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Forums - Nintendo - Can The Legend of Zelda: (U/NX) Sell Close to 10mil Lifetime? (or More)

Peh on 16 April 2016
tbone51 said:
Peh said:
Going by the facts, so no. The userbase on the Wii U is too small to accomplish 10 million. The Wii U as sold around 13 million consoles. And I guess the userbase would be around 30-40% on that console who will buy the new zelda.

NX is not considered for now.

The whole point is to consider NX, if not there would be no point of this thread

Oh, Ok. Then I will consider the NX now.

Zelda U/NX will sell at least 20 Million. Why? Because the NX will bring World Peace, cure cancer and make toast.  

Edit: Real delicious toast.



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Frogger on 16 April 2016

I definitely see Zelda U doing at least 4m on Wii U alone, and I'm very sure it'll do double that on NX lifetime.

This Zelda is gonna crush when it releases.



bigtakilla on 16 April 2016
spemanig said:
I definitely see Zelda U doing at least 4m on Wii U alone, and I'm very sure it'll do double that on NX lifetime.

This Zelda is gonna crush when it releases.

12 million, holy crap. I got it maxing at 6. 

I guess you're REALLY banking on the NX being a HUGE hit.



Frogger on 16 April 2016
bigtakilla said:

12 million, holy crap. I got it maxing at 6. 

I guess you're REALLY banking on the NX being a HUGE hit.

I mean, I am, but the NX could sell N64 numbers and hit my predictions.

But again this is going to be a unified platform with a shared library. It's going to have access to much more hardware SKUs lifetime than a lot of people expect. Even if the NX sells 15m and the NXDS sells 60m lifetime, that's still 75m potential people buying the NX version of a Zelda that's open world and finally has VA. (minus sales lost from cross-buy)

But I expect the NX platform to do Wii/DS numbers, so yeah, I think the Zelda U will, again, crush.

Love that word. Crush.



shadowithin on 16 April 2016

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Mike321 on 16 April 2016

I don't see that happening, mainly because I'm not confident yet that NX will be a huge sucess.



                                                                                     

onionberry on 16 April 2016

this game is going to be a revolution (at least for zelda) so yea,



Ultrashroomz on 16 April 2016

I doubt it, I wanna say 6M at most.



"Just for comparison Uncharted 4 was 20x bigger than Splatoon 2. This shows the huge difference between Sony's first-party games and Nintendo's first-party games."

Cloudman on 17 April 2016
bigtakilla said:
Cloudman said:

I see, I got it now. Among the Wii U and NX, it seems likely to get close.

I actually wrote pretty in depth about why I don't think it will.

"Let's look at this logically. Wii U will still be around 13 million, Wii sold 10 and PS4 sold 12 million it's first year (which are some of the most successful console first year launches), so we can imagine even if it is a huge success and people are just busting down the gates to get it in it's first year when Zelda U will probably be its most successful it will only have an install base of 25 million. Out of that you expect 10 million copies of a game to be sold? While not impossible (literally every single person who owns a console COULD possibly buy it) you see how far of a shot this actually is. 


That would be to expect 1 out of every 2.5 people to own this game.... It's not likely at all. With an install base 20 million users more and a game that was hyped to hell (which was the case with TP) it only sold around 8 million. You would be hard pressed to have me believe this game is more anticipated than TP too.

I'm actually thinking I was a bit to optimistic saying 7-8, and 4-6 million will probably be far closer.

Just some perspective."

4-6 Mil is gonna be my guess.

Yeah, it does seem unlikely for Zelda U to sell 10 mil with a small Wii U base and as an NX launch title. The NX would have to be a huge success with everyone on board with Zelda, as well as excellent sells on the Wii U, and it doesn't seem likely. Zelda isn't a big selling title either, at least ones that sell +10 mil.



 

              

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LipeJJ on 17 April 2016
Ryng_Tolu said:
Ocarina of times is the bigger Zelda game ever, which sold 11 million LT.
Twilight princess is the second, will eventually break 10 million soon with the Wii U version.

I think will depend if this game will get a remake or a remastered after 7-10 years of release.

But yeah, it's gonna be fucking huge. 7-8 million withouth remake Wii U + NX.

Pretty much this. I think 7m is a safe bet (Wii U + NX).



Bet with Teeqoz for 2 weeks of avatar and sig control that Super Mario Odyssey would ship more than 7m on its first 2 months. The game shipped 9.07m, so I won