So, to everyone claiming Pachter is wrong more often than right: do you have any recent statistics to show about this? I know once someone researched the predictions of different analysts, and Pachter was among the more successful ones. If that's indicative of his skills, he ought to be one of the better analysts even now. So anyone care to prove me wrong with statistics instead of simple bashing?
SpokenTruth said:
His wrong to right ratio is heavily skewed to wrong. Further, the things he gets right usually are very obvious. What he gets wrong though is often mind numblingly stupid.
He can't even get the positive stuff right.
The only reason he ever gained attention in the first place was because he was the only retail analyst providing insight into the growing video game industry. So he by default became the go to guy for analysis from an accredited and respected institution. Threads continue to be made about because the industry continues to listen to him despite having a track record worse than Exxon's environmental reports. |
It's weird how every people out there seems to know really well all of his predictions and wether they turned right or wrong
| Zkuq said: So, to everyone claiming Pachter is wrong more often than right: do you have any recent statistics to show about this? I know once someone researched the predictions of different analysts, and Pachter was among the more successful ones. If that's indicative of his skills, he ought to be one of the better analysts even now. So anyone care to prove me wrong with statistics instead of simple bashing? |
I do not have that stats on it but he has predicted several things within the past year or so that was simply awful and was never going to happen. His stats would be skewed because he often says things that are painfully obvious such as "the ps4 is going to sell more" lol
rolltide101x said:
I do not have that stats on it but he has predicted several things within the past year or so that was simply awful and was never going to happen. His stats would be skewed because he often says things that are painfully obvious such as "the ps4 is going to sell more" lol |
I didn't ask for the things he got wrong, I asked for the statistics. If he makes a thousand predictions and a hundred are wrong, that's a hundred incorrect predictions. But his success rate is still 90 %. So if he makes a lot of predictions, he's bound to get more wrong as well, and you might be seeing that effect. Not only that, but other analysts seem to get less publicity, which means their mistakes don't go public as easily so even if they're wrong more often, you don't see it.
Now bring the statistics and stop fooling around with 'it feels like' kind of stuff.
| pokoko said: Maybe he just thinks Nintendo often makes poor business decisions? |
that is impossible... Nintendo never makes then, it's the haters that don't get it and want Nintendo to fail.
duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363
Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994
Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."
Zkuq said:
I didn't ask for the things he got wrong, I asked for the statistics. If he makes a thousand predictions and a hundred are wrong, that's a hundred incorrect predictions. But his success rate is still 90 %. So if he makes a lot of predictions, he's bound to get more wrong as well, and you might be seeing that effect. Not only that, but other analysts seem to get less publicity, which means their mistakes don't go public as easily so even if they're wrong more often, you don't see it. Now bring the statistics and stop fooling around with 'it feels like' kind of stuff. |
On sales prediction about PS3 WW and all PS4 for the 1st year he have been basically wrong.
duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363
Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994
Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."
| Pavolink said: I don't think so. He was right to say that a new Wii HD needed to come in 2011, 2012 was too late and Wii U is not a Wii HD. Also, he has another perspective, something pretty different from people here. In this forum we play to imagine us as bussiness men, but in reality many of us would be killed in that area. |
I'm sure most would go bankrupt.
duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363
Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994
Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."
I don't think he's a hater. I think he's a desperate person trying to make a living.
Yes he's a hater, look at these predictions before this gen started. I much prefered the predictions from people on this forum where the Wii U was easily going to win this generation
july 2012
october 2012
Nintendo forecasts huge Wii U sales, Pachter thinks they’re nuts
| GProgrammer said: Yes he's a hater, look at these predictions before this gen started. I much prefered the predictions from people on this forum where the Wii U was easily going to win this generation july 2012 Michael Pachter Predicts Wii U Failure
october 2012
|
The failure of the Wii U was blindingly obvious to anyone who looked at it from a remotely objective perspective. There was no hype around it, and very few games announced. Comparing analysts to random Nintendo fanboys on the internet is a little bit silly really.
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