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Forums - Nintendo - How will Fatal Frame 5 sell in US?

 

How much will it sell life time?

<100k 29 25.00%
 
100k-200k 37 31.90%
 
300k-400k 27 23.28%
 
500k-600k 11 9.48%
 
700k-800k 4 3.45%
 
900k-1m 0 0%
 
>1m 8 6.90%
 
Total:116

100k



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Teeqoz said:
Paatar said:


Actually yeah it is.


It has sold 60k in Japan, and it won't sell note worthy numbers in japan anymore. So that leaves 340k for the rest of the world. That isn't realistic at all for a Fatal Frame game.


Almost every game on the Wii U has been selling triple or more than the Japan numbers in America. Europe has been selling half more of Japans. So lets say this, the game does a little better in the America than expected, 60k x 3 = 180k plus maybe an extra 20k? so 200k in America. Europe gives about 80-100k. So 90k in Europe = 290k plus the 60k already is about 350k. I expect its legs to do good too. So we are looking at 400k. The Wii U's install base is not something to under estimate. It might look small but it certaintly is dedicated.



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I don't want to be the one to say it, but 6/7 options in that poll are entirely too optimistic.



Paatar said:
Teeqoz said:


It has sold 60k in Japan, and it won't sell note worthy numbers in japan anymore. So that leaves 340k for the rest of the world. That isn't realistic at all for a Fatal Frame game.


Almost every game on the Wii U has been selling triple or more than the Japan numbers in America. Europe has been selling half more of Japans. So lets say this, the game does a little better in the America than expected, 60k x 3 = 180k plus maybe an extra 20k? so 200k in America. Europe gives about 80-100k. So 90k in Europe = 290k plus the 60k already is about 350k. I expect its legs to do good too. So we are looking at 400k. The Wii U's install base is not something to under estimate. It might look small but it certaintly is dedicated.


I guess that same ratio would count if for example DQX got a western release. (I don't)

You can't just use general ratios and not take into account other variables.



around 100K to 200K



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Paatar said:

Actually yeah it is.

Nope, it isn't.

Stop.



I'm predicting around 250k lifetime in the US. Maybe 500k worldwide lifetime.



I think 100k is manageable.



150K LT



My guess is about 150k... not that good but hopefully I'm wrong



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