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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Bloomberg: Nintendo Traders Signal Switch Could Be Bigger Hit Than the Wii

ZhugeEX said:
Looks like Nintendo has beat its original target of 2 million units by March 31st. But we'll find out the exact number at the end of this month.

there was a report that they increased it to 2.5 million but obviously that hasnt been confirmed yet.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

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zorg1000 said:
Magnus said:

Launch day ports ran worse on Wii U than on 360 and PS3. That is inexcusable.

lol you dont think devs having 6-7 years of experience working on those devices or games being rushed to make launch day have anything to do with that?

if third parties needed optimization to yield the same results on Wii U than on PS3 or 360 then the system was doomed, period.



Magnus said:
zorg1000 said:

lol you dont think devs having 6-7 years of experience working on those devices or games being rushed to make launch day have anything to do with that?

if third parties needed optimization to yield the same results on Wii U than on PS3 or 360 then the system was doomed, period.

ok buddy



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

Magnus said:
zorg1000 said:

lol you dont think devs having 6-7 years of experience working on those devices or games being rushed to make launch day have anything to do with that?

if third parties needed optimization to yield the same results on Wii U than on PS3 or 360 then the system was doomed, period.

The previous argument is fallacious. Different does not mean worse. If third-parties had a more difficult time developing for the console, that is one thing. That does not make the console inferior, however. 3DO was more powerful than SNES but developers still developed in droves for SNES because it was easier to develop on. Nice try.

This argument, which is a shift, if far more substancial.



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Switch's first big test will be how it sells in May/June/July once the launch boom dies down but before Splatoon 2 hits. That should give us some idea as to where its baseline will end up.



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RolStoppable said:
curl-6 said:

Switch's first big test will be how it sells in May/June/July once the launch boom dies down but before Splatoon 2 hits. That should give us some idea as to where its baseline will end up.

The first big test is April. Lots of people expected this console to do as bad as Wii U or only marginally better.

Since Switch looks to pass this first test with flying colors, the real test has already been postponed to a later date. Don't say that Wii U had a good launch as well, because it didn't have one.

You are better off by postponing the next big test to June right away, because Mario Kart 8 Deluxe in late April makes a pretty good case for strong enough momentum through May.

The launch boost should carry over into April as a lot of people who want one weren't able to get one in the first month.



RolStoppable said:
curl-6 said:

The launch boost should carry over into April as a lot of people who want one weren't able to get one in the first month.

Good, this means that either someone else already beat sense into you or you've come around to realize that by yourself. Because I did see you say that Wii U had a great launch only a few days ago.

The Wii U had a good first month, but it fell off a cliff after that because the Nintendo diehards bought it right away, but then there was nothing to draw in mainstream consumers.



None of these things really matter, eventually stock will line up with demand and we will see a baseline for the Switch outside of just early adopters. Nothing is going to stop that from happening. Whether that happens in May or June or whatever is kinda irrelevant in the long run. 



RolStoppable said:
curl-6 said:

The Wii U had a good first month, but it fell off a cliff after that because the Nintendo diehards bought it right away, but then there was nothing to draw in mainstream consumers.

That's wrong. Wii U didn't have a good first month despite its numbers being inflated by scalpers.

It's sales in the first month were good. Scalpers are part of every system launch.



RolStoppable said:
curl-6 said:

It's sales in the first month were good. Scalpers are part of every system launch.

Looks like there's a long road ahead until you've come back to your senses.

Buy a Switch. It should help.

Switch doesn't have enough games I want yet.