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Forums - Sales Discussion - April NPD 2015 predictions thread.

Bofferbrauer said:
Ryng_Tolu said:

My prediction:

PS4: 175,000
3DS: 150,000
XBO: 120,000
WiiU: 55,000
PSV: 20,000

Sounds a bit too low for me on all systems exept maybe the Vita. Sales will go down a lot for sure since practically no game comes out besides MKX, but that just seems a bit too much. On Nintendos side, the Direct and Etrian Mystery Dungeon should push the 3DS a bit, but not too much; and Wii U seems to be at it's baseline anyway, so I don't expect that one to drop by too much, either.

So my prediction:

PS4: 208,000

XBO: 136,000

Wii U: 68,000

3DS: 199,000

PSV: 24,000

Remember guys... April is a super dropped. don't expect a good sales for this month.



2020 predictions: NSW 25m, PS5 6m, XSX 4.5m, PS4 9m, XB1 3m

In December 2019 i predicted 21m Switch, but that was before COVID, obvius increased my predictions.

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Ryng_Tolu said:
Bofferbrauer said:

Sounds a bit too low for me on all systems exept maybe the Vita. Sales will go down a lot for sure since practically no game comes out besides MKX, but that just seems a bit too much. On Nintendos side, the Direct and Etrian Mystery Dungeon should push the 3DS a bit, but not too much; and Wii U seems to be at it's baseline anyway, so I don't expect that one to drop by too much, either.

So my prediction:

PS4: 208,000

XBO: 136,000

Wii U: 68,000

3DS: 199,000

PSV: 24,000

Remember guys... April is a super dropped. don't expect a good sales for this month.

That's why my numbers are not much higher than yours. It's just a bit higher because yours felt just a bit too low



JRPGfan said:

PS4: 240k
3DS: 138k
XB1: 155k
WiiU: 54k

 

I was way over hyped for last month, thinking the ps4 might sell like 380k-400k.

Then NPD is out and its like 345k or something... so toneing it down abit, for this prediction.


340k(Down from the 371k of march 2014) in a 5 weeks month,is 68K per week on average!240K is 60K per week average,so fairly near to march,which had battlefield,final fantasy type HD and of course the super hyped ps4 exclusive,blooborne,plus that it's a more hot month in sales than April...There is mortal kombat for april which will will do something but It was never a system seller or at least a significant system seller!

So what you did isn't really toning down!I don't say that it's impossible but it's not a low expectation as you imply...

 

P.s Excessive drop for 3DS,-125k,it droped by only 53k from March to April in 2014 without having games...

Also,I don't think that xbone will be above 3DS(I'm not sure but I feel it!)They had only 6k difference in april 2014,109k vs 115k from 159k vs 311k(Unordinary heights because of titanfal release.)This year 3ds  has got a revision that keeps getting it dramatically up,for this april 3DS has two games,puzzle and dragons super mario bros edition,which will may give a decent boost and a new 3ds exclusive,xenoblade 3D,which will push some new 3ds units but both will at at least prevent a drop!

Xbone had a huge drop from march to april 2014,because march numbers were inflated by a big game release but anywise it would have a big drop,so I think the same will happen this year but it won't go to the levels of 2014,it's cheaper and mortal kombat might do something!So,I'm seeing it at 150-160k but 3ds hgher than that...

Finally,I'm seeing wii u at 60-65k levels as the continuing trending yoy up suggests!:P

Edit:I forgot to say that the lowest that 3DS can get is 170k-180k in my opinion and by a  solid logic!:P And I can say with certainty that it won't go below 150k!:P I expect 190k-200k,same for ps4,i.e a flat yoy april for it!:P



 

So basically my PS4 and 3DS numbers are (probably) off, by a bit.

I cant reallt fault your logic, it makes sense when you put it like that.

 

I had a simular feeling myself abit earlier on and edited my post to:

230k  ps4

148k  3ds

150k  xb1

 58k  wii u



Ps4- 215K
3DS- 190K
Xbone- 150K
Wii U: 35K
PSV:15K



We all know Sony domination is a real thing and there is nothing Microsoft or Nintendo can do about it....

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PS4- 215k
X1- 178k
Wii U - 57k

3DS - 172k
Vita - 22k



PS4 - 200k
3DS - 160k
XB1 - 135k
Wii U - 45k

Vita - 15k



Current gaming platforms - Switch, PlayStation 4, Xbox One, Wii U, New 3DS, PC

PS4: 388,000
3DS: 263,000
XBO: 200,000
WiiU: 84,000
PSV: 



Will April NPD be 4 or 5 weeks?



WiiStation360 said:
Will April NPD be 4 or 5 weeks?

April is always 4 weeks.

For have a avg weekly sales:

PS4: 67,200

3DS: 52,600

XBO: 46,600

WiiU: 16,800



2020 predictions: NSW 25m, PS5 6m, XSX 4.5m, PS4 9m, XB1 3m

In December 2019 i predicted 21m Switch, but that was before COVID, obvius increased my predictions.