Fire Emblem Warriors hasn't been selling like gold.

No, it is confirmed a physical version release, but it will only have the second one on the cartridge, the first will come as a download code.

Sadly it is confirmed to be $60.

On topic:

I believe it will sell around 500k too. I am one that had it on Wii U and will not get it again on Switch.

If Xenoblade 2 is any indication, Bayo 3 should sell about 30% more out of the gate, and have longer legs. As for 1+2 - that's a little harder to say. At a $40 or $50 price point, it should sell nicely and may even beat two LT with a bit of new audience and probably about 40% of the original buyers double-dipping.

I wouldn't expect massively better sales for 1+2, though. It is a port and will do well to match sales of the original and set the stage for growth on 3.

I see this passing a million with ease. the switch will have a bigger install base and a crowd thats not the regular nintendo fan so this might appeal to them.

I think 500k is a good estimate. That's if Bayonetta 3 does decently and sells about 1.3 mil or so. If it really catches on with a new fanbase who's never played Bayonetta I'd bring my estimate up to 750k

There are some wrong points in your reasoning, like the game having sold only 0.84(at least in theory) since thats only the physical sales numbers(so it sold more with digital), and that FE Warriors is a musou game, not really an action game(thus the appeal is lower, at least as far as I see).

But having said that, its hard to say one way or the other.Many of the fans already played 2, and I doubt they will double dip, so unless Bayo manages to bring in new fans(which there is a good chance of happening), I dont think its selling big numbers.500 K WW LT seems like a safe bet.(shipped plus digital)

Not sure, but aeeing how I missed it on Switch, I will be one of the sales for sure.

I would say probably around half of what the second one sold. 1) it’s a port, and 2) unlike games like Pokken or MK8, there’s really nothing Nintendo can add to it to spice up the deal. That’s why they’re not calling it the “Deluxe” version. I also don’t think Portability will do much for it. Maybe with strong marketing, it’ll do better, but Bayo had extremely strong marketing and barely sold half of what the PS3 version of Bayo 1 did.

One zillion copies!

At $60, I certainly won't be buying it. I'm not buying anything a second time unless it is significantly discounted.

I'm going with >500k LT.