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Forums - Sales Discussion - November NPD 2017 predictions thread

 

Which console will win the month

NSW 28 30.11%
 
PS4 52 55.91%
 
XB1 13 13.98%
 
Total:93

XB1>PS4> NSW
All three will be over one million



Bet with Intrinsic:

The Switch will outsell 3DS (based on VGchartz numbers), according to me, while Intrinsic thinks the opposite will hold true. One month avatar control for the loser's avatar.

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quickrick said:
celador said:
really difficult, especially with the online stock issues before the weekend

[X1] 1.25m
[Switch] 1.15m
[PS4] 1.05m

what kind of prediction is that? ps4 has a huge amount of stock, and already sold out everywhere online, and you expect it to come last. LOL. 

maybe, but the PS4 did fuck all for the first 3/4 of the months compared to the Switch consistently being much higher and the X1 having X preorders. It might win BF week, but still just come third.

and speaking of 'LOL' your PS4 prediction is ridiculous



quickrick said:
[PS4] 1650K
[NSW] 900K
[XB1] 1000K

You expect a 30% increase in PS4's in Novemeber over last year? When it has more competition than ever?

You expect it to sell nearly twice of the Switch? Even with supply issues that is pretty .... ambitious?



celador said:
quickrick said:

what kind of prediction is that? ps4 has a huge amount of stock, and already sold out everywhere online, and you expect it to come last. LOL. 

maybe, but the PS4 did fuck all for the first 3/4 of the months compared to the Switch consistently being much higher and the X1 having X preorders. It might win BF week, but still just come third.

and speaking of 'LOL' your PS4 prediction is ridiculous

lol what are you talking about ps4 and switch have been selling the same for almost every month, only October is where switch has over 60k in sales advantage, all the other months its been like 5-15k win. 



AngryLittleAlchemist said:
quickrick said:
[PS4] 1650K
[NSW] 900K
[XB1] 1000K

You expect a 30% increase in PS4's in Novemeber over last year? When it has more competition than ever?

You expect it to sell nearly twice of the Switch? Even with supply issues that is pretty .... ambitious?

umm ps4 has a huge amount of stock, and the fact thats it's selling out online is telling me it will have it's best november ever, because it has no business selling out, unless it's selling a insane amount. switch is surprising i don't think nintendo shipped that much, maybe a million at most, and it's still available every where online.



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Insiders on resetera have said ps4 is nuking everything so I'll go ahead and say
Ps4: 1.4 M
Switch: 1.3 M
Xbox one: 1.2M



quickrick said:
AngryLittleAlchemist said:

You expect a 30% increase in PS4's in Novemeber over last year? When it has more competition than ever?

You expect it to sell nearly twice of the Switch? Even with supply issues that is pretty .... ambitious?

umm ps4 has a huge amount of stock, and the fact thats it's selling out online is telling me it will have it's best november ever, because it has no business selling out, unless it's selling a insane amount. switch is surprising i don't think nintendo shipped that much, maybe a million at most, and it's still available every where online.

I don't think any of those reasons are thought out enough to provide a good argument for the PS4 selling nearly twice the Switch, but fair enough. We will see I guess. 



PS4-1.4 million
XBO-1.2 million
NSW-1.1 million

This will be the 2nd time in history that 3 consoles sold over 1 million in Nov. The only other time was Nov 2010 when DS, Wii & 360 all crossed the mark.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

[PS4] 1115k
[NSW] 1100K
[XB1] 1025K



PS4: 1,200,000
XB1: 1,050,000
Switch: 800,000



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