Prediction: PS4 will sell 37,000,000 by Dec 31. 2015

Turkish

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Turkish on 20 December 2015

It's going to be crazy if PS4 comes close to 8-9M shipped this quarter.

Btw my prediction of 4M for quarter ending sept 30 was spot on

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Turkish on 05 January 2016

DAMN crazy prediction

36M sold through, so it's over 37M shipped!

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OneKartVita on 05 January 2016

You know a prediction is good when it's between the sold numbers and shipped numbers. Good job dude!

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DonFerrari on 05 January 2016

Seems like you got it quite close even without Pricecut being to 300 (but having BF and Christmas deal for 300) and no Uncharted 4 but collection.

duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."

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DonFerrari on 05 January 2016

vivster said:

CGI-Quality said:

vivster said:

I think overshooting is inherently worse. It's always about the closest bet without going over ;)

In my view, I'd rather overestimate than under. Pretty much the same as working with tills. Better to be over on cash than under, even if both are no good.

In your case, not only did you say it would do not much better 15 million, you said 17 million was "cray cray" (which was 1.5 million lower than what it did), where as people who predicted 20 million were the same amount over. Thus, your call was worse. ;)

Yet I would've won at The Price Is Right.

And I'll take the washing machine and the TV and the decorative vase.

So you think your 12M prediction was bettern then the 20M prediction people put?

John2290 said:
34m shipped. 31.5M sold.

Guess you were a little wrong even having 10 months more data to analyse than the OP.

duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."

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vivster on 05 January 2016

DonFerrari said:

vivster said:

CGI-Quality said:

vivster said:

I think overshooting is inherently worse. It's always about the closest bet without going over ;)

In my view, I'd rather overestimate than under. Pretty much the same as working with tills. Better to be over on cash than under, even if both are no good.

In your case, not only did you say it would do not much better 15 million, you said 17 million was "cray cray" (which was 1.5 million lower than what it did), where as people who predicted 20 million were the same amount over. Thus, your call was worse. ;)

Yet I would've won at The Price Is Right.

And I'll take the washing machine and the TV and the decorative vase.

So you think your 12M prediction was bettern then the 20M prediction people put?

Yes, because I won the fucking washing machine.

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hershel_layton on 05 January 2016

damn, you're a psychic.

PS4 sold 34 million actually

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