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Forums - Sales - Japan sales (Week 47): Media Create/Famitsu/Dengeki - November 20-26, 2017

Miyamotoo on 02 December 2017

It seems that next week Switch will be around 200k.



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zorg1000 on 02 December 2017
tbone51 said:
Kerotan said:

Surely more then that. 40k would be very easy.

 

zorg1000 said:

More like 60k/week.

Ps4 is up YoY by about170k. Needs about 300k for next 5 weeks on avg? Last year ps4 must of did that well.

 

2014+2015 holidays had it about 200k and 250k eaxh (last 5 weeks).

 

@kero i think this holiday we can get an answer if switch sales are affecting ps4 sales. Ps4 should do better than 2015 holiday, so if it does beloew that than maybe? 


2014-200k

2015-250k

2016-475k

2017 needs about 300k to be flat YoY.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

reviniente on 02 December 2017
tbone51 said:
takoyaki7 said:
Today the row was quite terrible at Akihabara Yodobashi in Japan. It seems that a lot of switch was supplied.

https://twitter.com/Harapeko_Kuman/status/936870690992504832/photo/1

Dont wrry theyll all be gone by... Before this post was posted lol

Good thing the Japanese are well-mannered and respectful. If this situation were replicated in the US, you would get reports of stabbings and folks getting trampled all over.



zorg1000 on 02 December 2017
Shadow1980 said:
Kerotan said:

One last thing. Does 2017 have a week 53 included in the tracking?

2004, 2009, and 2015 are the only years so far where Media Create tracked 53 weeks of sales.

I think he means Famitsu.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

tbone51 on 02 December 2017
zorg1000 said:
tbone51 said:

 

Ps4 is up YoY by about170k. Needs about 300k for next 5 weeks on avg? Last year ps4 must of did that well.

 

2014+2015 holidays had it about 200k and 250k eaxh (last 5 weeks).

 

@kero i think this holiday we can get an answer if switch sales are affecting ps4 sales. Ps4 should do better than 2015 holiday, so if it does beloew that than maybe? 


2014-200k

2015-250k

2016-475k

2017 needs about 300k to be flat YoY.

I get 2016 is unfair (because of everything ps4 got during holidays) but ps4 should easily beat 2014 and 2015 if the switch doesnt affect it. 60k avg isn't that hard. The mh bundle and demo will help



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zorg1000 on 02 December 2017
tbone51 said:
zorg1000 said:


2014-200k

2015-250k

2016-475k

2017 needs about 300k to be flat YoY.

I get 2016 is unfair (because of everything ps4 got during holidays) but ps4 should easily beat 2014 and 2015 if the switch doesnt affect it. 60k avg isn't that hard. The mh bundle and demo will help

Ya if it cant hit 300k in 5 weeks than thats pretty sad. Neither 2014 nor 2015 had any major releases so it should be comfortably higher than either if those years.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

Miyamotoo on 02 December 2017
tbone51 said:
zorg1000 said:


2014-200k

2015-250k

2016-475k

2017 needs about 300k to be flat YoY.

I get 2016 is unfair (because of everything ps4 got during holidays) but ps4 should easily beat 2014 and 2015 if the switch doesnt affect it. 60k avg isn't that hard. The mh bundle and demo will help

60k average wouldnt be that hard but problem is that last few 3 weeks PS4 has sales around 25k without improvements despite we are getting closer to holiday season in Japan. MH bundle will gave boost, but again problem is that's PS4 Pro model not Slim and it will be limited. It will be interesting in any case to see if PS4 YOY will be flat, better or worse.



tbone51 on 02 December 2017
Miyamotoo said:
tbone51 said:

I get 2016 is unfair (because of everything ps4 got during holidays) but ps4 should easily beat 2014 and 2015 if the switch doesnt affect it. 60k avg isn't that hard. The mh bundle and demo will help

60k average wouldnt be that hard but problem is that last few 3 weeks PS4 has sales around 25k without improvements despite we are getting closer to holiday season in Japan. MH bundle will gave boost, but again problem is that's PS4 Pro model not Slim and it will be limited. It will be interesting in any case to see if PS4 YOY will be flat, better or worse.

 What would be the minimum in switch taking the ps4 sales though? Under 300k? Under 250k? Maybe 200k?

 

Opinion of any1 is welcomed



Farsala on 02 December 2017
tbone51 said:
Miyamotoo said:

60k average wouldnt be that hard but problem is that last few 3 weeks PS4 has sales around 25k without improvements despite we are getting closer to holiday season in Japan. MH bundle will gave boost, but again problem is that's PS4 Pro model not Slim and it will be limited. It will be interesting in any case to see if PS4 YOY will be flat, better or worse.

 What would be the minimum in switch taking the ps4 sales though? Under 300k? Under 250k? Maybe 200k?

 

Opinion of any1 is welcomed

Why only Q4? Many PS4 owners might be waiting until a big game like MHW releases. Which isn't until Q1 2018.

FFXV clearly boosted it last year, and DQXI had a good effect this year, but that boost has already passed. MHW will be 2018 boost.

Since PS4 sold 200k and 250k without FFXV, I think that is the current standard. But obviously PS4 will have a big January with New Years and MHW.

Edit: I also don't understand how many weeks are left and when exactly they end since some years have 53 weeks and end past new years, and some 52 weeks and end before new years.



takoyaki7 on 02 December 2017

Interesting.