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Forums - Sales Discussion - Gran Turismo Sport sales prediction

Turkish on 06 October 2017

I dunno, will probably be another >6M seller, but they've almost lost me. I dont have any hype for the game which is bad considering Im following the series since GT2.

I'll give the demo next week a try but dont have high hopes. I just cant fathom how this is not a real GT7 after fucking 4 years. They really need to do something to or at Polyphony, GT is being mismanaged, they need to get with the times. Their dev team is just too small to handle current gen.

This game really needed to blow me away graphically, have the weather, day/night cycles etc, on top of having all the usual content. It needed to be the defining racing game of this gen, graphics a generation ahead of anything else, but all it looks to be is a half arsed game that looks marginally better than Fohza 7/Pcars 2. I'll get the game eventually but not at full price and certainly not the CE I had pre-ordered a year ago.



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DonFerrari on 06 October 2017
John2290 said:
If ProCars 2 wasn't a thing or was a year out and there was no Sim racers/rally sims like Asseta corsa/dirt rally on ps4 I'd say 10m LT however in reality it's gonna be more like 5 mil but GT is MASSIVE and this game looks seriously good graphically so I'm gonna split the difference and go 7.5 mil being optimistic. I'm sure even forza and NFS will have an impact on the potential sales here though...it's really up in the air. One thing is for sure, it'll sell best in Europe so I hope sony and Polyphony know this and aren't fucking the EU market over.

I have very little doubt that PC2 can even affect GT sales, much less Forza and NFS. They never even came close to be a threat so far. And considering FM7 sales I doubt it will.



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."

JRPGfan on 06 October 2017
DonFerrari said:
flashfire926 said:

4 million first year, 8 million lifetime. Not including digital.

Considering Sony have been achieving 25-33% digital attach ratio this would be a very good result.

if 33% of the total sales are digital, and it does 8m physical, thats 12m total (digital + physical).

Yeah that would be a good result.



Normchacho on 06 October 2017

I'm going to say....7.5 million copies.



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I bet that on launch the Nintendo Switch will have no built in in-game voice chat. He bets that it will. The winner gets six months of avatar control over the other user.

celador on 06 October 2017

7m including bundles

i'm expecting it's usual long legs to be cut off somewhat by negative word of mouth when the general consumer realises there is no proper career mode



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DonFerrari on 06 October 2017
JRPGfan said:
DonFerrari said:

Considering Sony have been achieving 25-33% digital attach ratio this would be a very good result.

if 33% of the total sales are digital, and it does 8m physical, thats 12m total (digital + physical).

Yeah that would be a good result.

Yes it would be basically a return to good form.

BraLoD said:
8M was the first number that popped in my mind.
I hope it gets to 15M tho. Just 'cause I love GT.

Same here on the love...

So the one predicting 2 sales and then 3 got it wrong, we already have 4 =]



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."

DonFerrari on 06 October 2017
BraLoD said:
DonFerrari said:

Yes it would be basically a return to good form.

Same here on the love...

So the one predicting 2 sales and then 3 got it wrong, we already have 4 =]

Not only GT has always been amazing but PD helped Sony with LoD cutscenes back in the day, so yeah, they deserve eternal love.

Very reasonable.



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."

DonFerrari on 06 October 2017
Mar1217 said:
FW : 1.5 M - 2M (Digital included)
FM : 3M
LT : 5M-6M

That or it's gonna crash like a mad train.

Some would consider the 5M a crash



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."

PEEPer0nni on 06 October 2017
DonFerrari said:
Mar1217 said:
FW : 1.5 M - 2M (Digital included)
FM : 3M
LT : 5M-6M

That or it's gonna crash like a mad train.

Some would consider the 5M a crash

yeah, me



DonFerrari on 06 October 2017
PEEPer0nni said:
DonFerrari said:

Some would consider the 5M a crash

yeah, me

GT6 having over 5M is considered a flop and GT5 before passing 10M was being said to be dead.



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."