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Forums - Sales Discussion - Media Create Japan: PSVita, 3DS, PS4 with + (June 22th-28st 2015)

Kuksenkov on 01 July 2015

I'm not sure if I'm a kid or a squid, but the Japanese seem to be transforming Into the latter.



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hiska-kun on 01 July 2015
binary solo said:
Ryng_Tolu said:
Week Gap sales
1 325,892 144,818 181,074 ( MK8 )
2 73,051 68,913 4,138 ( MK8 )
3 42,261 53,198 10,937 ( Splat )
4 28,112 43,653 15,541 ( Splat )
5 23,520 37,458 13,938 ( Splat )
6 19,386 32K  
7 15,143 27K  
8 14,992 23K  
9 18,192 19.5K  
10 18,067 17K  
TOTAL 578,616 466K ?

Probably worth noting that 1 week of MK8 > 4 weeks of Splatoon. It's a pretty safe bet that MK8 wk 10 > Splatoon Wk 10. Splatoon is at 348K currently which means in the next 5 weeks it needs to sell 230K meaning a weekly average of 46K. Given it dropped below 46K in week 4 you can call the win to MK8 now. Splatoon is still dropping at a smaller % rate than MK8 so it should stay ahead week vs week for longer than I expected. I've projected roughly what I think will happen with Splatoon assuming a fairly flat 15% drop week on week from here on. I don't know what happened in week 9 and 10 for MK8 that gave it a sustained boost, but because of that it seems Splatoon and MK8 will be close to parity in week 9, unless there is something that will give Splatoon a ~30% boost at the same point in time.

Even so, a mighty result for Splatoon.

Have you at least recognized that you've lost your bet?



Media Create Annual Archive (Spanish version)

http://zonaforo.meristation.com/topic/2246651/

Super_Boom on 01 July 2015

Fire Emblem, gosh when I look at it now, and think about how it used to sell...

Great to see this franchise get the attention it deserves. Now to wait for it come to the West...

Also glad to see that Persona spinoff sell better than expected.



NNID: Zephyr25 / PSN: Zephyr--25 / Switch: SW-4450-3680-7334

binary solo on 01 July 2015
hiska-kun said:
binary solo said:

Probably worth noting that 1 week of MK8 > 4 weeks of Splatoon. It's a pretty safe bet that MK8 wk 10 > Splatoon Wk 10. Splatoon is at 348K currently which means in the next 5 weeks it needs to sell 230K meaning a weekly average of 46K. Given it dropped below 46K in week 4 you can call the win to MK8 now. Splatoon is still dropping at a smaller % rate than MK8 so it should stay ahead week vs week for longer than I expected. I've projected roughly what I think will happen with Splatoon assuming a fairly flat 15% drop week on week from here on. I don't know what happened in week 9 and 10 for MK8 that gave it a sustained boost, but because of that it seems Splatoon and MK8 will be close to parity in week 9, unless there is something that will give Splatoon a ~30% boost at the same point in time.

Even so, a mighty result for Splatoon.

Have you at least recognized that you've lost your bet?

I don't make bets, but if by that you mean I got a Splatoon sales prediction wrong, yes I believe I have acknowledged that, see bolded bit.



“The fundamental cause of the trouble is that in the modern world the stupid are cocksure while the intelligent are full of doubt.” - Bertrand Russell

"When the power of love overcomes the love of power, the world will know peace."

Jimi Hendrix

 

GProgrammer on 01 July 2015
hiska-kun said:

Have you at least recognized that you've lost your bet?


Um what, looking at the numbers I would say its more likely that MK8 wins



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Jranation on 01 July 2015
Ryng_Tolu said:
Dr.Vita said:
Where are famitsu numbers?

