If Nintendo Switch fails this will be Nintendo last console.

[Soundwave]

fleischr said:

Soundwave said:
The more realistic agregate for the Switch is 3DS sales.

The 3DS sold an average of 12 million/year, but a big chunk of that came before cheapo tablets flooded the market and really damaged the 3DS market the last 2-3 years IMO.

So I think a year average of 10-11 million would be ... ok. A small decrease on the 3DS.

False. The Kindle Fire launched the same year for $100. Multiple Android tablets were hitting the market at the low-price point e,ven in 2011.

Kindle Fire launched in November 2011 for $199.99. 

iPad was still the standard tablet through 2012, and that was an expensive device for adults. You didn't see a ton of kids running around with their own tablet until like later in 2012/13. 

The effect of tablet's on traditional portables wasn't an immediate thing either, it takes a little while for technology to filter down to little kids for example. 

When I was 16/17/18, maybe 2 of my friends had their own cell phone. Today every 16/17 year old has a cell phone.