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Forums - Sales - Halo 5 in the US or Uncharted 4 globally, which will sell more first week?

 

Which will sell more first week?

Halo 5 in the US 138 29.11%
 
Uncharted 4 Globally 107 22.57%
 
Uncharted 4 globally > Halo 5 Globally 229 48.31%
 
Total:474
binary solo said:

Uncharted won't break 2 million globally on launch week IMO. I think you can see that Halo is install base immune when it comes to launch week. Every full Halo game on 360 launched with pretty much the same amount in the USA, so there was more or less zero launch week growth even though Halo 4 had a massively larger install base to sell to.

Also Xb one install base in the USA today is > 360's US install base at the time Halo 3 launched. So that suggests a 2.3-2.4 million launch week in the USA is very likely. The core day 1 fanbase will always be there for Halo, and it will turn out for Halo 5.

With Xb one's diminished install base outside of the USA I think it will be quite close LTD between these two games. But I think Halo 5 has the edge, likely to sell at least 8 million LTD. Uncharted should do >6 million, but may have a hard time breaking through to 8 million.


but PS4s installbase > PS3s installbase at the time. And naughty dog is now one of the most popular studios right now and so is Uncharted 



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Halo 5 easily.



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Ruler said:
binary solo said:

Uncharted won't break 2 million globally on launch week IMO. I think you can see that Halo is install base immune when it comes to launch week. Every full Halo game on 360 launched with pretty much the same amount in the USA, so there was more or less zero launch week growth even though Halo 4 had a massively larger install base to sell to.

Also Xb one install base in the USA today is > 360's US install base at the time Halo 3 launched. So that suggests a 2.3-2.4 million launch week in the USA is very likely. The core day 1 fanbase will always be there for Halo, and it will turn out for Halo 5.

With Xb one's diminished install base outside of the USA I think it will be quite close LTD between these two games. But I think Halo 5 has the edge, likely to sell at least 8 million LTD. Uncharted should do >6 million, but may have a hard time breaking through to 8 million.


but PS4s installbase > PS3s installbase at the time. And naughty dog is now one of the most popular studios right now and so is Uncharted 

PS4's install base is not larger than PS3's at the time Uncharted 3 launched, which had the biggest launch of the 3 PS3 games. The dynamics are very different for Uncharted in that the series saw increasing launch sales with each successive game, unlike Halo where things were completely flat regardless of install base. However I think factoring in the popularity of Uncharted and the reputation of ND you can expect a better launch week from UC4 despite the lower install base compared to UC 3, and potentially even UC2. So I think UC4 can get something between 1.5 and 2 million at launch, but Halo 5 should do over 2 million in the USA.



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Cloudman said:
Likely Halo. Halo is the game that defines the Xbox. Uncharted I heard despite being loved by most Sony fans, doesn't have the biggest amounts of sales. Besides, it seems like not one game defines Sony, but a group of games do.

very true.

to the OP: i dont think U4 will outsell H5 on first week, but on lifetime sales it might do it.



i dunno thers the fact that halo isnt the premier unique shooter it once was
MCC burning so many people
and the mega popularity of ND
i think Uncharted will win lifetime'
THE DISPARITY in the install bases is insane man



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binary solo said:
Ruler said:


installbase is smaller on the xbox

See my first post on why that is not relevant.

But it is relevant for Uncharted. As the OP showed, launch week went up 500k between 2 and 3. Uncharted is series growing in popularity. Halo is on the decline (just look at the reviews and the user reception of Halo 4). So while Halo may be "install base immune", all that means is that it'll launch to the same numbers. Whereas Uncharted has the potential to increase. And with the PS4 being the runaway market leader and Uncharted easily being Playstation's biggest franchise right now, I wouldn't be surprised if UC4 snuck passed Halo 5 global FW vs Halo US 1st week. And I'm in the boat that says UC4 will outsell Halo 5 LTD as well. 

Destiny sold 2.1M FW on PS4 and that was a new IP. You don't think Sony will give a similar push to Uncharted? As a franchise with growing popularity and is established as a quality game? I think the install base disparity will definitely come into play here



Halo will win



Close but i'm gonna go with Uncharted.



Halo will easily outsell Uncharted in the first week. That really isn't much of a question. Lifetime depends on bundles really... If Uncharted 4 is bundled with the PS4 at some point, then it has a shot of beating Halo 5 LTD.



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Halo 5 first week in US. Halo fans have bought in to X1 and whoever hasn't will buy in November. They're normally more front loaded.




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