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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - When will Switch LTD pass GameCube?

 

When will the Switch LTD pass the NCG

June 2018 7 8.97%
 
July 2018 11 14.10%
 
August 2018 19 24.36%
 
September 2018 14 17.95%
 
October 2018 7 8.97%
 
November 2018 7 8.97%
 
December 2018 3 3.85%
 
1st half 2019 3 3.85%
 
2nd half 2019 1 1.28%
 
It won't 6 7.69%
 
Total:78
wombat123 on 26 February 2018

August. Earlier if Labo takes off and Nintendo boosts its Switch shipments.



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Miyamotoo on 26 February 2018
LipeJJ said:
Miyamotoo said:
Switch was around 15m at end of December, it will be around 17-18m at 31. March, so it will pass GC numbers probably around July.

Agreed. Nintendo expects 2.9m shipped this quarter, which means 17.8m by the end of March. The next quarter should be at least a bit better since it actually has many first party releases, so let’s go modest with 3.5m. That would put it at 21.3m by the end of June, so it will definitely surpass it by July. And that’s a conservative scenario.

Yeah, on 31. June Switch will probably be at around 21m, and that's without big boost in sales, so July look like safe bet, if Labo takes off, probably before July.



Kristof81 on 26 February 2018

Even if the sales numbers would stagnant at current 200k per week level, it will reach GCN numbers by the beginning of September 2018



LipeJJ on 26 February 2018
Miyamotoo said:
LipeJJ said:

Agreed. Nintendo expects 2.9m shipped this quarter, which means 17.8m by the end of March. The next quarter should be at least a bit better since it actually has many first party releases, so let’s go modest with 3.5m. That would put it at 21.3m by the end of June, so it will definitely surpass it by July. And that’s a conservative scenario.

Yeah, on 31. June Switch will probably be at around 21m, and that's without big boost in sales, so July look like safe bet, if Labo takes off, probably before July.

Yep. I’m pretty surprised at people predicting October/November. Did they do their math or are they seriously expecting Switch to do only 6m in 10/11 months? o.O



Bet with Teeqoz for 2 weeks of avatar and sig control that Super Mario Odyssey would ship more than 7m on its first 2 months. The game shipped 9.07m, so I won

Miyamotoo on 26 February 2018
LipeJJ said:
Miyamotoo said:

Yeah, on 31. June Switch will probably be at around 21m, and that's without big boost in sales, so July look like safe bet, if Labo takes off, probably before July.

Yep. I’m pretty surprised at people predicting October/November. Did they do their math or are they seriously expecting Switch to do only 6m in 10/11 months? o.O

I think problem is shiped vs sold numbers, while even those GC numbers are shipped, same like Wii, Wii U and Switch oficial shipped numbers.



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LipeJJ on 26 February 2018
Miyamotoo said:
LipeJJ said:

Yep. I’m pretty surprised at people predicting October/November. Did they do their math or are they seriously expecting Switch to do only 6m in 10/11 months? o.O

I think problem is shiped vs sold numbers, while even those GC numbers are shipped, same like Wii, Wii U and Switch oficial shipped numbers.

Well, we have to use official numbers from (shipped) from Nintendo. Like you said, all previous consoles numbers are that way.



Bet with Teeqoz for 2 weeks of avatar and sig control that Super Mario Odyssey would ship more than 7m on its first 2 months. The game shipped 9.07m, so I won

Jumpin on 26 February 2018
Kristof81 said:
Even if the sales numbers would stagnant at current 200k per week level, it will reach GCN numbers by the beginning of September 2018

GCN?

So we’re talking about a sports channel now? ;P



I describe myself as a little dose of toxic masculinity.

StarDoor on 26 February 2018
Jumpin said:
Kristof81 said:
Even if the sales numbers would stagnant at current 200k per week level, it will reach GCN numbers by the beginning of September 2018

GCN?

So we’re talking about a sports channel now? ;P

Wait, so you're going to question Kristof using the standard Western acronym for the GameCube, but not how the OP's poll says "NCG," which doesn't even have 'Game' and 'Cube' in the right order??

Last edited by StarDoor - on 26 February 2018

Platina on 26 February 2018

Probably end of summer/early fall



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Miyamotoo on 27 February 2018
LipeJJ said:
Miyamotoo said:

I think problem is shiped vs sold numbers, while even those GC numbers are shipped, same like Wii, Wii U and Switch oficial shipped numbers.

Well, we have to use official numbers from (shipped) from Nintendo. Like you said, all previous consoles numbers are that way.

Agree.