Lonely_Dolphin said:
Or the 3DS and Wii U just sold so badly they couldn't even make the lowball estimate. Admittedly we don't know for 100% fact if they are or not so it's a matter of what you believe. What is fact though is it makes more sense to estimate a number you're most likely to reach than not as you want to meet goals to please investors, thus it also makes sense to assume they are always lowballing. I won't be surprised when even after adjusting their forecast up to 14m they still well exceed it. |
The concept of lowballing is you make a estimative and a margin of confidence and "choose" the interval that grants you most probability. We don't have access to Nintendo data so we can only look at their forecast and sales. Since there were multiple cases they missed selling lower then we can't say they ALWAYS lowball.

duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363
Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994
Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."







