Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Bold Prediction: Splatoon 2 Will Outsell Splatoon This Year Alone

Will it?

Yes! 81 47.93%
 
No! 38 22.49%
 
Maybe 50 29.59%
 
Total:169

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I can see it happening as splatoon only sold 3.8mill in its first six months and 4.67million for splatoon 2 seems very possible as splatoon 2 is doing very well in japan so far.



Redguy said:
I can see it happening as splatoon only sold 3.8mill in its first six months and 4.67million for splatoon 2 seems very possible as splatoon 2 is doing very well in japan so far.

Yep. I look forward to delivering crow when it reaches my prediction. This thread will be a fun read 6 months from now. ^^



Bet with Teeqoz for 2 weeks of avatar and sig control that Super Mario Odyssey would ship more than 7m on its first 2 months. The game shipped 9.07m, so I won

the_dark_lewd said:
Nope. Over its lifetime probably but not that quickly. Zelda probably won't have sold that much.

You mean Zelda won't sell 5m LT? Or in 6 months? If it's the later, of course it won't: it's a launch game (smaller install base) and it won't experience a holiday season during its 6 months. It's a completely different story for Splatoon 2 tho, which will release on a 5m or 6m install base and enjoy a full holiday season on its first 6 months. ^^ 

PAOerfulone said:

I think it will.
It's got a strong fan base behind it now and everyone knows what to expect. This is one of the games you buy a Switch for. And with the bundle it has in Japan and if that bundle is confirmed for everywhere else, I think it is very likely that it will do it.
The first game managed to pull off close to 5 million on the Wii U as a new IP. And it managed to help the Wii U beat the PS4 in Japan for the month if June 2015. Now that it's going to be releasing on a system that the mainstream public actually wants and cares about, the sky is the limit for Splatoon 2.
I believe this so much that, in fact, I'm going to take this bold prediction and make it even bolder.
Not only will it outsell the first game in it's first year, it will do it by a very comfortable margin. AND it will be the first game for the Switch to reach 10 million. AND this game will even reach 15 million and stand on the same pevel as Mario Kart, 2D and 3D Mario, and mainline Pokemon in terms of sales. Nintendo is about to get an All star starting lineup that could dismatnle the Cleveland Cavaliers and Golden State Warriors, you heard it here first!
Mario, Pokemon, The Legend of Zelda, Animal Crossing, and now Splatoon!
...So this is what it's like to be Tbone.

Great post. I actually agree with you. Let's see how this will turn out. 

Anyway, yeah, now we know how it feels to be Tbone.



Bet with Teeqoz for 2 weeks of avatar and sig control that Super Mario Odyssey would ship more than 7m on its first 2 months. The game shipped 9.07m, so I won

Hmm... I want to say no, but the possibility of it doing so isn't too bizarre, I don't know what to think now!



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Pretty bold, not sure how many Switches will be sold by then, but I'm doubtful it can hit 4M that soon

Have doubts that MK8 DX can hit 4M by the end of the year too :/



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A bold prediction, but at the same time you won't be far off if you end up being wrong. I can see this doing a flat 4m by year's end.

By the way, VGC has the game overtracked. Nintendo's shipped and digital is at 4.80m by the end of March 2017. Although overtracked or not doesn't matter if you are fine with going with "Splatoon 2 will sell through 4.67m or more by year's end."



Legend11 correctly predicted that GTA IV (360+PS3) would outsell SSBB. I was wrong.

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Hmm, if so, it'd supplant Splatoon as the top tier of Nintendo franchises.



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RolStoppable said:
A bold prediction, but at the same time you won't be far off if you end up being wrong. I can see this doing a flat 4m by year's end.

By the way, VGC has the game overtracked. Nintendo's shipped and digital is at 4.80m by the end of March 2017. Although overtracked or not doesn't matter if you are fine with going with "Splatoon 2 will sell through 4.67m or more by year's end."

Yes, that's what I meant. I agree, in any case, right or wrong, it'll end up being close. Some people are underestimating Splatoon (again).



Bet with Teeqoz for 2 weeks of avatar and sig control that Super Mario Odyssey would ship more than 7m on its first 2 months. The game shipped 9.07m, so I won