-245k (61k/week)

Aug-240k (60k/week)

Sept-255k (51k/week)

Oct-235k (59k/week)

Nov-375k (94k/week)

Dec-915k (183k/week)

 

Switch had a really good year in 2017 but it wasnt anything mindblowingly amazing and should not be hard to be comfortably.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

Very odd to see people predicting 2mil PS4 sold in Japan for 2018 when Media Crate, the very source of this thread, has the PS4 just under 600k sold after 2 months.



Around the Network
Jranation said:
Lawlight said:

Well, it is Japan where handhelds rule supreme and consoles don’t do well.

But the PS4 have beaten the Vita. 

The Vita was simply not supported. It’s only big seller in Japan is Minecraft and it got nothing beyond that. It still almost doubled what the WiiU sold, a system that had plenty of Mario games including Mario Kart 8, Splatoon, Smash. Even the PS4 struggled to outsell the Vita despite all the big hitters it got.



Lawlight said:
Jranation said:

But the PS4 have beaten the Vita. 

The Vita was simply not supported. It’s only big seller in Japan is Minecraft and it got nothing beyond that. It still almost doubled what the WiiU sold, a system that had plenty of Mario games including Mario Kart 8, Splatoon, Smash. Even the PS4 struggled to outsell the Vita despite all the big hitters it got.

Wii and PS3 still crossed the 10m mark and PS4 is on track to do it. Consoles still do well in Japan, but handhelds do super well. That's it.



Bet with Teeqoz for 2 weeks of avatar and sig control that Super Mario Odyssey would ship more than 7m on its first 2 months. The game shipped 9.07m, so I won

By the end of march switch will be up by 100k from last year. Switch did 3.3m last year even with odyssey and Zelda. Pokemon ain't coming this year so switch won't be doing 4.5m. I'd say between 3.5-4m this year



LipeJJ said:
Lawlight said:

The Vita was simply not supported. It’s only big seller in Japan is Minecraft and it got nothing beyond that. It still almost doubled what the WiiU sold, a system that had plenty of Mario games including Mario Kart 8, Splatoon, Smash. Even the PS4 struggled to outsell the Vita despite all the big hitters it got.

Wii and PS3 still crossed the 10m mark and PS4 is on track to do it. Consoles still do well in Japan, but handhelds do super well. That's it.

Yeah but the PS4 will blitz past the PS3 in every region this year except for Japan, where it could potentially never outsell the PS3 - and that’s despite DQ and MH coming back to the PS. Just goes on to show the change in landscape when it comes to console gaming in Japan.



Pinkie_pie said:
By the end of march switch will be up by 100k from last year. Switch did 3.3m last year even with odyssey and Zelda. Pokemon ain't coming this year so switch won't be doing 4.5m. I'd say between 3.5-4m this year

However, Switch won't have anywhere near as severe stock issues as it did last year, and it's baseline over the summer should be up considerably over last summer. And while Pokemon ain't coming this year, there will be plenty of smaller, but substantial games to fill the gap like Kirby, Mario Tennis, and Fire Emblem. Plus, Nintendo LABO has been doing pretty good in the COMG Pre-Order charts, with a little less than 2 months still to go before it releases, so watch out for that. 

Plus, they could pull the wool over our heads and reveal some big games that could release this year and do big numbers. There may be a new 2D Mario game in the works and 2D Mario traditionally sells more than 3D Mario, so that could sell quite a number of Switch units.
And there's a good chance that we may get Smash Bros, most likely 4 Deluxe, this year. Because Nintendo's Paid Online services start in September, they're going to need a big, blockbuster multiplayer game to go alongside it to really help push Switch owners to subscribe for the long haul, there's no bigger multiplayer game they could release with at this point then Smash Bros.

And finally, there's one more huge wildcard that could release this year that has almost become just as big of a system seller in Japan as Pokemon; Animal Crossing. The mobile game just came out a few months ago, it's been over five years since New Leaf came out on the 3DS, we're overdue for a mainline Animal Crossing game. If the next game in the series comes out for Switch this year, its 2nd holiday season is going to blow up over there, much more than it did with Super Mario Odyssey. 

Now granted, most of this depends on chance and is hypothetical guessing, but it's not that hard to believe that Switch can achieve 4.5, or even 5 million without Pokemon. There's plenty of other hitters in Nintendo's batting order that can step up to the plate and knock one out of the park.

Last edited by PAOerfulone - on 01 March 2018