2 Million max, It will do well in Japan but Bomb everywhere else

Price is very important. Hard to tell without knowing it. I'll go with 55-70 million if it's $249 (doubt it, but Nintendo should aim for it. Even if it's at a loss), and 40-60 million for $299. If it's above $299, it'll be a total failure.

Sales predictions without a price, the specs or the games... Which type of dice do you guys use?

Some 40 million, and almost half of it in Japan.

Mostly because I think it will be huge over there and do slightly better than GC/Wii U elsewhere.

(I said 40 million for the Wii U as well)

I will note that all the below/around Wii U sales prediction are nonsense. Nintendo has been getting a lot of publicity, for core and casual gamers, all this year. Miitomo, MyNintendo, Theme Park, NX, Pokemon GO, NES Classic, Super Mario Run, etc.

If the Switch cant beat the GameCube after all this, Nintendo is destined to fail and go 3rd party.

I'd say about four hundred million billion. That's what the figures seem to suggest anyway.

It's hard to predict when you don't know if this is the 3DS successor or not.

It has to be..... not even nintendo are that crazy (to do another handheld, after it being the main draw of the switch).

I suspect what will happend is there will be a tablet only version (without the docking part) that costs like 199$.

Then the controller base + dock will be additional 50-100$.

Or a bundle where you get all of that for 249-299$.

Assumeing the Nintendo Switch is the replacement for the 3DS as well as the Wii U.... how many do you think it will sell?

I think this is going to be pretty big. I won't put a number on it but I think Nintendo will be happy.

You can see from the promo that the focus really is the handheld market, and that is where Nintendo has always been strongest. And it will deliver a good experience for home console is a bonus. I don't see this having any chance of expanding the home console appeal.

Convincing hotels to install base units would be good if they can achieve a pretty wide take up. Certainly any hotels and resorts that want to cater to families would be smart to have a decent supply of base units.

Can't speak for others, but I'm worried about the core concept, as I was when the Wii U and the Gamepad were revealed in 2012. Regardless of specs and games, the core concept remains the same, so it's possible by using present and likely near future market trends to make a half-decent guess as to how it will do.

If that's the case the switch needs to sell 80m units or Nintendo face another gen on gen decline.