With the X I think the XB1 will do 4m more by years end bringing it to 7m this year. Next year it should be slightly up with a better lineup and the X then I think it will drop a lot more. 38-40m by end of 2019 will be crazy bad. That means in the next two years it will sell 8-9m.

Thats too early.... but sometime in 2019 seems a given.

Switch will move 20 million units next fiscal year if they keep up the 1st party output...

...and add Virtual console with Gameboy titles:

https://youtu.be/QGE2uAJ4ZG4

My rough guess for XOne would be 45 million by the end of 2019. If the Switch does 15M per year, Q4 2019 does indeed seem like a good prediction.

Micorsoft has to show their numbers for me to be confident that they are selling but 50 mil by 2019. This is what happens when the compelling new software to turn people's head is low. It's a multigenerational problem that they've never fixed. The reason the Xbox as a brand is more competitive this gen than their first is because they leveled the playingfield on multiplatform games, but still have not fixed the exclusive problem.

Thank you. As they DS draws its era to a close with levels of support the fans know that support will transfer to the switch. As long as the software is there it will continue to sell like a handheld. What Microsoft needs is for the switch to sell like a console.

By 2019 we should have a release date for the xbox2 .

i think that's when we will get rumors of the project specs and in 2020 the release date and console will be revealed for a 2021 release. The mid gen refreshes pushed things back. Because of the x, Microsoft really have to think about how much of a leap they want in hardware power. Next gen is going to surpass the general specs of the x which might take a year longer than expected. If you're correct then the x will only have a twin year lifespan and based on Microsofts last console they would've shaved off a year of sales while competing with Sony. Last gen Microsoft kept the 360 running eight years to match Sonys seven. In that time they gave Sony a window of opportunity to catch up in sales.

Yes... this should definitely kill the devils advocate claims who say exclusives don't matter (or matter less). This year has proven there is a correlation between Xbox one sales and lack of compelling exclusive content.

It's hasn't hit 35 million yet and it's possible that it hasn't even crossed 30 million. My personal range on how much the XB1 has sold thus far (as of the end of September) is 27.85m - 30.14m based on US/WW ratios and estimates from EA & IHS.