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Forums - Nintendo - Kimishima believes Nintendo will exceed DS/Wii Era profits within 3 years

 

Do you think what Kimishima says is possible?

Yes, i have faith in Nintendo 69 22.77%
 
No, Nintendo will never r... 76 25.08%
 
Maybe 58 19.14%
 
Depends on what the NX will be 75 24.75%
 
Depends on their mobile strategy 25 8.25%
 
Total:303
teigaga said:
Cloudman said:


I think it's gotta be more than that. I don't think mobile alone will make them money exceeding the Wii and DS.

Candy Crush Made $1.4bn in revenue last year. 

I'm sure they have other stuff up their sleave but they could quite easily make these predictions with only their mobile devision being responsible for serious growth, of course their handheld and Consoles would presumably be more profitable in 2017/18  versus now with the dead Wii U and declining 3DS sales. 

The issue is games like Candy Crush, Angry Birds, Flappy Birds, Game of War, Clash of Clans, etc... is that they are outliers most of which are developed by companies explictily designed to home in on this one thing. This  betrays the harsh reality of what the mobile market is. I touched a bit on this on my thread about price competition that nobody wanted to read. You have something like a million games on app store and play store combined give or take the hundreds of thousands of games shared between the two settling to an average price of $1-2.

That's a really terrible market. Typically, this wouldn't be an issue to a seasoned dev like Nintendo, if it wasn't their first real foray into mobile (not handheld) games. With regard to these extenuating factors I would argue that the results are entirely to predictable for mobile to be dependable at least for me anyway. Relying on Nintendo's pedigree is like banking on the success of the PS2 or the 360 in the U.S market.



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spemanig said:
Pretty much. And not just because of mobile. Because of everything. If they do everything I think they will, Nintendo is going to be titanic in a few years. Bigger than they've ever been before.


You know, I've been seeing you placing a lot of faith in Nintendo the past couple months. While I can appreciate the enthusiasm and some logics behind it, and I want Nintendo to succeed greatly as well, don't be too disappointed/shocked if Nintendo screws up royaly. We're still almost left entirely in the dark, and this is still the same Nintendo that made rather arrogant and short-sighted mistakes. Let's hope for the best though.



I doubt he would make such a claim unless he knew about things we didn't

 

really if they have a successful move into mobile then it's possible. Imagine if they nailed a Pokemon app and a few other popular ones like Animal Crossing. I could see Animal Crossing being giant on mobile, what's more perfect than a little silly app game where you take care of your animal home and visit other animals (mobile humans)

if the NX is a proper integratation of mobile console and home console then I think it will sell great

I'm curious if there are some other things we don't know about yet

 

to make this sort of claim is pretty serious, I think the Wii/DS era is the most profitable game generation for any company in gaming history. Even Sony in the PS2 era was not profiting (I think they lost money then!). 

 

will be fascinating to see what happpens



BasilZero said:
3 years to what Wii/DS had done in its entire generation? Yeah good luck with that.


I agree its an insanely agressive prediction but I don't think anyone can deny that mobile could be giant for Nintendo. I could see Pokemon on mobile being like Angry Birds level



mountaindewslave said:

I doubt he would make such a claim unless he knew about things we didn't

 

really if they have a successful move into mobile then it's possible. Imagine if they nailed a Pokemon app and a few other popular ones like Animal Crossing. I could see Animal Crossing being giant on mobile, what's more perfect than a little silly app game where you take care of your animal home and visit other animals (mobile humans)

if the NX is a proper integratation of mobile console and home console then I think it will sell great

I'm curious if there are some other things we don't know about yet

 

to make this sort of claim is pretty serious, I think the Wii/DS era is the most profitable game generation for any company in gaming history. Even Sony in the PS2 era was not profiting (I think they lost money then!). 

 

will be fascinating to see what happpens

Nintendo's Miitomo, first mobile game, was announced and then subsequently delayed. 

As with their foray into HD games, Nintendo tends to overextend on their initial capabilities when entering a new market. The previous statement already suggests that.



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I think synergies between development teams - and expansion, as well - should play into their software lineup. They've already announced a new studio partnership in Singapore.

It's been shown that, as is, Nintendo can't support two platforms at once - especially if both are to be more powerful. Software developers like Camelot or Nd Cube can't handle having to release a title every year anymore, now that HD has arrived for Nintendo.



 
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And he - Kimishima - also predicted the Wii U would not be a success.

What he predicted is happening at the moment though



 

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Does that mean they go full casual?



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BasilZero said:
3 years to what Wii/DS had done in its entire generation? Yeah good luck with that.

I dont think thats what he meant, he probably meant in 3 year they will have financial years that are more profitable than those in Wii/DS generation.



Definitely possible, but we will see.