HARDWARE

3DS: 32.333

PSV: 23.769

WIU: 14.013

PS4: 11.977

PS3: 2.451

XB1: 357

 

SOFTWARE

01./00. [3DS] Fire Emblem Fates: Black Kingdom / White Kingdom # (Nintendo) {2015.06.25} (¥5.076) - 353.201 / NEW <80-100%> 
02./00. [PSV] Persona 4: Dancing All Night # (Atlus) {2015.06.25} (¥7.538) - 95.157 / NEW <80-100%> 
03./01. [3DS] Rhythm Heaven: The Best+ (Nintendo) {2015.06.11} (¥5.076) - 49.342 / 274.638 <80-100%> (-29%)
04./02. [WIU] Splatoon (Nintendo) {2015.05.28} (¥6.156) - 38.548 / 387.105 <80-100%> (-23%)
05./00. [PS4] Final Fantasy XIV: Heavensward # (Square Enix) {2015.06.23} (¥4.104) - 35.830 / NEW <40-60%> 
06./00. [PS3] TV Anime Idolm@ster: Cinderella Girls G4U! Pack Vol.2 (Bandai Namco Games) {2015.06.25} (¥10.778) - 14.957 / NEW <60-80%> 
07./00. [PSV] Chaos;Child # (5pb.) {2015.06.25} (¥7.344) - 10.431 / NEW <60-80%> 
08./07. [PSV] Minecraft: PlayStation Vita Edition (Sony Computer Entertainment) {2015.03.19} (¥2.592) - 9.614 / 212.757 <80-100%> (+14%)
09./03. [3DS] Return to PoPoLoCrois: A Story of Seasons Fairytale (Marvelous) {2015.06.18} (¥6.458) - 9.310 / 54.212 <60-80%> (-79%)
10./05. [3DS] Dragon Ball Z: Extreme Butoden (Bandai Namco Games) {2015.06.11} (¥6.145) - 9.275 / 95.613 <60-80%> (-48%)
11./06. [WIU] Mario Kart 8 # (Nintendo) {2014.05.29} (¥6.156) - 8.863 / 1.043.046 <80-100%> (-4%)
12./00. [PS3] Final Fantasy XIV: Heavensward # (Square Enix) {2015.06.23} (¥4.104) - 8.509 / NEW <40-60%> 
13./00. [PS4] Chaos;Child # (5pb.) {2015.06.25} (¥8.424) - 8.261 / NEW <60-80%> 
14./04. [PS4] Devil May Cry 4: Special Edition (Capcom) {2015.06.18} (¥4.849) - 8.026 / 38.783 <60-80%> (-74%)
15./00. [PSV] Shinobi, Koi Utsutsu: Setsugetsuka Koi Emaki # (Idea Factory) {2015.06.25} (¥6.264) - 6.832 / NEW <80-100%> 
16./00. [PS4] Final Fantasy XIV: The Complete Experience {Final Fantasy XIV: A Realm Reborn Final Fantasy XIV: Heavensward} (Square Enix) {2015.06.23} (¥6.264) - 4.726 / NEW <40-60%> 
17./00. [3DS] Kaitou Joker: Toki o Koeru Kaitou to Ushinawareta Houseki (Bandai Namco Games) {2015.06.25} (¥5.627) - 4.201 / NEW <20-40%> 
18./00. [PSV] Harvest OverRay # (Technical Group Laboratory) {2015.06.25} (¥5.378) - 4.099 / NEW <60-80%> 
19./11. [3DS] Pokemon Omega Ruby / Alpha Sapphire # (Pokemon Co.) {2014.11.21} (¥4.937) - 3.964 / 2.823.103 <80-100%> (+9%)
20./17. [3DS] Animal Crossing: New Leaf # (Nintendo) {2012.11.08} (¥4.800) - 3.890 / 4.348.232 <80-100%> (+61%)
21./12. [3DS] Super Smash Bros. for Nintendo 3DS (Nintendo) {2014.09.13} (¥5.616) - 3.368 / 2.342.039 <80-100%> (-1%)
22./00. [PSV] Grisaia no Kajitsu Spinout!? Idol Mahou Shoujo ChiruChiru Michiru (Prototype) {2015.06.25} (¥4.644) - 3.296 / NEW <60-80%> 
23./00. [PS3] Chaos;Child # (5pb.) {2015.06.25} (¥8.424) - 3.291 / NEW <60-80%> 
24./08. [PS4] The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt (Spike Chunsoft) {2015.05.21} (¥8.856) - 3.287 / 116.657 <80-100%> (-37%)
25./10. [3DS] Puzzle & Dragons: Super Mario Bros. Edition (GungHo Online Entertainment) {2015.04.29} (¥4.320) - 2.884 / 287.616 <80-100%> (-21%)
26./00. [PS4] Ride (Intergrow) {2015.06.25} (¥7.344) - 2.839 / NEW <60-80%> 
27./00. [PSV] Hotline Miami: Collected Edition (Spike Chunsoft) {2015.06.25} (¥3.996) - 2.812 / NEW <20-40%> 
28./13. [3DS] Style Savvy 3: Kira Kira Code (Nintendo) {2015.04.16} (¥5.076) - 2.784 / 166.198 <80-100%> (-14%)
29./16. [3DS] Yo-kai Watch 2: Shin Uchi (Level 5) {2014.12.13} (¥4.968) - 2.397 / 2.608.407 <80-100%> (-3%)
30./20. [3DS] Ansatsu Kyoushitsu: Korosensei Daihouimou!! (Bandai Namco Games) {2015.03.12} (¥6.145) - 2.394 / 87.034 <80-100%> (+14%)


