Pretty good prediction...
Yeap Sony will ship over 8m in holidays quarter.

Over 37m is already confirmed. To

Sorry but that makes no sense

And you're overestimating the difference between sold and shipped:

1st March 2015: 20.2M sold

31st March 2015: 22.3M shipped.

It will sell 36million

Another golden thread lol

Sony's own revised statement guarantees that's a lowballed shipments prediction. And thus also a low sell through prediction.

I think I went with 35 million sell through, somewhere back in the history of this thread or was it 32 million? 5.5 million PS4 sales in Q4 is guaranteed on the low side, considering in Q4 last year PS4 did 6.5 million. I think with the games coming out and the price cut PS4 is good for at least 20% more than 2014. So I think for Q4 we're looking at 7.9 million, which makes sell through 34.4 million. If shipment estimate is ~37 million it's possible PS4 might carry 2.6 million into the new year, though that seems like a lot of stock to try to whittle down through the final quarter fo the FY.

it's at 29.3 million shipped at the end of sept (pre-pricecut), last year it shipped 6.5 million in calendar Q4, this time it has a price-cut and SW:Battlefront (with console bundles) + Fallout 4 additionally to the yearly franchises

predicting anything below 36m shipped by years end is frankly unreasonable at this point

Golden thread

Very good prediction, you are skilled

Mhm, just like how it's a fact that the Vita will ship about 7 million this holiday.  

I predict 34M by january 1º