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Forums - Politics Discussion - Trump: 'Nobody Really Knows' If Climate Change Is Real

the-pi-guy said:
Gourmet said:

Reiner protsch. Has your brain short circuited?

How does a scientist being exposed as a fraud, mean that climate change might also be a fraud?  

In fact, it should be shown as more evidence.  A private collection of bones were found to be fraudalent, and yet the public air that everyone has access to, should be even easier to fact check.  So it should have a higher probability of being shown to be false, than the bones.  

The problem is how little the community cares. No one ever questioned it. The police were responsible for sorting out a MAJOR fraud. And later the publication venues did not even bother to apologize.



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Look Gourmet. At least ask your father this. As a biologist, how can he possibly defend us releasing carbondioxide into the atmosphere in the amounts that we do, when this makes the oceans acidic? Doesn't he as a biologist give a flying f about the thousands of species that's not able to live in acidic conditions?



IsawYoshi said:
Look Gourmet. At least ask your father this. As a biologist, how can he possibly defend us releasing carbondioxide into the atmosphere in the amounts that we do, when this makes the oceans acidic? Doesn't he as a biologist give a flying f about the thousands of species that's not able to live in acidic conditions?

It's not like he defends it. He's not very political. His work today is completely unrelated. But I will ask him.



the-pi-guy said:
Gourmet said:

Yo right kiddo, never say wikipedia is your source, but someone who calls himself scientist? Pfft, that shure is enough for you to get that awesome grade!

http://climate.nasa.gov/evidence/

https://www.epa.gov/climatechange/climate-change-basic-information

http://www.globalchange.gov/climate-change/whats-happening-why

https://www.skepticalscience.com/evidence-for-global-warming.htm

http://news.mit.edu/2015/new-climate-change-strategy-1021

http://www.harvard.edu/tackling-climate-change

https://earth.stanford.edu/earthmatters/climate-change

http://www.caltech.edu/news/caltech-and-jpl-experts-discuss-climate-change-42608

http://www.eci.ox.ac.uk/

http://nelson.wisc.edu/ccr/index.php

 

Better tell the government and all the best schools in the world; that they have it wrong.  

Shhh, those "facts" aren't really facts, they're just the opinion of some of the smartest people on Earth. Pfff climate change.



There's definitely signs of climate change but the cause has yet to be properly identified. Climate has been changing for as long as data has started to be collected - late 19th century so it could go back even further. If the cause is human-caused then I blame the countries with a fertility rate of more than 2.



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the-pi-guy said:
Gourmet said:

The problem is how little the community cares. No one ever questioned it. The police were responsible for sorting out a MAJOR fraud. And later the publication venues did not even bother to apologize.

Oxford University, scientists were responsible for uncovering the fraud.  So clearly, the community does care.  

The skeleton had already left the closet by then.



Gourmet said:
IsawYoshi said:
Look Gourmet. At least ask your father this. As a biologist, how can he possibly defend us releasing carbondioxide into the atmosphere in the amounts that we do, when this makes the oceans acidic? Doesn't he as a biologist give a flying f about the thousands of species that's not able to live in acidic conditions?

It's not like he defends it. He's not very political. His work today is completely unrelated. But I will ask him.

I can see that. I hope he gives you a good answer. :)



the-pi-guy said:
Lawlight said:
There's definitely signs of climate change but the cause has yet to be properly identified. Climate has been changing for as long as data has started to be collected - late 19th century so it could go back even further. If the cause is human-caused then I blame the countries with a fertility rate of more than 2.

We are actually able to perform experiments on this.  We know what CO2 does.  There's no doubt about it.  We can test it in labs or at home.  There are tons of factors that affect climate, but seeing as most of those factors are actually low right now; they are clearly not what's causing the change.  We can create models based on all those things.  

The countries that have a fertility rate of more than 2 are actually not the problem.  Those countries aren't very rich or industrialized.  The more industrialized countries, firstly have a rate around 2 or even a little lower for some of them, and secondly burn oil and coal to heat and power cars, houses, skyscrapers, and everything else.  

Fertility rate drops when countries get richer.  CO2 production conversely increases.  

Gourmet said:

The skeleton had already left the closet by then.

And conversely, climate is not in a closet.  It is open and free to anyone who wants to study it.  So, even easier for fraud to be detected.  

Fertility might decrease in those developed countries but population growth doesn't. The US's population has increased by a factor of 10 in the past 150 years. China doubled in the past 50 years. UK doubled in the past 100 years. Even Japan with its low fertility has seen an increase of 150% in its population over the past 100 years.



fatslob-:O said:
Teeqoz said:

But you don't measure the global average temperature. That makes no sense. You can't measure an average. Averages are calculated from many averages. We take measurements from both stations around the world, and satelites that continuously scan a small chaning part of earth's surface, and calculate the average. The measurements will be a finite number of measurements from a finite number of places. You then take the average for each individual place (to make sure places that have more measurements don't count more than places with fewer measurements), and then again take the average of those values to find the global average temperature. You can extrapolate the calculations to get an average for time periods as well. Honestly, the calculation is the simple part. Getting a huge dataset is the difficult part, but thanks to our advanced infrastructure and years of hard work and scientific progress, we have equipment many places in the globa that can measure temperature very accurately, giving us such a good dataset.

You insist that we CAN possibly measure a global average but the physicist says otherwise, me on the other hand thinks you're going about it at a very simplistic way ... 

The problem with your said methodology is that you can only measure a single point in space with a thermometer and you can only calculate the average with respect to time in that one point ... 

How would you even think about measure the average temperature with respect to an AREA (surfaces & volumes) and TIME ? 

If we attempted using your said methodology and created an aggregate of specifically collected data then there'd be lot's of serious discontinuities in the data that would preclude it from ever claiming that it accurately captures the temperature of the earth when that is not true since testing is done with geographical bias with higher population areas ... 

The other problem with the methodology is that it would only work if Earth is in an equilibrium but that is never the case too ... 

We do it the same way we can calculate an altitude average or basically any other average of a variable distributed over an area. With enough points, you can approximate a surface. Like you said, there are data gaps, and I provided a simplified version of the calculation. In more detail, to close as many data-gaps as possible, NASA uses a weighted average model that weights stations closer to unmeasured areas more heavily. Temperature isn't limited to a single mathematical point. You won't have square micro-meters next to eachother that vary wildly in temperature. That's not how physics work. Like I said, the difficult part is getting the measurements, not the actual mathematics related to calculating the averages.

But there have been some errors because of missing data from the arctic which resulted in there being more warming in the northern hemisphere than previously thought. Honestly, the actual warming itself is extremely well documented, so to contest it seems a bit silly to me.



I stay out of these threads on VGC for a multitude of reasons. Here's 2 of them. It's frustrating, for one. I hate engaging in discourse on the topic of Trump through the medium of forum posting. It is evocative of screaming into the void. And two, I try to avoid it so I remain as ignorant as possible as to who thinks what on this site. I'm not eagar to take sides and potentially alienate myself from people I rather like. I still won't look at any comments, but I will say this: I hope this fucking pig dies soon. It brings to mind an old-timey Simpsons reference. Patty and Selma thought Homer had died, and presented to Marge a tombstone they had prepared in anticipation, well in advance.




I can't stand him, and it blows my mind that people find him defensible, even as a celebrity mouthpiece, much less as the President of the US. He's such a shit for brains it hurts.

Hope we can still VGComrades :)




- "If you have the heart of a true winner, you can always get more pissed off than some other asshole."