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SkyerIst_Huiesos on 24 May 2017

interesting reading, thx for posting

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Green098

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Green098 on 24 May 2017

Updated

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TruckOSaurus on 24 May 2017

Green098 said:

Updated

Week 7 &8 Switch is going to start crushing the weekly numbers put out by Wii U, Xbox One, Vita and 3DS. It should still be under the PS4 numbers though.

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barneystinson69 on 24 May 2017

RolStoppable said:

Slarvax said:

Because I'm a nerd and have nothing to do in my life, I looked for Rol's old thoughts on the Wii U. He never seemed positive about the Wii U, specially after E3 2012.

I don't like Rol that much, but he's pretty spot with some predictions.

Ha, the great E3 of 2012 led by VGC's master of disaster Smeags who issued hype trains for things that weren't worth it. I looked a bit through the thread and here's Wii U in a nutshell:

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=4613303

More:
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=4613955

Joke about the developer roundtable that ended up being true one year later:
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=4614118

Nintendo has become a joke:
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=4614135
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=4614211

But let's be positive. Thanks to the Wii U we got Switch. *tosses Wii U in same bottomless pit as GameCube*

Well I guess I was wrong.

Made a bet with LipeJJ and HylianYoshi that the XB1 will reach 30 million before Wii U reaches 15 million. Loser has to get avatar picked by winner for 6 months (or if I lose, either 6 months avatar control for both Lipe and Hylian, or my patrick avatar comes back forever).

VideoGameAccountant

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VideoGameAccountant on 25 May 2017

RolStoppable said:

barneystinson69 said:

Where exactly did I say the console would flop?

Also, I expected 35 million sales IF it was a handheld and home console replacement (which its pretty much confirmed to have been). I don't know why early sales are an indication of future trends...

barneystinson69 said:

Oh please Rol. You know very well I explained the circumstances for that in order to happen, and I had two predictions. If it was a handheld and home console replacement, it would sell 35 million. If it was replacing just the Wii U but still selling as well as it has been so far, I would've eaten my hat.

Yes, you had two predictions.

1. If Switch is only replacing the Wii U, it will sell less than the Wii U. You predicted a flop.
2. If Switch replaces Wii U and 3DS, it will sell less than half of those two systems combined. You predicted a flop.

That brings us back to the running gag: Think before you hit the submit button, barney.

Early sales are more often than not representative of future trends. The only exceptions are consoles that started slow and improved later on. There has yet to be a console that started fast and ended up being a flop. I am not talking about the launch month in this paragraph. It's the non-holiday weeks beyond the launch month that determine whether a console is a slow or a fast starter. Switch has started fast.

To add to what you said, systems that start weak and improve tend to still see lower relative sales. A good example is the 3DS. The system improved over its early launch disaster, but its still Nintendo's worst selling handheld. Microsoft once said something along the lines of the first to 10 million wins the race to 100 million. Nintendo's early sales are a good indicator of future success, as you pointed out.