I have to agree that it won't be $200. However. I think there's a good chance it's $250.

That is perfectly fine. The idea of these consoles is not to get everyone to upgrade all the time. The idea is to diversify the product offering, and allow expansion. Now people that want to get into gaming on XBO or PS4 can do so at either $250, or $500. This allows those that just want a console to play with their friends a cheap way to get. It also offers people looking to take advantage of their premium 4K TV's and Recievers a chance to get the most out of them.

I think it is going to be marketed as a premium devices, and not a major part of Sony making huge gains in market share. It looks like they are going to have the PS4 2000 carry the heavy lifting and sell to kids, parents, and those not interested in 4K. That will be a massive part of the userbase. 

The Neo is going to be offered as a premium product for hard core gamers & movie fanatics. I see Neo even if it has the specs as leaked reaching $500 because it will have built in Card Readers, a base 2TB HHD, the additional PSVR hardware built in, and the HD Audio and 4K Video decoders. Sony is going to market this like they market the new Z series 4K TV's, they are the top of the top of the line, and come at a premium price. They are not saying you have to buy it, but if you want it , it is there.  

It is possible Sony could go $200 PS4 2000 & $400 PS4 Neo. It would be an incredible holiday, and probably see both models out of stock the rest of the year, but I have to agree. As I have been saying, PS4 2000 = $250 & PS4 Neo will be $500. That gives the perfect pricing gap to help people understand that one is a premium model. 

Well they are definitely chances for $250 price, I would say chances are 35% for $250 and 65% for $300 price.

Everything is possible, just $150 price cut  isn't realistic at all. Also PS4 Neo will most likely have $100 higher price than regular PS4, $150 at most. I personally expecting $400 for PS4 Neo, and $250-300 for regular PS4.

Final prediction:

PS4 drops to $300 (still going to sell because some people will prefer the aesthetics)
PS4s $250
PS4 Neo $350 - $400. If it's $400 it will come with a game. Likely UC4 enhanced.

$99.

249$ price point, and sony wins holidays in style.

They already win. Making more money off a cheaper device for the same price makes more sense.

Sure everything is possible, I just don't see how so many think Neo will only be $100 more than the base model. We are talking about an industry that charges $50 more for a 500GB vs 1TB system. That is on a drive that is maybe a few bucks more, ecspecialy in bulk.

Now, we have a system that at the least has twice the GPU, an enhanced Audio/Video decoder, and most likely a 1TB. I just dont see this being anything but double the price of the base unit. 

At $200/$400 or $250/$500 there is a clear distinction between the base unit and the premium model. It leaves no confusion with those prices. If you want a PS4 on the whim the base is a no brainer with a 2X price difference.

With a mere $100 difference, there is almost no point in the PS4 2000, as people will just pay the $100 extra. Unless the idea is just to make the Neo such a good deal people can't pass it up, and then when the data shows Neo is %85 of the sales they will pull the 2000 off the shelves.

Whatever the out come, this is extreamly exciting times in the console buisness. September 7th is going to be a great day, and whatever the outcome, I will be getting a Neo and PSVR day one.

Are people really expecting a 4k capable console at a $400 price tag?