I have to admit, I do find the retrospective amusing. The group who say it won't reach 50% by year end aren't that bad, even I'm not so certain about that, but the group that claims Wii will never hit 50% just amuses me.

Well, it's possible that the Wii will never reach 50%. Looking at how the number work, the Wii has to outsell the PS3 + Xbox 360 combined and make up an additional 5.69 million units.  I don't think the Wii has managed to make up many units since I created the "will the wii reach 50% marketshare in 2008" thread early this year.

The reason is that it isn't dependent so much on the Wii's sales alone, but it is dependent a lot on the PS3's sales, and even the Xbox 360's sales. If MS comes around and gets the price of the 360 below the price of the Wii here in America, it could become a bigger factor here again (not bigger than the Wii in the US, of course, but perhaps bigger than the PS3 in the US). 

even if MS drops X360's price down to wii, i dont think it would affect Wii that much since both consoles are targeting different markets. back to basics. Definitely seen on this week's charts, Wii outselling both PS3 and 360 combined.

Doubters................................. Lol.

Imagine the boost in percentage that Wii could get from Wii Fit. 

Guess who's up to 45%?

Another way to look at whether the Wii can get 50% of the market, is to break it down by geographical region.  In Japan, the Wii has got it made there.  It only has to beat the PS3 and is doing that handily so far, and I have to say into the future for some time.

In Other, Wii has its hands full.  PS3 is so strong there, I don't know if the Wii can beat it and the X360 as well.  http://vgchartz.com/hwcomps.php?cons1=Wii&reg1=Total+Other&cons2=PS3&reg2=Total+Other&cons3=X360&reg3=Total+Other&start=39208&end=39572

Those two regions taken together, the Wii is managing to keep 50% and probably can keep doing so.

http://vgchartz.com/hwcomps.php?cons1=Wii&reg1=America&cons2=PS3&reg2=America&cons3=X360&reg3=America&start=39208&end=39572

is the chart for America sales.  And while the Wii is not doing more than 50%, it is on the weeks that it has product to sell.  With the increase in production, perhaps the shipments can even out.  If they do even out at say 250k a week, that should be enough to keep the number creeping up towards 50%. 

Didnt the Wii launch recently in Korea?

^ yeah it did,
I think last week with around 10k first week

Kool I havent seen any separate number about it here now.

Also Wii is at 45% market share total.