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Forums - Gaming - Why do people on this site think Splatoon is going to do so well?

 

Splatoon sales prediction

<500k 91 13.28%
 
500K-800k 123 17.96%
 
800k-1.2 million 131 19.12%
 
1.2million-1.6 million 100 14.60%
 
1.6million-2million 70 10.22%
 
2 million+ 170 24.82%
 
Total:685
bananaking21 said:
tbone51 said:


honestly, dont be pessimistic!!!

Selling 140k minimum fw already putting predictions to shame. w101 level of sales??? C'monnnnnn :)


its doing good so far in just one region, i dont see it doing well in the USA or at all in EU. 

It's been trending well on all the usual indicators in the US, especially Amazon.  So it seems to be doing well here.  As for EU, that's the Wii U's weakest market.  



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bananaking21 said:
tbone51 said:


honestly, dont be pessimistic!!!

Selling 140k minimum fw already putting predictions to shame. w101 level of sales??? C'monnnnnn :)


its doing good so far in just one region, i dont see it doing well in the USA or at all in EU. 


I'm not so sure. Its being advertised like mad in NA and its priced really well in EU. It has a shot.



bunchanumbers said:
bananaking21 said:


its doing good so far in just one region, i dont see it doing well in the USA or at all in EU. 


I'm not so sure. Its being advertised like mad in NA and its priced really well in EU. It has a shot.


doesnt seem to have done all that well in the UK. its above 16k, but still beneath both the PS4 and XB1 versions of the witcher, which together along with the PC version sold around 65k this week. 

 

i just dont see it doing well, WiiU just doesnt have the intsall base for this. 



Nuvendil said:
bananaking21 said:


its doing good so far in just one region, i dont see it doing well in the USA or at all in EU. 

It's been trending well on all the usual indicators in the US, especially Amazon.  So it seems to be doing well here.  As for EU, that's the Wii U's weakest market.  


Amazon as a software indicator is pretty bad. it showed The Order beasting better than Evolve and Battlefield. but battlefield sold shit tons and evolve did much better than the order. 



So, assuming I made no math errors, Splatoon sold less that 21K in the UK: http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=7305788

This doesn't seem very good to me, so I guess I was correct in predicting this game not doing well.



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bananaking21 said:
Nuvendil said:

It's been trending well on all the usual indicators in the US, especially Amazon.  So it seems to be doing well here.  As for EU, that's the Wii U's weakest market.  


Amazon as a software indicator is pretty bad. it showed The Order beasting better than Evolve and Battlefield. but battlefield sold shit tons and evolve did much better than the order. 

But The Order did not do poorly.  Amazon is a poor indicator of *relative* success (x product doing better than y) but doing well on Amazon is usually a sign of good health in a product.  The question in this thread is whether Splatoon will be a healthy, successful release.  Amazon is still a competent indicator of that.

As for EU, that is Nintendo's weakest market.  No reasonable individual should suggest a decidedly Nintendo game that isn't a juggernaut mainstay to do well there, especially the UK.l



Burek said:
So, assuming I made no math errors, Splatoon sold less that 21K in the UK: http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=7305788

This doesn't seem very good to me, so I guess I was correct in predicting this game not doing well.


the 69% drop is for the PC, PS4 and XB1 versions combined, the XB1 version could have dropped less than that. but yeah, it seems to be in the 16k- 25k region. 



Nuvendil said:
bananaking21 said:


Amazon as a software indicator is pretty bad. it showed The Order beasting better than Evolve and Battlefield. but battlefield sold shit tons and evolve did much better than the order. 

But The Order did not do poorly.  Amazon is a poor indicator of *relative* success (x product doing better than y) but doing well on Amazon is usually a sign of good health in a product.  The question in this thread is whether Splatoon will be a healthy, successful release.  Amazon is still a competent indicator of that.


it did 200k in its first month and 40k in its second. it was an "meh" showing to an "okay" on at best. im not trying to piss on the game or anything, but with the WiiU's current state and the type of game that splatoon is, i just dont see it being a success. 



Because is has best advertise since the Wii U release



 

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bananaking21 said:
Nuvendil said:

But The Order did not do poorly.  Amazon is a poor indicator of *relative* success (x product doing better than y) but doing well on Amazon is usually a sign of good health in a product.  The question in this thread is whether Splatoon will be a healthy, successful release.  Amazon is still a competent indicator of that.


it did 200k in its first month and 40k in its second. it was an "meh" showing to an "okay" on at best. im not trying to piss on the game or anything, but with the WiiU's current state and the type of game that splatoon is, i just dont see it being a success. 

Well the Order also dropped like an anil on amazon very soon after launch.  The initial rush was pretty good, the subsequent weeks were not.  And I don't claim to make predictions.  I am merely pointing out that current trends are good.  That could change tomorrow, but the initial rush seems good.  As for how this fits the Wii U's install base, I'm not even going to try to predict that; game's too much of a wild card in that regard.