DélioPT said:
1.) I recall hearing how 3DS HW sales were up. Still, it's also true that GBA sold 81.5 Million consoles in 4+ years and 3DS has sold 67+ million consoles in 6+ years. Overall, 3DS hasn't been able to outdo even the GBA. 2.) I didn't claim that Nintendo will stop making games, what i said is that Switch is selling based on two main points: concept and a few system sellers. |
1.) The GBA didn't sell all of its 81.5 million units in four years. It sold over fifteen million units after the DS was released. At the end of this fiscal year, (March 31, 2018) it will be 72 million 3DS to 81 million GBA.
Likewise, GBA software wasn't all sold in its first four years. In fact, the 3DS (369M) will be virtually tied with the GBA (377M) at the end of this fiscal year.
I used first-party software sales earlier because Nintendo makes much more money selling first-party games than third-party games. So the 3DS generation will have Nintendo sell slightly less hardware, an equal amount of total software, and much more first-party software. This is beneficial to Nintendo, because it shows that their first-party games are actually more popular now than they were during the sixth generation. More people are willing to buy Nintendo hardware specifically for Nintendo software, and the Switch is on pace to have one of Nintendo's best first-party lineups ever. You even acknowledge this by saying that this year has a great lineup while listing just four games.
By the way, saying the 3DS hasn't been able to outdo "even" the GBA is ridiculous. The GBA did exceptionally well, selling much faster than the original GB, which only made it to 118 million because it didn't have a successor until its 13th fiscal year. On the other hand, the GBA had a successor in its 5th fiscal year.
2.) That doesn't make any sense. The "concept" of the Switch isn't going to disappear after this year, and it's not going to suddenly become less appealing. Furthermore, even if 2017 has a great lineup (which is a hilarious tone-shift from the beginning of the year, when people were saying the Switch had a garbage lineup,) Nintendo cannot possibly meet all of the accumulated demand from this year. Sales that would have otherwise happened in 2017 will go to 2018 and beyond because Nintendo can't produce much more than 10 million units during this fiscal year. If you want a comparison, look at how the Wii sold in 2008 versus 2007. Unmet demand plus new system sellers like Animal Crossing, Smash Bros, and Pokémon will easily maintain momentum over the next few years.
3.) Okay, so what do you call a portable video game console that will absorb 100% of the software support that Nintendo gave the 3DS?
Also, how does the Switch have more pressure on it in the coming years if it isn't even a 3DS successor? If you just consider it a Wii U successor, it's already a massive success.