OH! It looks like The Wii U is still above the PS4! Around 1k difference in MC, while around 2k difference in Famitsu. And did they count the special edition twice? 



Pocky Lover Boy! 

Jranation on 01 July 2015
Pavolink said:
http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showpost.php?p=170553614&postcount=15

From Hiska-kun
Limited Version is counted as two copies for Famitsu, and one copy for Media Create:

42.991x2 is = 85.982
+260.675
= 346.657

For Media Create

Oh! Theres my answer



Pocky Lover Boy! 

hiska-kun on 01 July 2015
GProgrammer said:
hiska-kun said:

Have you at least recognized that you've lost your bet?


Um what, looking at the numbers I would say its more likely that MK8 wins

The "bet" was something like Splatoon was going to sell around 500k by the end of this year, and that would make impossible to reach 700k because next year sales wouldn't be enough to reach this number.

Splatoon will reach 500k this summer and 700k by the end of the year.



Media Create Annual Archive (Spanish version)

http://zonaforo.meristation.com/topic/2246651/

tbone51 on 02 July 2015
hiska-kun said:
GProgrammer said:


Um what, looking at the numbers I would say its more likely that MK8 wins

The "bet" was something like Splatoon was going to sell around 500k by the end of this year, and that would make impossible to reach 700k because next year sales wouldn't be enough to reach this number.

Splatoon will reach 500k this summer and 700k by the end of the year.


Splatoon at what? 406k-410k with digital now? The next 2 weeks seem to be guaranteed over 20k-25k each (going by reports, from your post on gaf) so it should be well over 450k by week 28. And there is still Week 29 - Week 35 to cover rest of the summer. Im thinking 530k-550k by end of summer with 600k-650k Shipped+Digital. 700k might be low balling it, but that depends on how great these long legs are :)



MDMAlliance on 02 July 2015
SuperNova said:
That 3ds bump is a little worrying. :/ Is it just that it reached market saturation in japan by now? Sofware sales are good as ever, even though I expected If to do even better. I'd be interested in digital for it.
Splatoon contiues to have beautiful legs. WiiU could be better, but is doing ok thanks to Splatoon carrying it.
Congratulations to persona and the vita! :)


Since you're kind of new, I'll let you know now that most of us who have been here longer have known that about the 3DS for quite some time already.