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Forums - Movies & TV - Batman Vs Superman earns an estimated 15.5m on Friday. Looking at a -66% to -69% weekend drop.

http://deadline.com/2016/04/batman-v-superman-box-office-second-weekend-gods-not-dead-2-1201729796/

1).Batman v Superman (WB), 4,256 theaters (+14)/ $15.5M-$17.1M Fri. (-79% to -81%)/ 3-day cume: $51M-$56.7M (-66% to -69%)/Total Cume:$260M-$265.8M/ Wk 2

2). Zootopia (DIS), 3,698 theaters (+28)/ $5.4M Fri. (-43%)/ 3-day cume: $19.8M (-18%)/Total Cume: $275.7M/Wk 5

3).My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 (UNI), 3,179 theaters (+46)/ $3.2M Fri. (-56%) / 3-day cume: $10.7M (-40%)/Total Cume: $36.1M /Wk 2

4).Miracles From Heaven (SONY), 3,155 theaters (+108)/ $2.1M Fri.(-36%) / 3-day cume: $7.7M (-21%)/Total Cume: $47M/ Wk 3

5).God’s Not Dead 2 (PURE), 2,320 theaters/ $2.5M* Fri./ 3-day cume: $7.2M/ Wk 1
*includes $400K Thursday preview

6).Allegiant (LG), 3,018 theaters (-722)/ $1.78M Fri.  (-51%)/ 3-day cume: $5.7M (-40%)/Total cume: $56.3M Wk 3

7).10 Cloverfield Lane (PAR), 2,511 theaters (-291)/ $1.26M Fri. (-39%) / 3-day cume: $4.2M (-29%)/Total cume: $63M Wk 4

8) Eye in the Sky (BLST), 1,029 theaters (+906)/ $1.2M Fri. (+297%) / 3-day cume: $3.6M (+283%)/Total Cume: $5.7MWk 4

9). Deadpool (FOX), 1,968 theaters (-368) / $958K Fri. (-44%) / 3-day cume: $3.3M (-32%) Total Cume: $354.9M Wk 7

10.) Meet the Blacks (FREE), 1,014 theaters / $1.1M Fri.**/ 3-day cume: $3.1M Wk 1
**includes $200K Thursday preview

11) Hello, My Name Is Doris (RSA), 964 theaters (+479)/ $689K Fri. (+39%) / 3-day cume: $2.57M (+54%)/Total Cume: $6.8MWk 4

 

 

Rth over at Boxofficetheory.com is saying it's more towards 15m. DHD are known for getting their weekend multipliers wrong so it could actually be under 50m/over 70% drop for the second weekend. To put this into perspective, Deadpool's second Friday made $16,218,008.

With no competition whatsoever this weekend, it's some pretty disappointing numbers.  BVS also dropped hard in China and Russia plus the other international markets are looking at dropping over 60% over the weekend.

Do you guys think it has enough in it's tank to get to 1 Billion WW? Should WB bite the bullet by dropping Synder in Justice League Pt.1, perhaps moving it back, and bringing the Solo Batman movie forward to build better momentum? 



PS4/PS3/PC/3DS Owner (Will buy a Switch when mainline Pokemon game is released)

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10 Cloverfield Lane is [deservedly] doing awesome.



spurgeonryan said:
Smaller drop than the last Harry Potter movie right? As long as it stays in the 60's for percentage drop we will be alright.

What releases next week to go against it?

It should be somewhere in the 60's still. That Harry Potter movie did drop 72% although it did have 'Captain America - The First Avenger' to contest with.

Next week there is 'The Boss'  and 'Henry Hardcore' opening wide which I don't expect much from.

Then the following week is 'The Jungle Book'  which is followed by 'The Huntsman - Winter's war'.  Both should do decent numbers. Well the former does have some potential to breakout.



PS4/PS3/PC/3DS Owner (Will buy a Switch when mainline Pokemon game is released)

Sony is on a roll with faith based "hits". (Not blockbusters, but movies with a rather low budget that end up with a pretty decent gross and thus profit.)



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Last edited by OttoniBastos - on 31 July 2018

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OttoniBastos said:
I told you this movie would have short legs.

Warner is probably shitting bricks right now.

Potientially seeing a 70% Decline, ya they would be. Given they could rest on foreign sales potientially. 



 

spurgeonryan said:
Even at 850- 900 million it would make a profit, even with some of the worst case scenarios dealing with budget and marketing^

The thing is ROI, when Harry Potter spin off does better ROI than this, WB will take second hard look, meaning smaller budget, which could save the franchises potientially. 

Funny enough, deadline does breakdown for it to be profitable, which means it will not be profitable till potientially global home entertainment revenue, if domestic sales are much lower. 

http://deadline.com/2016/03/batman-v-superman-opening-weekend-box-office-records-1201726300/



 

Ouch for BvS.

I don't think it was *great* per se, but it was OK. First half of the movie is a meandering train wreck but the second half gets better. Lex Luthor casting was a big mistake though.



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Last edited by OttoniBastos - on 31 July 2018

OttoniBastos said:
I'm not an expert in box office but what people are saying on internet is that 1 billion is pretty much not possible unless a miracle happens.Can someone confirm that? If that is true,wasn't this movie suppose to cross 1 billion in order to be profitable?

Honestly no real data exists, however deadline does showcase projections of how it can be profitable, and that means it won't be profitable till all is said and done. (TV Deals, Home Box Entertainment, etc).