Staggering ports and offering more new experiences out the gate would have been a far better choice. Doing a hail mary move with all their ports at the beginning of the game screams droughts to me, as they don't have any games after two years of prep + from their studios. 

I mean if we look at the 5 year development cycle of LoZ games (and botw had a what... 7 year cycle), and know the cross gen BOTW isn't coming until a year in, we can conclude Switch won't get its own LoZ. Nintendo needs to find a way to decrease development time from their games. They really needed to merge and acquire.

We will have ports and new expariance like with PS4 and XB1 also. Actualy this reamsters will help that Switch dont have any software drouth. Why you assume they dont have any games after two years of prep + from their studios!? I am pretty sure we will see plantey of new games on 12. January.

We can have new Zelda in around 2020. if Nintendo use asets and engine of BotW, same like they done with Majoras Mask using Ocarina of Time asests and engine. IMO we will se new Zelda on Switch in any case, probably similar like Wii had TP at begining and SS at end. Zelda is exception if we talk about development time of Nintendo games, and Nintendo already find way to release more game and to have more support than before, all their teams will make games just for one platform.

Gonna be a bit of a dick here, but Nintendo don't need Wii U owners to like this lineup.

There's going to be what - at most 15m Wii U owners at absolute maximum by the time the console is done.

For lack of a better word, these people are either the Nintendo superfans, who bought the console because it was a Nintendo console, or they bought it because it has a solid lineup of first party stuff in the first few years and they like Nintendo first party.

Both of those groups of people are, presumably, going to be on board with a new Nintendo console which is going to be the focus of their development studios going forward no matter what.  They'll make their purchase sooner or later became first party will always be there, so during the first year - why not attempt to appeal to the wider audience who wanted one or two of the Nintendo games on the console but didn't want buy it?  They weren't on board with the Switch regardless but something like this might sway them.

*shrug*

I think the line up is great. Wii-U owners are not the main target audience but the 100 million Wii owners are. And they missed these games.

Laura Kate Dale on twitter just now
"My main Switch launch year concern is how much is on offer for players who owned both a Wii U and 3DS before."

My main Switch launch year concern is how much is on offer for players who owned both a Wii
U and 3DS before.

— Laura Kate Dale - Bluesky @LauraKBuzz.bsky.social (@LaurakBuzz) November 20, 2016

Turkish said: Laura Kate Dale on twitter just now "My main Switch launch year concern is how much is on offer for players who owned both a Wii U and 3DS before." My main Switch launch year concern is how much is on offer for players who owned both a Wii U and 3DS before. — Laura Kate Dale - Bluesky @LauraKBuzz.bsky.social (@LaurakBuzz) November 20, 2016 Deepest fears becoming real

It depends. For some 3D Mario alone would be enough to make them buy a Switch.

Yes, as a Wii U owner, this launch lineup doesn't look too great, but neither did PS4's or XB1's. Those consoles had a shit ton of ports for the first two years or something. We all remember the jokes of PS4 having no games to play. You're not buying a system for its first games the first year, you're making an investment for the future. And the Swtich's future does look a lot better than Wii U's, but it's really to early to tell if that's true.

Exactly, when all is said and done 3DS will have sold something like 50 million more than Wii U. The overwhelming majority of Nintendo's current audience never owned a Wii U for one reason or another (marketing, price, droughts, etc).

3DS owners looking to upgrade to a new portable device will have their first chance to play many of these games. Updated ports of Smash Bros U & Mario Kart 8 are huuuuuuuuuuuuuuge upgrades over Smash Bros 3DS & Mario Kart 7, Splatoon on the go will sell a  ton (especially in Japan).

Also im sure alot of Wii U owners will double dip, this always happens on this site. Something gets announced and people complain, then once they actually see it in motion they do a 180 and now its the coolest thing ever. If the rumors are true and Smash/Kart/Splatoon all have a good deal of new content, im sure people will buy them again.

Im willing to bet Splatoon, Mario Kart, Smash Bros, Breath of the Wild & Mario Maker on Switch all sell over 5 million with some of them over 10 million.