They had multiple forecasts that needed to be revised down and still didn't met the forecast. So Nintendo isn't always lowballing.

so you're saying that some parents will go in a game shop looking for a Switch, see that it's 300 and not buy it? Damn Nintendo need to up their game and start price matching with the 50e PS/360s in the used aisle.

That is to say, those kids not getting a Switch is not Nintendos stock issue really, it's parents not wanting to get them the right thing.

Nope, what I'm saying is that parents may not buy what their childs ask for even when the system is available, if there isn't stock of Switch they may buy other system for their child, even more if it's cheaper.

I'm complaining because of the prices scalpers are charging,  for those who actually want 1 and for those families whose kids are gonna be upset Christmas morning or for those who are paying well over the odds for them.

Or the 3DS and Wii U just sold so badly they couldn't even make the lowball estimate. Admittedly we don't know for 100% fact if they are or not so it's a matter of what you believe. What is fact though is it makes more sense to estimate a number you're most likely to reach than not as you want to meet goals to please investors, thus it also makes sense to assume they are always lowballing. I won't be surprised when even after adjusting their forecast up to 14m they still well exceed it.

The concept of lowballing is you make a estimative and a margin of confidence and "choose" the interval that grants you most probability. We don't have access to Nintendo data so we can only look at their forecast and sales. Since there were multiple cases they missed selling lower then we can't say they ALWAYS lowball.

Well I'm going to, you'll just have to deal with that.

This is an irrelevant nitpick anyway as whether I say they always lowball or not doesn't change the meaning of my post.

I agree and hopefully they will do this. Also, a way to somehow raise their stock above their projections would be helpful both to Nintendo and the consumers.

If your question is if I agree that there is a good chance of Nintendo going over 14M for the period? I do agree it's possible.

I think a lot of people are misunderstanding my point in this post. Whilst i agree any potential Switch customers can easily walk into a retail store and buy a Switch atm, the fact that, so early in the Christmas run-up scalpers are increasing their prices for Switch on Amazon is mildly worrying. With it being so early in the run-up, the Switch is only going to become more in-demand as the holidays near and as soon as the shortages worsen, so the scalpers prices will rise even further. I know it's probably not possible but it would be nice if Nintendo were able to flood the market with enough Switches to deter the scalpers. Even 1 sale at inflated prices on Amazon is a blow to gamers imo and there probably are parents out there with insufficient time to check several retailers. In short, even shortages in 1 place (Amazon) could be harmful not just for Nintendo but also for some gamers and especially disappointed kids on Christmas day.