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Forums - Nintendo - Patchter thinks wii fit will not sell 10 million units,

HappySqurriel on 23 March 2008
leo-j said:
Soriku said:
leo-j said:
GTA 4 is going to have the biggest attach rate ever, every sinle PS360 owner(atleasr 50%) will buy that game, they should have a combined base of over 35million, so 16M is very possible combined.

 

35 mil? ROFL, you got high hopes. Want to take a ban bet on that?

Around 30million or so, I expect GTA 4 to end up with 16 million, you have no idea on how big this game is.


I'm actually expecting the complete opposite from GTA4 ...

There are some people who are willing to spend $400 for 1 game, but they make up the minority of the people who buy gaming systems. This means that the people who will buy GTA 4 will either own a PS3 or XBox 360, or will have decided to buy one anyways. This will (effectively) shut out a large portion of people who previously owned a GTA game, and will mean that the sales will fall short of previous versions. I simply can not see anyone who was not interested in buying Grand Theft Auto on the PS2 (when nearly everyone owned a PS2, and they were inexpensive to buy anyways) suddenly becomming interested in Grand theft Auto 4 and shelling out the money to buy a system on top of the game.



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kylohk on 23 March 2008

50% of all PS3/X360 owners owning GTA4 is a bit over the top, I think. Sure, it's going to be a great hit, but not that great that half of the gamers are "brainwashed" into buying the game?

As for Wii Fit getting 10M sold with such a price tag, well, I don't think so either.



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Imthelegend on 23 March 2008
daactualfact said:
leo-j, that's pure bull what you're saying. (no offense.)

If Gta San Andreas on Ps2 managed 15 mil on a 120 mil userbase lifetime, I don't see that happening for a 35 mil userbase at all, no matter how big the game is.

 Agreed

 

http://vgchartz.com/games/index.php?name=&console=&publisher=&genre=&keyword=san+andreas&order=Last+Updated

 


 

TWRoO on 23 March 2008

The mere fact he has to use 10 million as a top marker speaks for itself, I can almost count the number of video games that have sold 10 million on my fingers and toes. (26)

as for GTAIV, I am almost positive it will sell 10 million, and I doubt very much it will exceed 15 million. I think a likely marker for it to pass is 12 million.



bigjon on 23 March 2008

wiifit WILL be at about 6-7 million at the end of this year worldwide... I see no reason it cant hit 10 million by the end of 09, and if more games come out to use the Balance board, it could sell like a DS game... forever..



End of 2009 Predictions (Set, January 1st 2009)

Wii- 72 million   3rd Year Peak, better slate of releases

360- 37 million   Should trend down slightly after 3rd year peak

PS3- 29 million  Sales should pick up next year, 3rd year peak and price cut

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pichu_pichu on 23 March 2008

I dont think wii fit would sell 10 million this year, but it'll be close to it, I think it would have strong legs next year and beyond



Imthelegend on 23 March 2008
Soriku said:
leo-j said:
Soriku said:
leo-j said:
GTA 4 is going to have the biggest attach rate ever, every sinle PS360 owner(atleasr 50%) will buy that game, they should have a combined base of over 35million, so 16M is very possible combined.

 

35 mil? ROFL, you got high hopes. Want to take a ban bet on that?

Around 30million or so, I expect GTA 4 to end up with 16 million, you have no idea on how big this game is.


 

Bull. I demand a 3 week - 1 month ban bet.

 Bye leo-j we will see you in a month.



 


 

DKII on 23 March 2008

Those are both reasonable caps, what's the problem?



FishyJoe on 23 March 2008

More 360 owners are going to buy GTA than Halo 3? I don't think so.



ikilledkenny on 23 March 2008

Wii Fit is a wild card. It is almost impossible to determine how successful it will be.

GTA4 will not beat San Andreas. I'm guessing around 11-12 million lifetime. 7-8 million on 360, 3-4 million on PS3.