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Forums - Nintendo - Nintendo End of Jan. Investor Discussion Prediction Thread

I would be happy knowing release windows for fire emblem, no more heroes 3 and octopath traveller. Unless we get a direct pretty soon, I wouldn’t expect anything more than that.



I make game analyses on youtube:

FFVI: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mSO6n8kNCwk
Shadow of the Colossus: https://youtu.be/9kDBFGw6SXQ
Silent Hill 2: https://youtu.be/BwISCik3Njc
BotW: https://youtu.be/4auqRSAWYKU

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Switch: 14.6M
Odyssey: 7.3M
BOTW: 6.3M
MK8: 6.1M
Splatoon 2: 4.8M
Arms: 2.0M
1-2 Switch: 1.9M



LipeJJ said:
Teeqoz said:

No delays or new games will be announced, that's for sure.

As for my predictions:

Switch total shipments - 14.3 million

BOTW Switch total shipments - 6.3 million

MK8D total shipments - 6.7 million

Super Mario Oddysey total shipments - 5 million

Splatoon 2 total shipements - 4.7 million

I think my predictions are sorta reasonable, but I didn't dig for the data that could make them more accurate (NDP announcements, and I know Nintendo France has said some stuff, + BUI sales awards.

I think I'll be within a margin of +- 500k on all though

Really? xD Wanna bet on you being at least 2m off with your Super Mario Odyssey prediction?

Sure, I'll bet that I won't be 2 million of SMO. Two weeks sig and avatar control?



RolStoppable said:
Switch hardware - 14.1m
Breath of the Wild - 6.2m
Mario Kart 8 - 6.1m
Splatoon 2 - 4.6m
1-2-Switch - 1.7m
ARMS - 1.6m
Super Mario Odyssey - 5.3m

I don't think any other Nintendo-published title crossed 1m, but Pokken and Xenoblade 2 should get there eventually. Mario+Rabbids should be above 1m, but is published by Ubisoft in most of the world.

FYI and for all others predicting SMO, under 6mil is low.

 

Sold Through

US 3mil

Japan 1.4mil (excludes digital)

 

That right there alone is 4.4mil sold, and 1 ex is France is 500k+ with UK at 300k+ sold. Thats already 5.2mil alone



RolStoppable said:
tbone51 said:

FYI and for all others predicting SMO, under 6mil is low.

Sold Through

US 3mil

Japan 1.4mil (excludes digital)

That right there alone is 4.4mil sold, and 1 ex is France is 500k+ with UK at 300k+ sold. Thats already 5.2mil alone

So ~60% of Switch owners in the USA own SMO? Then I might as well put worldwide shipments of the game at half of Switch hardware, so 7.0m.

2.92mil was the Minimum it sold in the US. We got sell thru numbers close to 6mil so yeap 7mil is a good guess



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Nintendo Switch shipments around 14m-15m.

About announcements I don't expect any directly about games in specific,  the last time they hold a financial presentation there was a direct (The Xenoblade 2 direct) the exact same day, the one before that, in september, there was a general direct 1 day before.  I totally expect another general direct very close to the investors presentation. However I do expect some details about other stuff in regards Nintendo Switch and the mobile games. Being about something like the online service or upcoming features or services, I do think some important informations to be shared. Also they will totally talk about Labo.

Last edited by Stuart23 - on 25 January 2018

Switch Friend Code: SW - 1286-0025-9138

I am still sticking to 15.1 million Nintendo Switches Shipped by December 31st.

I have zero idea where the tie ratio is at now, but I will just guess 4.2 games sold per Nintendo Switch.

That is all I got so far...



Stuart23 said:
Nintendo Switch shipments around 14m-15m.

About announcements I don't expect any directly about games in specific, the last time they hold a financial presentation there was a direct (The Xenoblade 2 direct) the exact same day, the one before that, in september, there was a general direct 1 day before. I totally expect another general direct very close to the investors presentation. However I do expect some details about other stuff in regards Nintendo Switch and the mobile games. Being about something like the online service or upcoming features or services, I do think some important informations to be shared. Also they will totally talk about Labo.

This doesnt sound right.

The Xenoblade Direct was on Nov 7

The last general Direct was Sept 13

The last financial results were Oct 30 and the one before that was July 26.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

zorg1000 said:
Stuart23 said:
Nintendo Switch shipments around 14m-15m.

About announcements I don't expect any directly about games in specific, the last time they hold a financial presentation there was a direct (The Xenoblade 2 direct) the exact same day, the one before that, in september, there was a general direct 1 day before. I totally expect another general direct very close to the investors presentation. However I do expect some details about other stuff in regards Nintendo Switch and the mobile games. Being about something like the online service or upcoming features or services, I do think some important informations to be shared. Also they will totally talk about Labo.

This doesnt sound right.

The Xenoblade Direct was on Nov 7

The last general Direct was Sept 13

The last financial results were Oct 30 and the one before that was July 26.

Sorry,looking back I misunderstood with the briefing on nov 7 and the release schedule sept 14. My bad.

But I still hold that thought that they will be direct soon to cover gaming news.



Switch Friend Code: SW - 1286-0025-9138

Teeqoz said:
LipeJJ said:

Really? xD Wanna bet on you being at least 2m off with your Super Mario Odyssey prediction?

Sure, I'll bet that I won't be 2 million of SMO. Two weeks sig and avatar control?

Deal. Let’s get this going! o/



Bet with Teeqoz for 2 weeks of avatar and sig control that Super Mario Odyssey would ship more than 7m on its first 2 months. The game shipped 9.07m, so I won