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Forums - Nintendo - If Nintendo Switch fails this will be Nintendo last console.

Soundwave on 08 November 2016

The more realistic agregate for the Switch is 3DS sales.

The 3DS sold an average of 12 million/year, but a big chunk of that came before cheapo tablets flooded the market and really damaged the 3DS market the last 2-3 years IMO.

So I think a year average of 10-11 million would be ... ok. A small decrease on the 3DS.



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DanneSandin on 08 November 2016
Soundwave said:
The more realistic agregate for the Switch is 3DS sales.

The 3DS sold an average of 12 million/year, but a big chunk of that came before cheapo tablets flooded the market and really damaged the 3DS market the last 2-3 years IMO.

So I think a year average of 10-11 million would be ... ok. A small decrease on the 3DS.

Yeah, I'd say somewhat lower than 3DS sales, depending on price and games of course



I'm on Twitter @DanneSandin!

Furthermore, I think VGChartz should add a "Like"-button.

fleischr on 08 November 2016
Soundwave said:
The more realistic agregate for the Switch is 3DS sales.

The 3DS sold an average of 12 million/year, but a big chunk of that came before cheapo tablets flooded the market and really damaged the 3DS market the last 2-3 years IMO.

So I think a year average of 10-11 million would be ... ok. A small decrease on the 3DS.

False. The Kindle Fire launched the same year for $100. Multiple Android tablets were hitting the market at the low-price point e,ven in 2011.



I predict NX launches in 2017 - not 2016

Kerotan on 08 November 2016

They'll release a 3DS successor in 1/2 years so they definitely won't leave the industry. The successor will also have a big screen mode like the Switch does.

They've already left the traditional home console market but they'll keep making portables for a while yet.



Soundwave on 08 November 2016
fleischr said:
Soundwave said:
The more realistic agregate for the Switch is 3DS sales.

The 3DS sold an average of 12 million/year, but a big chunk of that came before cheapo tablets flooded the market and really damaged the 3DS market the last 2-3 years IMO.

So I think a year average of 10-11 million would be ... ok. A small decrease on the 3DS.

False. The Kindle Fire launched the same year for $100. Multiple Android tablets were hitting the market at the low-price point e,ven in 2011.

Kindle Fire launched in November 2011 for $199.99. 

iPad was still the standard tablet through 2012, and that was an expensive device for adults. You didn't see a ton of kids running around with their own tablet until like later in 2012/13. 

The effect of tablet's on traditional portables wasn't an immediate thing either, it takes a little while for technology to filter down to little kids for example. 

When I was 16/17/18, maybe 2 of my friends had their own cell phone. Today every 16/17 year old has a cell phone. 



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DM235 on 08 November 2016
DanneSandin said:
DM235 said:

I think that power level will be a huge factor.  If the system is not on par with PS4 / XBox One, then it will be much harder for 3rd parties to port games to the Switch.  If that happens, you will have software droughts, which would lead to less sales, and a repeat of what happened with Wii U.

I don't think we'll see any serious droughts though, Nintendo will be able to give this console its entire attention and only make games for this one console. Droughts shouldn't be a problem then.

Even if Nintendo does everything it can but doesn't play nice with 3rd parties, then Nintendo fans would miss out on Madden, FIFA, Star Wars, Call of Duty, Grand Theft Auto, Red Dead Redemption, etc.  Even if Nintendo releases 2 games per month, it will still feel like a drought.



onionberry on 08 November 2016

We are worse than Michael Pachter.



Jumpin on 08 November 2016

DOOOOOOOOOOOOM!



I describe myself as a little dose of toxic masculinity.

Kerotan on 08 November 2016
SpokenTruth said:
Kerotan said:
They'll release a 3DS successor in 1/2 years so they definitely won't leave the industry. The successor will also have a big screen mode like the Switch does.

They've already left the traditional home console market but they'll keep making portables for a while yet.

Why would they cannibalize a selling point?

I'm talking if switch bombs.  there'll be nothing to canabolise. 



Miyamotoo on 09 November 2016
Kerotan said:
They'll release a 3DS successor in 1/2 years so they definitely won't leave the industry. The successor will also have a big screen mode like the Switch does.

They've already left the traditional home console market but they'll keep making portables for a while yet.

We can expect Switch Pocket (smaller Switch without dock and whitout controller with $100 smaller price than real Switch) in evre case in around 2-3 years. Even if Switch bombs (which is very unlikely) no way they will aband whole Switch platform and burn money on R&D og totally new platform and games for it.